Flash @LordFlash_
Geopolitics/IR/OSINT - Focus FSU/MENA Joined February 2014-
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You don't need gps to navigate over Russia, you just need to remember where oil reserves are.
The refinery in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar region, in Russia is burning and has been turned into another oil volcano.
Regime affiliated Telegram channels report casualties amongst regime forces at the ambushed checkpoint in Baneh, Kurdistan Province, Iran
Clashes between Kurdish militants (unclear which group) and regime forces at a joint checkpoint at Baneh city’s entrance. Kurdistan Province, Iran
To Mobilize or Not to Mobilize. My new piece on why Putin is forced to declare a new mobilization wave and how it won't help Russia. Check it out in @WarFrontsWeekly! fronts.co/article/to-mob…
This is infuriating, @AP. Iran's HEU is not now, and has never been, "buried under rubble." The Iranians accessed the tunnels in January and then re-buried the entrances as a protective measure in February. They're periodically doing things on site with bulldozers, etc (April).
Russian military-affiliated channel "Voevoda Broadcasts" claims that for the attack in Voronezh, the Ukrainians also employed an unspecified number of US-supplied AGM-188 Rusty Dagger (Extended Range Attack Munition program) air-launched, precision-guided stand-off weapons. AGM-188, essentially a hybrid between cruise missile and aerial bomb, was developed specifically to meet the requirements of Ukraine, with first its live-fire test conducted in January 2026. In August 2025, the US government approved the sale of 3350 Rusty Dagger munitions with associated equipment to Kyiv. The weapon is reported to be having a maximum range of around 450km, while being in the 500-lb (230 kg) class.
Ukrainian strikes with Western-supplied Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles hit the Voronezh Semiconductor Device Plant "Sborka" electronics plant located in the city of Voronezh, western Russia, on Monday. The enterprise specializes in the production of
1/ President Zelensky issued a sharp warning to Minsk, demanding the removal of communication equipment allegedly supporting Russian drone operations. This followed Lukashenka’s unusually cautious messaging toward Kyiv including his apology to Zelensky. So, what is happening?
Ukrainian defense manufacturer Fire Point’s booth at the Eurosatory defense tradeshow today, playing footage of their drones hitting the Moscow Oil Refinery just hours prior.
🇷🇺#Moscow Panorama
Just published my new OSINT investigation into Russia's secretive Zircon missile whose combat use has risen sharply in 2026. Available evidence suggests that Zircon is not a hypersonic cruise missile but rather a quasi-ballistic system. Link: luftlage.substack.com/p/not-quite-a-…
Catching up, but skimming both British reporting and the Russian statement, I think a lot of other navies would have acted similar to Admiral Grigorovich. Seems they ran down their list of warnings, which was ignored, going to warning shots when they felt it was tight enough.
UPDATE: A Russian warship fired a couple of warning shots close to a UK-registered yacht in the Channel after also sounding an alert to avoid it sailing too close, a defence source said. Investigations are still underway to establish exactly what happened. From what is
Some kind of maritime operation in the channel involving the Russian frigate Grigorovich, I'm told, after allegations shots fired
[Unconfirmed] Russian frigate Grigorovich has fired warning shots at a British yacht in the channel. British and French ships are mobilising in response. Incident comes after the Royal Navy boarded Shadow Fleet tanker SMYRTOS (IMO: 9389100) which has been sanctioned by HM
They didn’t take the steps under sanctions. Didn’t do it under war. Why would they do it now? The Trump administration thinks tons of money is the clue to every problem. It may be to some. But it’s a deep misunderstanding of motives of many. From Putin to Tehran.
