D.S @ProjectDreamSYD

In Gold We Trust. $8‘000 here we come. Read here: thierryvonarvy.substack.com/p/gold-broke-o…

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter

3 days ago

Gold and silver added a combined +$1.3 trillion in market cap after the US Treasury's announcement this morning. The Fed can no longer contain yields and the US government cannot afford higher yields. Asset owners will be the only winners.

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You wanna buy the dippy? This playbook will help. • VIX 20–30 — stay alert. The correction is underway. This is research season: finalize the shopping list, set the limit orders, do nothing heroic. • VIX 30–45 — activate the booster. Genuine fear has arrived and the tranches start going in. This is where most mid-term lows in history have been carved out. • VIX 45+ — go maximum. True washout pricing. Spikes of this magnitude have appeared only a handful of times since 2010 — the flash crash, 2011, 2015, early 2018, 2020, 2024 — and inside a still-valid bull market, every one of them was a generational entry dressed up as the end of the world.

Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat

2 days ago

Volatility is far too low. Considering where oil prices stand, how high yields are, the fact that valuations have peaked, as well as seasonal factors and the midterm elections. Jep, volatility is far too low.

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The calmest room is usually the most crowded one. VIX at 17 in August. Fear priced like nothing can go wrong. Meanwhile: retail piling in, call buying near records, "stocks only go up" back in the timeline, and everyone who sold in April watching from the sidelines with FOMO burning. Complacency isn't a feeling. It's a position size. Look at the seasonality chart and autumn looks ominous — the average VIX climbs toward 22.5 by late October. But strip out 2008 and 2020 and the curve flattens. Two disasters are doing most of the work. So the pattern is weaker than it looks. And those two years still happened. That's the whole game: don't build a portfolio that needs October to be average. Low volatility doesn't mean low risk. It means risk is cheap — and cheap is exactly when nobody wants it.

Real

The best performing stock & its not even close 😮

🚨 CEO Buy Alert The CEO of Boston Scientific $BSX just dropped $9,000,000 on his own stock while shares are down nearly 50% YTD... 🌶️

During a gold bull market cycle, supported by a general stock market bull run, investors should hold gold mining companies. There is significant leverage in the income statement—and this comes after the gold mining sector has undergone a purification process over the past decade. My gold price target is about 84% higher, but gold mining companies will easily achieve triple-digit gains in this uptrend well into the 2020s. Today I published my full analysis on gold; tomorrow I’ll follow up with the 5 gold mining companies you should keep an eye on.

Northstar @NorthstarCharts

2 weeks ago

If this chart plays out, gold miners will more than double the performance of gold. We're approaching a very important confirmation level 👇

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$SLV $GLD $GDX They say the Gold Miners lead. Gold has followed. Now it's Silver to give us that God-like candlestick and soon. Get ready. Has THAT look...

🚨 90% equities 10% gold. CONSIDER THIS ASSET ALLOCATION. Historically, one of the best risk adjusted allocations you could have over the last three decades. Fund managers have not called gold this cheap since March 2023. Equities sit at a record with BofA's Bull and Bear Indicator at 9.7 against a sell threshold of 8. PEAK CALL BUYING PEAK RETAIL INFLOWS & EUPHORIA WEAKEST seasonality and mid-terms starts now. Gold most oversold and now starts being accumulated and breaking out of a falling wedge in high volume. Listen to the tape.

Copper has been telling us all along that gold has some catching up to do. This remains one of the most important divergences in markets today. The lag is your friend. open.substack.com/pub/tavicosta/…

Don’t forget. We are in the midst of a roaring bull market in gold (and gold miners). Gold, monthly — the seven-to-eight-year cycle, and the secular breakout pointing toward 2028. open.substack.com/pub/thierryvon…

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Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta

2 weeks ago

There it goes. This is what a clean breakout looks like. Act accordingly. tavicosta.substack.com/p/list-of-brea…

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The most bullish setup there is — MAR and HLT at all-time highs with rising relative strength vs MSCI ACWI

My July Recommendations: $MRVL (Marvell) — Don't buy. $LITE (Lumentum) — Don't buy. $MU (Micron) — Stay on the sidelines for now. $NVDA (NVIDIA) — Buy in the $205–$210 range. $AMZN (Amazon) — Buy in the $225–$230 range. $SPCX (SpaceX) — Buy in the $115–$125 range. $AVGO (Broadcom) — Buy in the $380–$390 range. $D05 (DBS Group) — Long-term hold. $O39 (OCBC Bank) — Medium- to long-term 💥 Next week’s portfolio & watchlist are LIVE! Latest strategies, market insights & stock ideas are ready. Check my profile for updates.

