Moritz @BiberMoritz

Top 10 S&P 500 stocks by Momentum score: 🛢️ Valero 100 $VLO 🛢️ Marathon Petroleum 100 $MPC 🛢️ Phillips 66 98 $PSX ✈️ Howmet 97 $HWM 💻 NetApp 97 $NTAP ✈️ RTX 97 $RTX 📈 BNY Mellon 96 $BK 🏥 DaVita 96 $DVA 🚗 General Motors 96 $GM 📈 State Street 96 $STT Refiners, defense and banks lead, while NetApp is the only tech name on the list.

All you need to know about the $AMZN report: AWS grew 37% YoY — its 5th consecutive quarter of acceleration — and operating margins expanded to 39.4% (from 32.9% a year ago). Even more impressive: incremental operating margins came in at ~56%. In other words, every new $1.00 of AWS revenue generated roughly $0.56 of operating income. Advertising didn’t disappoint either. $AMZN ADS grew 26% YoY, its fastest rate in over two years. Combined, AWS + ADS delivered $62B in revenue this quarter. Annualized, that’s $248B. At a blended 35% operating margin, these two segments alone would generate ~$87B in operating income while still growing over 25% YoY. If you apply a reasonable 30x multiple, you get a ~$2.60T valuation — just for AWS and Ads.

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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital® @DimitryNakhla

6 months ago

$AMZN trades at ~$2.17T market cap. AWS + ADS generated ~$197.36B in LTM revenue — both segments with 30%+ operating margins. $AMZN now trades ~11x AWS + ADS sales.

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$AMZN: Too much to cover but never seen such growth in their AWS biz: +$4.6B q/q - 80% larger than any Q, backlog $496B up Triple Digits, $169B annualized RR rate getting to $1T with 39% margins +650 BPS. *CEO Jassy S/H letter was worth back in April

Chip and memory stocks had themselves a DAY... 🔥 Sandisk $SNDK +33% 🟢 Micron $MU +23% 🟢 Western Digital $WDC +20% 🟢 Lam Research $LRCX +20% 🟢 Applied Materials $AMAT +17% 🟢 AMD $AMD +16% 🟢 Intel $INTC +16% 🟢 Seagate $STX +15% 🟢 Taiwan Semi $TSM +10% 🟢 Nvidia $NVDA +3%

Incredible: Amazon's AWS revenue over the last 12 months ($148 billion) was higher than the revenue of 474 companies in the S&P 500. $AMZN bilello.blog/newsletter

$AMZN Amazon Q2 FY26: • Revenue +20% Y/Y to $200.6B ($4.2B beat) • Operating margin 14% (+2pp Y/Y) ☁️ AWS: • Revenue +37% Y/Y to $42.2B • Operating margin 39% (+6pp Y/Y) Q3 FY26 rev guide: +9%–12% Y/Y

LEOPOLD’S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS FUND BLOWUP TIMELINE JULY 1: LEOPOLD’S HEDGE FUND SITUATIONAL AWARENESS REACHES $45 BILLION UP 450% YTD JULY 10: SK HYNIX US IPO MARKS TOP OF THE AI SECTOR JULY 10-20: MAJOR SELLOFF ACROSS ALL AI STOCKS, MOST DOWN 30%+ IN 2 WEEKS JULY 10-20: HIS SHORT POSITIONS START GOING UP CAUSING MORE LOSSES (HE WAS SHORT ADOBE AND OTHER SOFTWARE STOCKS) JULY 24: HE SENDS INVESTORS A LETTER CALLING THE SELLOFF A BUYING OPPORTUNITY AND ASKS FOR MORE MONEY JULY 27: CITADEL SECURITIES SAYS THE FED IS GONNA DO A SURPRISE RATE HIKE JULY 28: THE MARKET SELLS OFF AFTER CITADEL’S REPORT & LEOPOLD TRIES TO RAISE & BORROW MORE MONEY JULY 29: BANKS MARGIN CALL HIM JULY 30: CITADEL COMES IN AND BUYS HIS ENTIRE PORTFOLIO FOR A MASSIVE DISCOUNT LEVERAGE IS THE MAIN REASON PEOPLE GO BROKE IN THE STOCK MARKET ALWAYS BE CAREFUL

Charlie Munger in 1994 said the first $100,000 is a b*tch. Implying that once you get there, you can kind of coast. Well, applying a conservative inflation adjustment into today’s dollars, you will need $250,000 now. In other words: “The first $250,000 is a b*tch.”

