Alex Mas @AMLabEcon
Professor at UC Berkeley. Labor economics. sites.google.com/view/alex-mas/… Joined May 2021-
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When the University of California system required standardized tests, only 11.6% of students showed severe math deficits After UC stopped requiring SAT/ACT, 33% had severe math deficits “We watch students struggle through material they were expected to master years earlier. We pause lectures to reteach linear equations instead of expanding students’ understanding of differential equations”
“It is easier for a working-class kid to pick up an SAT prep book and study it intensively than it is for them to go on a community-service trip to South America, play travel lacrosse, or flatter the sensibilities of an upper-middle-class admissions official.”
"an applicant from a family in the top 1% of America’s income distribution is 34% more likely to win admission than a typical applicant with the same SAT or ACT score. Kids from the top 0.1 percent, meanwhile, were more than twice as likely to get in"nymag.com/intelligencer/…
The labor side story here is more about non-cash compensation. Including it in the measure of workers' share of GDP shows a much less dramatic picture. Things like employer contributions to health insurance are a large part of labor compensation!
Workers' share of GDP is at its lowest point on record whereas the corporate share is near record highs. This dynamic may exacerbate as Trump's fiscal policies disproportionately benefit corporations and the wealthy.
Same thought but for bookstores. Bookstores are generally unprofitable, but nice to have in the neighborhood.
extraordinarily rich people living in sf, a request: can you please use a few of these billboards for very beautiful art? would be cool if the city was just like, we’re not actually selling anything up here today we just thought this looked nice
I don't think there can be much debate at this point about whether federal borrowing is crowding out private investment, the question is how much.
From the @FT: "A $25bn Treasury auction of 30-year bonds on Thursday drew yields as high as 5.22 per cent, according to the US Treasury department. It marked the highest yield since the 5.52 per cent paid in August 2001, after which 30-year auctions were suspended for almost five
West Oakland is the new industrial heartland.
Elon Musk is following Jeff Bezos into Oakland. Just like that. Back to back leases signed by Bezos then Elon. 100,000 sq ft for Bezos, and 40,000 sq ft for Elon.
Policy-proposal: For every 10% increase in the minimum wage in fast food lower the sales tax in that sector by 2 p.p.
In 2021 there was a lot of discussion on labor market distortions from expanded UI. In retrospect, the first-order problem was fraud and poor screening.
Studying social insurance with imperfect eligibility screening, focusing on Unemployment Insurance during its expansion in 2020 and 2021, from Adam Isen, @EliraKuka, and @BryanAStuart nber.org/papers/w35465
New paper: Cautious Careers: Job Mobility under Incomplete Markets w/@PDenderski @alexclymo @ayusufmercan Idea: 1) Switching jobs is risky. 2) We are risk-averse. 3) Insurance markets are incomplete. =>Workers avoid risky jobs =>Lower wage growth & productivity =>UI can help
What holds back job-to-job mobility and productivity growth? The role of risk aversion and incomplete markets, and a new, pro-growth role for unemployment insurance, from Alex Clymo, Piotr Denderski, @ayusufmercan, and @Schoefer_B nber.org/papers/w35580
Jeff Bezos is bringing his new AI company to Oakland. Project Prometheus just signed a massive 100,000 sq ft lease, at a former steel complex that's becoming a hub for advanced manufacturing, robotics, clean energy and R&D. Project Prometheus, co-founded and led by Bezos and Vik Bajaj, is building what it calls an “artificial general engineer” for the physical world. Their vision is to build AI that doesn't just understand text and digital information, but can understand the physical world and help design, engineer and manufacture real things...from jet engines and automobiles to computers, medical devices and other complex products. The company has already raised $12 BILLION at a $41 billion valuation. Now it's taking 100,000 SF of industrial space in West Oakland. That location makes a lot of sense. It's minutes from UC Berkeley, Berkeley Lab, the Port of Oakland and San Francisco, with the kind of power, high ceilings and industrial infrastructure that physical AI companies need. The Bay Area AI boom has been a San Francisco office story so far. But the next wave of AI may need warehouses, labs, manufacturing space, robotics facilities and places where AI can interact with the physical world. And the East Bay has a LOT of that. Awesome to see one of the best-capitalized AI startups in the world choosing Oakland as part of that vision. 👀 📍 Oakland
Factory construction surged in 2021. This series does not include data centers.
Data and methods: Weekly California and U.S. regular all-formulations gasoline prices come from EIA for January 5 through August 10, 2026. California’s benchmark weight is its 2024 share of U.S. motor-gasoline consumption from EIA SEDS: 312.84 million of 3.282 billion barrels, or 9.53%. The U.S.-excluding-California price is reconstructed by removing California from the national price using this fixed share, and the premium is California’s price minus that benchmark in cents per gallon. No regression, smoothing or seasonal adjustment.
Gas prices in CA are persistently high. Did Jones Act waiver that increased fuel shipments to CA reduce this gas premium? Here's the raw data.
"One bright spot for California: imports from Texas. The amount of fuel flowing from the Gulf Coast to the West Coast surged nearly sevenfold from February to May. The increase happened after the Trump administration issued a 60-day waiver of the Jones Act..."
Near-full price pass-through of minimum wages.
I changed my mind on minimum wage after reviewing the data. I used to believe in letting the free market handle it, like most of you. However, when California raised the minimum wage for fast-food workers, it increased prices for consumers by pennies (~1-2%). There was zero
US long-term Treasury yields are drifting inexorably higher. The 10y10y forward yield (red) has risen to its highest level in 20 years. That can't be a surprise given that US debt issuance is around 7% of GDP. Only surprise is that yields aren't higher... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-global-f…
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