Armistice Security Consult International® @ASCIsecure

SITUATION REPORT -SITREP Situation: Tanzania Sabasaba Protests | Govt Response Period: 20260707 | 09:30 EAT Loc: Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Situation Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Heavy security presence with pre-emptive measures; limited reported protest activity so far. ISSUES: Tanzania marks Saba Saba Day (7 July), a national public holiday commemorating the 1954 founding of TANU and the Dar es Salaam International Trade Fair amid heightened tensions. Gen-Z activists and opposition figures called for nationwide demonstrations demanding constitutional reforms, accountability for post-2025 election violence and the release of opposition leader Tundu Lissu. The government banned political rallies, deployed heavy security forces (police and military) and conducted pre-emptive arrests. Many areas, particularly in Dar es Salaam, appear calm with businesses closed voluntarily or due to caution. Pro government Social media campaign noted, a pushback against protests, framing them as potentially violent or externally influenced. No large-scale violent demonstrations reported as of early morning, but the situation remains fluid with significant security presence. KEY DEVELOPMENTS Protest Calls: Activists (including Maria Sarungi, Mange Kimambi and Gen-Z groups) mobilised via social media for demonstrations on 7 July. Some called for treating the day as a “public holiday” by staying home or protesting. Planned actions included marches and petitions. Government Response: Nationwide ban on political rallies and demonstrations. “Unprecedented crackdown” vowed by officials. Heavy deployment of security forces in Dar es Salaam and other major cities. Dozens of pre-emptive arrests reported. Warnings against incitement or violence, with accusations of foreign backing. On-the-Ground Situation (as of morning 7 July): Dar es Salaam (Mwenge area and others) largely quiet; many shops and transport services closed or limited. Strong counter-campaign on social media rejecting protests . Context: Tensions stem from the disputed October 2025 elections, post-election violence and ongoing calls for reforms. Saba Saba carries symbolic weight as a day of historical political significance. RISK ASSESSMENT Short-term (today): High security presence likely to deter or quickly contain any gatherings. Risk of isolated clashes or arrests if small groups attempt protests. Internet or communication disruptions possible as a precautionary measure. Humanitarian and Security: Pre-emptive arrests and heavy deployment increase risks of arbitrary detention. Potential for sporadic unrest if protests materialise despite bans. Broader Impact: Economic disruption from closed businesses and limited transport. International scrutiny on human rights and political freedoms. Overall Trend: Government appears to have the upper hand in controlling the narrative and physical space so far. Public sentiment analysis leans toward rejecting violence and prioritising stability. ADVISORY For clients operations in Tanzania: Avoid protest hotspots ( Dar es Salaam central areas, major squares). Monitor ASCI advisories and updates closely. Enhance personal and operational security awareness. Allow extra time for travel; expect possible checkpoints or movement restrictions. Maintain contingency plans for civil unrest. The situation is dynamic — contact ASCI Desk for flash updates or country-specific advice. Stay safe.

