CryptoHL @cripto_hl
I spend millions daily ETH Joined September 2022-
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Guy wakes up from a coma after 2 months. Wife’s bawling her eyes out. Kids screaming. Last thing he remembered was being told, “Altszn by end of 2025.” He rips his phone off the table, shoves them all aside without a word. - Checks his perp bag: -85% - Checks his stable bag: -88% - Checks his L2 bag: -78% - Checks his DeFi bag: -94% literally prefers to go back into the coma again..
Is the top really in ? I compared this cycle to 2017 and 2021 and the signals are…. interesting to say the least. 🧵👇 ( must read )
Some thoughts on @edgeX_exchange A perp dex im farming actively these days.. I see it as a "dark horse” that deserves way more attention. Interestingly, it • survived 10/10 without a scratch • eLP printed during the chaos • pulled in $38M revenue in October alone And it’s not like it survived because nobody was trading lol if you look back at the data from 10/10, it was doing over $1.1B in OI and 5B volume ( insane imo ) Meanwhile, some top-tier perps and CEXs faced outages or had to trigger ADL during the same period ➥ What am I doing ? Mostly pairing edgeX with my regular perp farming and delta-neutral trading strategies. Most of you might be already farming this one, but if you’re new, feel free to use my link. > pro.edgex.exchange/referral/AXEB Open season ends in about 3 weeks, and they’ve announced their meme coin too Should be interesting to see how that plays out. So far, spreads are pretty good and liquidity too , btw, it’s an Amber Group incubated project, which itself is a top-tier MM. Overall, I like what I’m seeing.
All I see on the TL right now is 2 camps yelling past each other. Camp 1: thinks the bottom is in and this is just a normal 25 percent correction that usually shows up before the next leg. Camp 2: Thinks it’s over and is leaning on the Wyckoff distribution, plus that $BTC close below the weekly 50 EMA for the first time since March 2023. Curious where you stand and how you’re positioning here. I’ll share my plan in a bit.
After tracking the macro + on-chain shifts this week, I’m low key scared to say this… but bullish momentum actually looks more likely from here A thread on why i think we might see a reversal from here: 🧵👇
Kinda good tech ngl. You can now deploy AI workflows across major dapps like Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Aave, BNB Chain and more. Basically lets you automate on-chain actions and tie together DeFi + AI in one flow. Their Season 2 is live now with 50M $PLAI in rewards. You earn crates for using workflows and can refer friends to stack more. Worth farming imo and btw @playAInetwork raised 6.3M from Jump and others
Play Hub is now open for Orchestration! The Public Launch brings Season 2 with 50M $PLAI rewards. Deploy Plays across @HyperliquidX, @Polymarket, @trylimitless, @BNBCHAIN, @aave and more. Enter the era of the Agentic Internet now🎲
Kinda surprised CT is sleeping on @nillion One of the first serious privacy infra L1s this cycle Good time to put it on your radar, especially with Nillion 2.0 going token-focused Shifting from a trusted operator to a community-run network, keeping $NIL at the center ▸ Run a node, earn $NIL ▸ Execute workloads, pay in $NIL Simple thesis for me: Macro attention is swinging back to privacy, but mostly at the transaction layer (Zcash, private money). But what about privacy compute infra? Not many people are building there except Nillion while the money narrative gets all the oxygen. Might be worth paying attention as next attention might flow there.
Introducing Nillion 2.0. The Blind Computer is decentralizing. Run by the community, powered by $NIL. Full breakdown 👇
By the looks of the market right now, it feels like the worst is behind us… but is it really? I went through the, Charts, On chain data and Market signals... To figure out if this crash was a full reset or just a calm before another dump A thread on what I found: 🧵👇
I’ve lived through 2018, 2020, 2022… but this one felt biggest crash ever.. - $1T+ wiped - $20B liquidated in under an hour - Exchanges went down - some stables depegged, chaos everywhere Here’s what really happened and what I think comes next:🧵👇
Wouldn’t be surprised if $XPL ends up pulling a move similar to $PUMP $PUMP did the classic post TGE pattern → 30% pump → 65% retrace → forms a solid base → slow grind back → full reversal to the listing wick and new highs.. $XPL hasn’t had that full 65% flush yet.. it’s been more controlled, but the rhythm feels the same and we are almost there.. Early hype → cool-off → base forming around $0.55–$0.60. If this range holds and we start seeing accumulation + volume pickup, I’ll look to size in there around $0.55 Same setup, just waiting for the same outcome.. a rip back toward the listing wick once sellers are done.
Trump just nuked the markets again. After months of negotiations and trade talks, he dropped the tariff bomb again threatening heavy duties on China. Within an hour, $750B got wiped from stocks, $120B from crypto, and nearly $500M in longs were liquidated. And the funniest part? It happened right after he didn’t win the Nobel Peace Prize. lmao You can’t make this up. But is the top in ? I don’t think so. Trump’s been playing this same game since Q1 threatening tariffs, markets panic, then a “deal” magically appears. We saw it in Q2, and imo, it’ll play out the same again. Short term though, volatility is back. Expect a few weeks of chop and downside to clear late bulls before reversal. My read: - More shakeouts coming - Reversal once everyone calls it a dead-cat - New ATH by late Oct / early Nov - Alt rally follows right after We’re still in the most bullish quarter and every cycle we’ve seen this kind of flush before the real leg up. No clean rallies without pain first.