Top 10 Quality Compounders in the S&P 500 right now by Bastion Score 💾 NVIDIA 100 $NVDA 💻 Palantir 100 $PLTR 💾 Broadcom 100 $AVGO 🖥️ Arista 100 $ANET 💻 AppLovin 99 $APP 💾 Micron 99 $MU 🚧 Comfort Systems 99 $FIX 🖥️ Western Digital 99 $WDC 💾 Lam Research 99 $LRCX 📱 Meta 99 $META These names combine the strongest business growth with the highest business efficiency.

The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 this year 👇

CHINA’S BIGGEST MEMORY CHIP COMPANY CXMT JUST IPO’D 30 MINUTES AGO IN SHANGHAI THE SHARES OPENED TRADING UP 470% IPO WAS AT ¥8.6 AND SHARES OPENED AT ¥49 IT IS NOW THE MOST VALUABLE COMPANY IN CHINA WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT IT ?

Top 10 S&P 500 stocks by Momentum score: 🛢️ Valero Energy 100 $VLO 🛡️ Travelers 99 $TRV 🛢️ Marathon Petroleum 99 $MPC ✈️ Howmet Aerospace 99 $HWM 💻 Dell Technologies 98 $DELL 🏦 BNY Mellon 98 $BNY 🛢️ Phillips 66 98 $PSX 🏢 Welltower 98 $WELL 💊 Eli Lilly 98 $LLY ✈️ RTX 98 $RTX (+24!) RTX $RTX just jumped +24 in Momentum rank in a single week, the biggest move on the board. The driver is a global rearmament cycle. RTX builds Patriot systems and jet engines. Defense budgets across the US, Europe, and the Middle East keep rising while missile inventories get drawn down and refilled.

The best performing stocks in the Russell 2000 this year 👇

Rare chance to buy Google below Pelosi's entry 👀 3 politicians bought $GOOGL this year and haven't sold: • Nancy Pelosi (D) • Cleo Fields (D) • Ro Khanna (D) Pelosi alone put up to $1,000,000 in on Jan 16 at ~$330 And here's where it gets more interesting Khanna is the Ranking Member of the Armed Services Cyber Subcommittee, which authorizes funding for active Pentagon contracts held by Google Cloud

Nassim Taleb, options trader turned NYU professor who wrote "The Black Swan": "Funds pay $500K to find signal in the noise. the harder truth I traded on for decades: in markets, the rare event nobody sees coming matters more than every signal they can." this free lecture holds the exact problem the post above is describing, from a man who made real money on it before he ever taught it. at the board it's simple. In gentle, thin-tailed worlds, like human height, the average is safe and outliers barely move it. Markets are not that world. They are fat-tailed, where a single day can outweigh a decade, and where the event that matters most has usually not happened yet. So a signal that tested beautifully across ten calm years can be pure noise, because the ten years never contained the one day that decides your fate. That's the whole "edge", minus the marketing. Taleb gave this at Cambridge and it has been free ever since. Same point as the post above: the pipeline is not there to find signals. It is there to survive the rare event that no backtest can show you. the mathematics is free and every serious risk desk knows it. what nobody can sell you is the humility to size as if the worst day you have never seen is coming anyway. That is the difference between a track record and a survivor.

Ruuj @RuujSs

2 weeks ago

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also look at some of the names showing 8/21 bullish crossovers right now $DOW $LYB $FRO $HON $T $DUK $GM $NE not really too many tech leaders in the last few days. Yuck.

Terence Tao, UCLA professor and the most decorated mathematician alive: "Hedge funds pay $500K a year for one skill: telling a real pattern from noise. I've spent my life on it, and most people get it exactly backwards." this free lecture holds the entire "find the signal" problem those firms pay for, given at UCLA by the most decorated mathematician alive and posted for nothing. at the board it's simple. Tao's lifelong theme is that almost nothing is purely one thing. There is perfect structure, like a clock, and perfect randomness, like a coin, and essentially everything real is a mixture of the two. The work is separating them. The primes are the perfect test case: they look scattered and lawless, and yet Tao and Ben Green proved they contain arbitrarily long evenly spaced runs. Order was hiding inside apparent chaos the whole time. That's the whole "signal detection", minus the marketing. He gave this lecture at UCLA and it has been free ever since. Same point as my article above: the mathematics those firms pay half a million dollars for is public, documented and free to anyone tonight. the lecture is free and anyone can watch it. what nobody can sell you is the judgment to know when a pattern is real and when your own eyes invented it. That judgment is the entire job, and it takes years to build.

Rossst.03 @Rossst_03

2 weeks ago

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Lots of AI infra stocks have gone through large corrections over the past few weeks. Meanwhile, AI capex is still accelerating. Now, there are tons of high-quality, fast-growing companies ready to crush earnings again.