Binhe Luo @RobinRiver3

Los mercados financieros han empezado a descontar el impacto de El Niño Un interesante artículo publicado esta semana en el Financial Times explica cómo un fondo de cobertura está captando capital para un vehículo creado específicamente para beneficiarse del fenómeno de El Niño de este año, y por qué los bancos de todo el sector ya están publicando informes para sus clientes sobre sus posibles repercusiones en los mercados. ☕ Los precios del café y el cacao se han disparado ante la previsión de daños en las cosechas de África occidental y Brasil. 🌾 El trigo de Australia y el arroz de la India se enfrentan a graves amenazas, ya que las precipitaciones del monzón indio se sitúan más de un 10 % por debajo de la media. 🚢 Los precios de las subastas para transitar por el Canal de Panamá han alcanzado máximos históricos. La preocupación por el descenso del nivel del agua recuerda a la grave sequía de 2023-2024. ⚡ La minería del cobre podría sufrir interrupciones por la sequía en Zambia y las inundaciones en Chile, ya que un mismo fenómeno genera riesgos opuestos en distintos lugares. 🍬 Los analistas siguen de cerca el posible impacto sobre la producción de azúcar de la India. La Organización Meteorológica Mundial afirma que no existen pruebas de que el cambio climático esté aumentando la frecuencia de los episodios extremos de El Niño. Sin embargo, está claro que el calentamiento global agrava las consecuencias de cada episodio: al incremento habitual de entre 0,1 y 0,2 °C provocado por El Niño se suma un calentamiento ya peligroso de 1,4 °C. Además, una atmósfera más cálida contiene más humedad, lo que favorece lluvias más intensas en las zonas donde El Niño ya provoca precipitaciones. La cifra más preocupante no tiene que ver con los mercados. El Programa Mundial de Alimentos advierte de que este episodio podría empujar al menos a 49 millones de personas más a una situación de inseguridad alimentaria. Es un recordatorio de que las consecuencias más graves recaen sobre quienes tienen menos capacidad para afrontarlas. Y sus efectos no desaparecen rápidamente: un estudio publicado en Science en 2023 concluyó que los grandes episodios de El Niño reducen el crecimiento de los países afectados durante años. Precisamente por eso es tan importante el tiempo de antelación de las previsiones que la OMM ofrece desde primavera. Los mercados ya están tomando posiciones ante este episodio, meses antes de que alcance su punto álgido. La cuestión es si esa misma capacidad de anticipación llegará a los pequeños agricultores, los responsables de la seguridad alimentaria y las comunidades vulnerables con la misma urgencia con la que llega a los fondos de cobertura. 🛰️ 📰 Fuente: Financial Times, «How will El Niño hit the world economy?» (Moral Money, 12 de agosto de 2026).

PROJECTED 2027 GLOBAL WARMING - UNPRECEDENTED EXPLOSIVE 1.76°C 2026 super El Nino on top of accelerating global warming. 2017 was 0.9°C. This projected (1.76°C) is a 0.86°C temperature increase in 10 years. Far faster than any increase in Earth's history, so Explosive (London Geological Society 2022, global warming fastest in geological record) (Washington Post, 13 August. 2026) #climatechange #globalwarming

5TH HEAT DOME EXPANDS ACROSS EUROPE. 40°C+ Severe Weather Europe, 12 Aug. 2026 40°C+ Highs Target Western and Central Europe Lack of nighttime cooling will increase health and wildfire hazard severe-weather.eu/global-weathe/… #heatwave #climatechange. #globalwarming

FIRE EMISSIONS, FOR CO2- HUGE SIBERIA BOREAL FOREST FIRES 5 Aug 2026, Copernicus, daily Fire Emissions Watch Africa always largest, broadcast agriculture burning Current huge Siberia Boreal Forest wildfires apps.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/fire-emissions… #wildfire #climatechange #CO2 #globalwarming

Many migrants who swam or jumped over fences to rush into Spain's African enclave of Ceuta this week were returning home, with some saying hunger, exhaustion and hostility from locals had crushed their hopes of a new life in Europe reut.rs/45lQFKd

Wildfires fanned by heavy winds burned across multiple areas of Greece, including near Athens, with large-scale firefighting operations and emergency evacuations ​underway reut.rs/4wCvrUn

S. KOREA RECORD TEMPERATURE, JAPAN HEAT WAVE CONTINUES In South Korea’s city of Yangsan, temperatures surged to 41.4°C (106.5°F), for third consecutive day above 40°C In Japan severe heat persited, heatstroke alerts for 30 of the country's 47 prefectures. (Anadolu Asia, 31 July 2026) #HeatWave #climatechange #globalwarming

Wildfire smoke from Oregon will reach the Bahamas on Friday, with light concentrations aloft nearly reaching all the way to Miami. The haze will also cascade down the Plains this weekend as a heat dome "smoke shield" shifts toward the Southwest.

🚨 SON DAKİKA: Alevler Evlerin Kapısına Dayandı! Fethiye Yeşilüzümlü'de Zamanla Yarış Başladı 🚨 🔥 Fethiye Yeşilüzümlü'de korku dolu anlar yaşanıyor! Gün içinde kontrol altına alınan orman yangını, kısa süre sonra aynı bölgede yeniden alevlendi. Şiddetli rüzgarın etkisiyle büyüyen alevler yerleşim alanlarına kadar ulaştı. 🚁 Orman kahramanları, itfaiye ekipleri ve helikopterler, alevlerin evlere sıçramaması için canlarını hiçe sayarak mücadele ediyor. 🙏 Her dakika kritik... Dualarımız bölgede görev yapan tüm ekipler ve Yeşilüzümlü halkıyla. 📢 Gelişmeleri anbean aktarmaya devam edeceğiz. Bu paylaşımı paylaşarak daha fazla kişinin haberdar olmasını sağlayabilirsiniz. #SONDAKİKA #Fethiye #Yeşilüzümlü #Muğla #Yangın #OrmanYangını #Alevler #FethiyeYangın #MuğlaYangın #Türkiye #OrmanKahramanları #BreakingNews #Keşfet #Viral #Gündem #Acil #YangınlaMücadele #DoğayıKoru @OGMgovtr