Situation Report-SITREP Situation: Sabasaba Protests Roadblocks| Traffic Disruption| protests Period: 20260707 | 07:45 EAT Loc: Nairobi, Kenya Situation Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Widespread security checkpoints and traffic controls in Nairobi ISSUES Kenya Police have implemented enhanced checkpoints and roadblocks across multiple major roads leading into and within Nairobi CBD in anticipation of Saba Saba commemorations. Public service vehicles (matatus) are largely being turned away from the city centre, while private vehicles face screening. Measures aim to control movement and prevent unlawful gatherings, which police have declared illegal without prior notification. Traffic disruption is significant on key arteries. No large-scale protests reported yet, but the situation remains fluid. KNOWN ROADBLOCKS & CHECKPOINTS (as of 07:45 AM): • Thika Road -Roadblock mounted; Ruiru Nairobi-bound traffic diverted to Kimbo service lane. Bluepost, Githurai, Allsops. • Mombasa Road - Roadblock in place near Cabanas ; security checkpoints active. • Juja Road - Blocked by police. Other major roads: Lang’ata Road Kiambu Road Ngong Road Waiyaki Way Jogoo Road Public transport is being restricted from accessing the CBD; private motorists are being screened and turned back in some cases. IMPACT Traffic: Major disruptions and diversions on approaches to Nairobi CBD. Expect significant delays. Public Transport: Matatus largely unable to enter the city centre. CBD Access: Heavily controlled; many areas feel restricted or “shut down” for normal business. Broader Kenya: Similar heightened security measures reported in other urban centres, though Nairobi remains the primary focus. RISK ASSESSMENT Security: Police posture is proactive to deter or contain any unauthorised demonstrations. Risk of clashes if protesters attempt to breach checkpoints. Mobility: High disruption to commuters and logistics on major corridors. Escalation Potential: Moderate - depends on turnout and any attempts to force entry into restricted zones. ADVISORY Avoid non-essential travel into Nairobi CBD, especially via Thika Road, Mombasa Road and other listed arteries. Use alternatives where possible ( Northern, southern, Western and Eastern Bypasses or less-affected routes) and allow extra travel time. Monitor ASCI real-time updates. If in the area, remain calm, follow security instructions and avoid protest hotspots. The situation is dynamic — flash updates available on request. Stay safe.

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Rail Crash ID: 20260706 | 08:30 EAT Loc: IVO Bata Shoes Company, Limuru, Kenya. Incident Level: MODERATE (Level 1.5) – Near-miss rail-road collision with no fatalities ISSUES A Kenya Railways train engine collided with a lorry at the Limuru Railway Crossing . Occupants unharmed. Train and lorry sustained damage. Claims of signalling, horn protocols and weather-related procedures ignored by the train operator. Foggy weather reduced visibility. No casualties reported; damage limited to vehicles. ADVISORY Exercise extreme caution at all rail crossings, especially in foggy areas. Slow down, look and listen for trains and avoid rushing barriers.

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SITUATION REPORT- Weekly SITREP Situation: Sudan Conflict RD:20260706 Period Covered: 01–06 July 2026 Situation Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Sustained drone warfare, ground clashes and escalating civilian risk ISSUES The Sudan conflict remained intense across multiple fronts during the reporting period, with RSF drone strikes dominating operations in Kordofan and Darfur, causing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage. SAF conducted counter-strikes and reported localized advances, particularly in Darfur. Key flashpoints include El Obeid (ongoing siege pressure), Dilling (South Kordofan), Umbaro (North Darfur), Kurmuk (Blue Nile) and Omdurman. Humanitarian conditions continue to deteriorate, with aid access severely constrained and displacement accelerating. International concern over potential mass atrocities remains high. KEY INCIDENTS • North Kordofan (El Obeid area): RSF maintained pressure through repeated drone strikes on civilian infrastructure (fuel stations, power, residential areas), causing blackouts, shortages and hospital disruptions. The city remains under SAF control but partially besieged, with RSF forces massing on multiple axes. No confirmed major ground assault yet, but conditions for one persist. • South Kordofan (Dilling): On or around 5 July, an RSF drone strike killed at least 3 civilians. The area has seen recurrent attacks, compounding earlier siege-related suffering. • North Darfur (Umbaro Locality): RSF attacked 6 villages (reported 5 July), resulting in civilian deaths, injuries and significant mass displacement. This fits a pattern of rural targeting to weaken support bases and create humanitarian pressure. • Blue Nile (Kurmuk): SAF drone strikes and shelling reported against RSF & SPLM-N positions. Clashes remain active in this eastern front. • Khartoum/Omdurman: An attempted RSF drone strike reported on 5 July . SAF air defenses active in the capital region. • West Darfur: Earlier SAF-Joint Forces advances in Jebel Om area north of Al Geneina continue to shape the battlefield, potentially opening new fronts or supply lines. BROADER CONTEXT & TRENDS Drone Warfare Dominance: RSF and SAF increasingly rely on drones for strikes on infrastructure, convoys and populated areas, driving a sharp rise in civilian casualties (hundreds reported in 2026 so far). This has crippled essential services - power, fuel and water in contested zones. Humanitarian Impact: Partial sieges, targeted infrastructure attacks and displacement are pushing regions toward catastrophe. Aid delivery remains extremely challenging; IPC Phase 4/5 food insecurity widespread. Over 500,000 at direct risk around El Obeid alone. Strategic Dynamics: RSF seeks to break SAF strongholds in central Sudan (El Obeid as a key logistics node). SAF focuses on defensive consolidation and counter-offensives in Darfur and Blue Nile. Foreign backing alleged for both sides sustains the stalemate. RISK ASSESSMENT Short-term (next 7–14 days): High probability of further RSF drone campaigns and possible ground probes around El Obeid and Dilling. SAF retaliatory strikes likely. Risk of mass civilian harm remains elevated. Medium-term: Potential major offensive on El Obeid could trigger large-scale displacement and atrocities. Rainy season worsens logistics and humanitarian challenges. Overall: Conflict shows no signs of de-escalation; drone proliferation and infrastructure targeting are defining features of this phase. ADVISORY Avoid non-essential movement in Kordofan, Darfur and Blue Nile corridors. Review contingency plans for teams and assets in affected states. Watch El Obeid closely for signs of ground escalation. Coordinate with local partners for real-time ground truth. Situation highly fluid — contact ASCI Desk for area-specific briefings or updates. Stay safe.

