Opening Bell Daily🔔 @ReadOpeningBell
The industry-leading data newsletter documenting the story of the stock market for serious investors. Also on Bloomberg Terminals.👇 openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Joined March 2024-
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The Magnificent 7 have seen their total annual returns shrink each year since 2023. But they just turned positive in a single trading day after trading in negative territory most of 2026.
"This time is different" are the most dangerous words on Wall Street but investors can't stop thinking about it during the AI boom. Even if new technology changes the world, the irrational behavior of markets tends to repeat across cycles. Top strategist @Todd_Sohn explains.
The S&P 500 just entered its weakest stretch of the year historically. Monthly returns since 1990: 🔴 August: -0.49% 🔴 Sept: -0.72% That said, buying the dip has worked for decades because of the strong Q4 rebound on average.
Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B stock is at its highest level since November. Now 5% from its record high from the day before Warren Buffett announced his retirement. @JackFarley96 called this stock a quiet AI winner last month and the story is playing out.
AI memory stocks have fallen into a bear market but the fundamentals still point to buying the dip right now. I sat down with @JackFarley96 to unpack the specific AI stocks he is buying now, the bull-bear debate on the AI trade, how to think about blowout bank earnings, and what
The healthcare sector fell from 16% of the S&P 500 to 8%. Investors have ignored it for 3 years. @Todd_Sohn explains why he sees the sector's largest names like Eli Lilly $LLY and Johnson & Johnson $JNJ fueling the contrarian play.
Semiconductor stocks now account for a record 19% of the S&P 500. And not even a bear market can stop investors from buying the dip. I sat down with @Todd_Sohn to unpack the latest on the AI trade and where capital is rotating, how leveraged ETFs are amplifying volatility, the
Equal-weight S&P 500 is up 12% and the market-cap index is up 8.7% this year. That means the average S&P 500 stock is outperforming the average mega-cap tech stock. Runs completely counter to the AI bubble narrative.
Amazon went up and Apple went down immediately after earnings and cash flow tells the story. The Magnificent 7 continue to split into winners and losers. x.com/i/article/2083…
Amazon $AMZN sees negative free cash flow for the second consecutive quarter. Third time in the last 6 quarters. But that negative free cash flow still represents a tiny fraction of total revenue.
Great discussion between @Todd_Sohn and @philrosenn here. Especially enjoyed pairing momentum with low vol. That is something we've done with the models we run.
Semiconductor stocks now account for a record 19% of the S&P 500. And not even a bear market can stop investors from buying the dip. I sat down with @Todd_Sohn to unpack the latest on the AI trade and where capital is rotating, how leveraged ETFs are amplifying volatility, the
Nvidia $NVDA has never looked this cheap. - Revenue 2 years ago: $26 billion - Latest revenue forecast: $91 billion Forward P/E has collapsed while revenue quadrupled.
Investors keep debating whether "this time is different" applies to the AI boom, but current sector flows and trader psychology do in fact resemble past cycles. @Todd_Sohn chief ETF strategist for Strategas, explains how semiconductors play into historical comparisons.
Semiconductor stocks now account for a record 19% of the S&P 500. And not even a bear market can stop investors from buying the dip. I sat down with @Todd_Sohn to unpack the latest on the AI trade and where capital is rotating, how leveraged ETFs are amplifying volatility, the
Semiconductor stocks now account for a record 19% of the S&P 500. And not even a bear market can stop investors from buying the dip. I sat down with @Todd_Sohn to unpack the latest on the AI trade and where capital is rotating, how leveraged ETFs are amplifying volatility, the best sectors to buy into right now, and whether "this time is different" applies to AI. Todd is one of the elite strategists on Wall Street. We cover several unique ideas you won't find anywhere else. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Semi sell off 1:21 - Nobody throwing in the towel 3:01 - Is this time different? 4:14 - Leveraged ETFs 10:20 - Beta vs. volatility 12:10 - Equal weight beating cap weight 13:30 - Low volatility ETFs 16:49 - Why diversification matters again 18:22 - Where we are in AI cycle 20:14 - Trump as a wildcard 22:06 - What stops dip buying? 24:11 - Healthcare 26:19 - Energy 29:02 - Financials 33:19 - Small caps 35:57 - @BairdStrategas @strategasasset
The most important thing the Federal Reserve just did was refuse to say what comes next. This is not Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve anymore. x.com/i/article/2082…
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75% for the fifth meeting in a row. First time that 3 voters dissented in the same direction since September 2016. The Fed ended up hiking rates right after that meeting.
The average S&P 500 stock keeps hitting all-time highs and the equal-weight index is outperforming this year even as semiconductors fall into a bear market. x.com/i/article/2082…
Chip stocks have fallen into a bear market but the iShares Semiconductor ETF $SOXX is still up 9x the S&P 500. - Semiconductors +71% - S&P 500 +8% Zoom out to remind yourself AI is fueling a generational bull run.
Equal-weight S&P 500 is outperforming the market cap weighted index because the average stock keeps going up while Big Tech names keep going down.
Specialized AI models will outperform general purpose models long-term. That's the big bet our team is making with Silvia, the super-intelligent financial AI product we are personally using and building every day. @APompliano explains why CFOSilvia.com works.
Bitcoin is a long-term winner with the AI supercycle set to accelerate over the next decade. I sat down with @APompliano to discuss what's happening inside frontier AI labs, the US-China AI race, how bitcoin fits into the AI investment outlook, building CFOSilvia, and the latest
Magnificent 7 stocks in 2026: $AAPL +24% $GOOG +5% $NVDA +4.3% $AMZN +1.9% $META -8% $MSFT -17% $TSLA -30% Massive dispersion within what was once a single trade.
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