Read this full piece earlier today from @a1research__ and it perfectly sums up where DeFi’s heading next.. We’re officially entering the real time blockchain era, where onchain trading starts matching CEX speed. Think 100k+ TPS, sub-second finality, and microsecond execution. Few takeaways: - Solana, Sei, Aptos, Sui, MegaETH, Monad, and Rise are all racing to build blockchains fast enough to host full onchain CLOBs. - These aren’t AMMs.. they’re full-blown orderbooks like NASDAQ, but onchain. - Each chain is solving the “speed” problem differently.. some with parallel execution (Aptos, Sui), others with modular design (Bullet, Monaco), and some even targeting microsecond-level matching. Projects like Monaco (Sei), Bullet (Solana), DeepBook (Sui), and Decibel (Aptos) are leading that charge, building shared liquidity and execution layers that apps can plug into… while Hybrid models (offchain matching, onchain settlement) made sense before, but it’s clear where this is going.. fully onchain matching is becoming both possible and preferred.. In the end, imo the real winners won’t be frontends or DEX UIs it will be whoever owns the liquidity layer + matching engine across ecosystems. That’s where the next wave of power and value in DeFi will sit..
$1.2B worth of new stablecoins flowed into Ethereum in the past 24 hours thats a biggest jump in a while. $BTC made new highs, $ETH close to its ATH.. And now it feels like quiet accumulation phase across high caps… liquidity rotating back on chain, expecting high caps to do well in the coming few days..
Core SZN about to get real The world's first Bitcoin staking ETP recently dropped on the London Stock Exchange which is powered by @Coredao_Org's infra. Each share is physically backed 1:1 by BTC held in cold storage. Institutions can now earn yield on BTC without managing keys or touching contracts directly. ➥ For $CORE, this is massive : Since it runs on Core’s staking infra and is delegated to Core non-custodial validators for yield, it strengthens staking and network security At the same time, these flows increase on-chain activity, providing strong support for Core's dapps and ecosystem liquidity. Core already has the largest Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem of any sidechain, and most of these dapps are about to see real liquidity hit. Bullish af for $CORE.
🔥 LATEST: The first Bitcoin staking ETP by Core DAO has gone live on the London Stock Exchange.
Another round of FED rate cut in Q4 is coming... Odds now at 88% - Rate cut = cheaper money - And cheaper money always looks for yield Means a perfect setup for stablecoin protocols offering yield. 👀 My thesis on $ENA $XPL $STBL and their flywheel. A Thread: 🧵👇
The psyop reset worked again. “Lost structure” panic → quick reclaim → higher. $ETH back in range after the fakeout. Exactly what I was looking for in my last post. Gut still says higher.
Good morning ☀️ Feels like the same psyop on repeat.. “F*ck we lost structure” → panic → reset → higher. Seen this before. $ETH always makes it look broken right before it runs. Gut says it plays out the same way this time too. higher!
Committed $60K into @YieldBasis sale Been bullish on BTCfi for a while, so this one caught my eye. Most $BTC yield options either make you trust a CEX or give up upside to impermanent loss on-chain. YieldBasis built an AMM that actually solves IL. It borrows crvUSD against your BTC/crvUSD LP, creates a 2× leveraged position, and auto-rebalances to maintain a 50% debt ratio. Basically your position tracks BTC spot 1:1 while earning Curve trading fees. ➥ Has a pretty good flywheel : As an LP you choose, ▸ Earn BTC trading fees directly ▸ Forgo fees to earn $YB, lock for veYB, and claim protocol fees (BTC) More BTC deposited drives volume and fees, boosting yield and pulling in even more BTC Also big for @CurveFinance as every rebalance generates Curve volume Kinda hyped sale, but imo it’s worth a shot.
What’s the next logical bid after PerpDEXs ? Easily the infra these perps run on. Look for ones with real value accrual flywheels connected to perp activity. Take @SuccinctLabs for example , two perps using zk proofs: ▸ Lighter ▸ Hibachi Every trade, liquidation, or state update needs a ZK proof. Succinct provers generate them. As perps scale, proof demand rises with it which fuels more $PROVE rewards for both provers and stakers. Interestingly both protocols incentivise $PROVE in some way: ▸ Lighter hinted at $Prove airdrop ▸ Hibachi gives points to stakers It's more like projects are leaning towards zk infras and Succinct is sitting at core of it right now Same across other niches like compute networks ( @cysic_xyz ) who also run provers on Succinct and reward stakers Free money on table imo
Q4 kicks off in 2 days.. tbh this is the window i’ve been waiting months for.. usually the one where Alts finally run hardest But will it really play out the same way this time ? After studying the data, macro setup and catalysts lining up, here’s my full read on Q4: 🧵👇
The way $ASTER, $AVNT, $XPL, $APEX, $STBL all pulled 7-figure trades for ppl lately feels like a signal for the whole market. Every week has had at least one big cook.. that’s bullish. And imo when retail keeps getting plays like this to print, chances of the market going lower are slim. Positive sentiment → risk-on behavior → more flows → more rotations. - Winners rotate into the next play - New money sees the green and apes in - Liquidity snowballs because no one wants to sit sidelined It’s a reflexive loop. The more winners we get, the more confident the market feels, and the harder it gets to push prices lower. Not straight up only… but dips in this type of market get eaten fast. higher imo
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