In a shock to very few: “During [meetings], Trump and his team discussed intelligence gathered by several U.S. intelligence agencies which showed that the way Iranian officials were discussing the deal among themselves was inconsistent with what they were telling the mediators
Defense Minister Israel Katz says Israel will not withdraw from southern Lebanon, following the announcement of a ceasefire between the US and Iran, which supposedly also includes ending the fighting against Hezbollah. "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and I are leading a clear policy that determines that the IDF will remain in the security zones in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza, without any time limit, to protect the border and Israeli communities from there against jihadist elements," Katz says in a statement. He says the security zones will be "cleared of local residents, and all terror infrastructure, above and below ground, including the houses in the contact-line villages that served as terror outposts, will be destroyed." Katz says that holding onto the security zones is "among the IDF's greatest achievements" in the war, and therefore, "we oppose an IDF withdrawal from Lebanon, despite all the existing pressures and those that will still come." "Prime Minister Netanyahu made these points clear to US President Trump and to other senior American officials, and I also made this clear yesterday to US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth," he says, adding that the IDF also supports holding onto the security zone in Lebanon. "We will not compromise on Israel's security interests and the protection of our citizens, and we will not withdraw from the security zones," Katz says. Katz also warns that "if Iran attacks Israel because of the events in Lebanon, we will strike it with full force." "We are committed only to our citizens and to the security of the State of Israel," he adds.
IRAN'S DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER SAYS TEXT OF MOU WILL BE PUBLISHED AFTER OFFICIAL SIGNING IRAN'S DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER SAYS MOU DOES NOT MEAN TRUST IN THE 'ENEMY' IRAN'S DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER: NEGOTIATIONS FOR FINAL DEAL WILL BE HELD IN A PERIOD OF 60 DAYS
After the UK seized the Russian shadow fleet tanker 'SMYRTOS' overnight, @MarineTraffic data shows at least three other shadow fleet tankers have abandoned their passage through the English channel this morning; SONA, MAINI and, QASR
Breaking: Royal Marine commandos boarded a Russian sanctioned shadow fleet vessel during six hour mission in the early hours of this morning
IRGC-owned Fars News: "The sounds heard are related to warning shots fired at vessels violating regulations in the Strait of Hormuz." Hormozgan Province, Iran
State-owned Mehr New: "Explosion sounds heard around Qeshm Island and Sirik, Hormozgan Province. Initial reports suggest a conflict near Strait of Hormuz. No official confirmation authorities on nature of explosions."
No indication that Iran has in fact agreed to these conditions, but we need to see the final text. The Iranian version, obviously, is radically different and does not mention the “dismantling of nuclear and missile infrastructure”.
Axios should just make this a pinned tweet.
Trump claims Iran deal reached, Tehran says no "final decision" axios.com/2026/06/11/tru…
U.S. Central Command forces began launching additional self-defense strikes today at 5:15 p.m. ET against multiple targets in Iran at the Commander in Chief’s direction. The strikes are in response to Iran’s unwarranted and continued aggression.
Emily Strickland @EmilyStri65084
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Emma doing the most @44emma55
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Dr Peter Caddick-Adam... @militaryhistori
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small_caps automated @SmallCapSmairts
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Angus Lapsley @ACWLapsley
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240 Followers 702 Following PowerTrade / PowerDEX @PowerTradeHQ - Head of Sales and Business Development Crypto Options- $BTC, $ETH + 80 altcoin option markets.
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Dave C @DC_RAFCyber
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Jeff Rogg @TheSpyTheState
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Lauren Sander @LaurenESander
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3K Followers 2K Following Michael Smith - Award-winning journalist and No 1 Bestselling Author. JUST OUT to RAVE REVIEWS The Real Special Relationship!
Jaroslava Barbieri @jarabarbieri
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Dimitrios @dimitrioskonst
4K Followers 3K Following Building UK's sovereign AI @ Cosine (YC W23) | GTM | Made in 🇬🇧🇬🇷
Sovereign AI @UKSovereignAI
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7K Followers 799 Following @cosineai - Building frontier AI for sovereign environments
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64K Followers 18K Following 🏰 - I write about AI, mostly. Expect some strange sights.
MBDA UK @MBDA_UK
3K Followers 472 Following MBDA drives #innovation in #defence, pioneering cutting-edge missile systems that proactively address the security challenges of today and tomorrow.
Playfra @Playfra0
23K Followers 164 Following Ukraine war mapping, OSINT and geolocations, fortifications Donate: https://t.co/EeR5Vg6S68 Ukraine control map: https://t.co/aToLxkJlgP
Classic Spy Chic @ClassicSpyChic
12K Followers 579 Following Fan of spy novels, movies, classic cars, and the “classic spy” aesthetic
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3K Followers 2K Following Equities reporter @business, all things arb & special/complex situations. Ex-@Mergermarket @Dealreporter. From Shanghai to NYC. 📧[email protected]
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avi scharf @avischarf
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