Spain and France's record-breaking wildfires were made more likely due to human-caused climate change, a group of scientists have found trib.al/Vt5RXEs

Havzalar arası su yüzeyi sıcaklığı bağlaşımı belirginleşiyor ❗️ Haritadaki anlık sst anomalisi/kırmızılar yalnız sıcak su diye geçiştirmemek gerekiyor. Atmosferin önümüzdeki haftalarda enerjiyi nereden alacağını da gösteriyor. Ekvatoral Pasifik’te doğuya uzanan havza ölçekli ısınma, atmosferle eşleşme güçlendikçe Walker dolaşımının yükselen kolunu ve konveksiyonu doğuya çekebilir; Rossby dalga kaynağının yeri değiştikçe etki orta enlemlere taşınır. Arkadaki +IOBM, Hint Okyanusu’ndaki nem akışını ve muson konverjansını bozarak yağışları daha düzensiz, yer yer aşırı hâle getirebilir. Kuzey Pasifik’te −PDO ile sıcak Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension’ın yan yana durması ise klasik bir El Niño yanıtından fazlasına işaret ediyor; keskinleşen okyanus cephesi baroklinik zonu ve fırtına yolunu yeniden konumlandırabilir. +TNA ve +CAR da Atlantik’in nem ile gizli ısı rezervuarını büyütüyor; rüzgâr kesmesi (wind shear) ve Sahra tozu izin verirse tropikal sistemler için daha elverişli bir zemin oluşabilir. Tek günlük SST haritası Süper El Niño’nun nihai şiddetini tabiki kanıtlamaz; ancak okyanusların birbirinden bağımsız davranmadığı artık çok açık biçimde.

Norway and Korea: Honoring a Partnership in Polar Science 🇳🇴🇰🇷 mk.co.kr/news/society/1… The Royal Norwegian Order of Merit was recently presented in Seoul in recognition of contributions to polar science and stronger cooperation between Norway and Korea. Dr. Sung-Ho Kang of the Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI) received the honor from Ambassador Anne Kari H. Ovind, on behalf of His Majesty King Harald V of Norway, for his long-standing work in polar research and for helping connect the Norwegian and Korean scientific communities. The recognition reflects more than one person’s achievement. It celebrates over 25 years of trust, shared knowledge, and friendship among researchers and institutions. This partnership matters far beyond the two countries. Changes in the polar regions affect oceans, climate, biodiversity, and communities around the world. No nation can understand or protect the poles alone. In a divided world, science can remain a bridge — connecting people, countries, and generations through a shared responsibility for our planet.

Scroll through these maps.

Extreme Temperatures Around The World @extremetemps

3 weeks ago

HISTORIC RECORD HEAT EVERYWHERE We are gonna live historic days which will be remembered for generations: Thousands of records will be pulverized at the same time in North,South (40C in winter again !) Americas,Asia and Europe. Stay tuned. It will be an absolute insanity.

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PAST 4 DAYS 1,554 SQ. MILS OF CANADA FOREST BURNED 1,554 sq. miles more Canada forest burned in the past 4 days Most fires are in the Northwest Territories, where heating has reached. This emits CO2 and methane and reduces land carbon sink. The emissions are highly toxic air pollution. Canada Interagency Forest Fire Center ciffc.net #wildfire #climatechange #globalwarming

Massive fast-moving forest fire in Seydikemer, Muğla Province, Turkey 🇹🇷 (29.07.2026)

‘Business As Usual’ Three words that will see us lose absolutely everything.

Folks it’s busy! A very amplified weather pattern brings the planet’s biggest heat dome to the US West, while forcing very stormy weather to Florida and the #Gulf Coast, #smoke carried 2500 miles from Oregon to #Florida, not to mention unprecedented fires in #Europe! I packed a ton of fascinating weather for you into this short video. Check it out… #stormy #rainy #fires

MORE, LARGER HEAT DOMES Another larger heat dome over Europe US heat dome has expanded, intensifying to the North Huge heat dome over Central Asia. This is at 1.39°C. Climate change denial is the greatest evil ever (Climate Reanlyzer) #heatwave #climatechange #globalwarming

In the Arctic, One Species’ Good Year Can Be Another’s Hard Year npolar.no/nyhet/historis… This year’s Svalbard reindeer count brought surprising news: the lowest mortality recorded since monitoring began in 1979. Researchers counted 1,503 reindeer in Adventdalen, while finding only two carcasses — a dramatic contrast to last year’s 302. Milder winter conditions, less snow and ice on the ground, and an early spring likely made grazing plants more accessible. For the reindeer, this meant better survival and one of the highest calf rates ever recorded. But the Arctic tells more than one story at a time. Fewer reindeer carcasses also mean less food for Arctic foxes, and researchers have already observed a sharp decline in fox breeding activity this year. This is the lesson of a connected ecosystem: Climate change does not create simple winners and losers. It rearranges relationships. A warmer Arctic may bring more food for some species in some years, while creating uncertainty, stress, and imbalance for others. In Svalbard, the reindeer remind us that nature’s signals are never isolated. Every number in a wildlife count is part of a larger story about climate, survival, and the fragile balance of life.

«À cause du réchauffement climatique, des feux de forêts peuvent survenir partout en France», souligne le porte-parole de la Sécurité civile cnews.fr/france/2026-07…