Top AI Software & Cybersecurity Stocks I’m Watching: • $PLTR (Palantir Technologies) — Strong Buy • $SNOW (Snowflake) — Strong Buy • $MDB (MongoDB) — Strong Buy • $DDOG (Datadog) — Strong Buy • $NET (Cloudflare) — Buy • $CRWD (CrowdStrike) — Buy • $PANW (Palo Alto Networks) — Buy • $ZS (Zscaler) — Buy • $APP (AppLovin) — Don’t buy

Top Silver Miners by Annual Production 🇲🇽 Mexico — Fresnillo (54 Million Ounces) 🇵🇱 Poland — KGHM Polska Miedź (46 Million Ounces) 🇮🇳 India — Hindustan Zinc (24 Million Ounces) 🇨🇦 Canada — Pan American Silver (20 Million Ounces) 🇨🇦 Canada — Glencore (20 Million Ounces) 🇨🇱 Chile — Codelco (19 Million Ounces) 🇲🇽 Mexico — Peñoles (19 Million Ounces) 🇺🇸 USA — Southern Copper Corporation (18 Million Ounces) 🇺🇸 USA — Newmont (18 Million Ounces) 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan — Solidcore Resources (18 Million Ounces)

We have a decent number of longs, most of which are at profits and still acting relatively well. Names include: $PACS, $CSX, $HXL, $ADM, $MRK, $LLY, $HSBC, $JNJ. Most of our positions now have breakeven or better stops, but many are extended from their original buy points. Today I added $SPY short as a partial hedge with a tight stop above 755.00. minervini.com

Top AI Power & Energy Infrastructure Stocks I’m Watching: • $GEV (GE Vernova) — Strong Buy • $VST (Vistra) — Strong Buy • $CEG (Constellation Energy) — Strong Buy • $VRT (Vertiv) — Strong Buy • $PWR (Quanta Services) — Buy • $ETN (Eaton) — Buy • $NRG (NRG Energy) — Buy • $OKLO (Oklo) — Buy • $SMR (NuScale Power) — Don’t buy

Global Hotel Brand Hierarchy by Tier Luxury & Ultra Luxury — St. Regis, The Ritz-Carlton, Aman, Four Seasons, Bvlgari, Park Hyatt Upscale & Upper Upscale — Conrad, W Hotels, Grand Hyatt, Shangri-La, Taj, JW Marriott, Hilton Mid Scale & Upper Mid Scale — Mercure, Radisson, Novotel, Courtyard, Crowne Plaza, Holiday Inn Economy — Premier Inn, Ibis, Days Inn, Fairfield, Travelodge, Motel 6 Major hospitality groups cover the entire market, balancing ultra-luxury experiences with accessible economy stays.

Before a stock goes on a massive run, it leaves six clues in plain sight. They all show up during the boring pause everyone ignores. Most traders wait for the breakout candle. By then the clues are old news. Here's what the chart was telling you weeks earlier:

I WATCHED MY FATHER STAY CALM THROUGH EVERY CRASH SINCE 1987 YESTERDAY HE TOLD ME HOW. He didn't predict the future. He just read what everyone else ignored. What he watches: Debt buybacks → Dollar softens → Gold leads. Move before the crowd. Printing starts → Cash bleeds. Hard assets only. Rates rising → Sell growth. Buy short bonds. Sit still. Rates falling → Buy real estate. Buy growth. The signal came early. IPOs everywhere → Distribution phase. They sell to you at the top. Bank collapses → Don't react. First failure is never the last. War confirmed → Long oil. Long defense. Short tech. First ceasefire → Hold your positions. It won't stick. 7 of 10 bear signals triggered → Start moving to cash. Tell nobody. "Different this time" → Oldest lie in markets. Sell. "Stay the course" → Advice for their portfolio. Not yours. Every cycle looked different on the surface. Underneath it was always the same sequence. Follow me - the people who do tend not to regret it