Don't go,drive anywhere even in your locality without checking matters safety on socials, police , Google maps,waze etc. This is Kenya after 2022 @CFCJoes @ASCIsecure @SecurityArenaKE @SecurexEA @RSAIKenya

Hormuz traffic data signals #MarineTraffic data show 38 confirmed crossings through the monitored Strait of #Hormuz zone on 2 July, a 10% day on day decline. Commercial vessels continued to account for most movements, including 14 laden cargo transits led by crude, CPP and dry bulk, alongside LPG and DPP cargoes. Iranian flagged activity rose sharply to 11 crossings from two the previous day, while nine sanctioned crossings were also observed. Route selection shifted towards the Iranian and Dark or Unknown corridors, as Omani route use weakened.

Incident Update Incident:Traffic Disruption | Mugging| Protest ID :20260703 | 10:50 EAT Loc: Pangani, Thika Road, Nairobi Road cleared; traffic normalizing. Police on site and active. Lingering minor delays possible during final clearance, but major gridlock resolved. Risk level significantly reduced. Residual caution advised for any secondary incidents or opportunistic activity along the corridor.

Armistice Security Consult International® @ASCIsecure

a week ago

INCIDENT ALERT: Incident: Traffic Disruption| Mugging| Protests ID: 20260703| 09:45EAT Loc: Pangani, Thika Road, Nairobi County ELEVATED (Level 2) – Criminal road blockage with reported theft/robbery risk ISSUES: A section of Thika Road at Pangani has been blocked by a group of

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INCIDENT ALERT: Incident: Traffic Disruption| Mugging| Protests ID: 20260703| 09:45EAT Loc: Pangani, Thika Road, Nairobi County ELEVATED (Level 2) – Criminal road blockage with reported theft/robbery risk ISSUES: A section of Thika Road at Pangani has been blocked by a group of individuals, resulting in significant disruption to traffic flow along the corridor. Reports indicate opportunistic criminal activity, including mugging from motorists, with some individuals reportedly armed with pangas (machetes). Police presence in the immediate area is reported as limited or passive in early accounts. The situation remains fluid, with movement through the affected section currently restricted. Security agencies are expected to respond to restore normal traffic flow and maintain public order. ADVISORY: For Clients and Operations in Nairobi: Strictly avoid the Pangani section of Thika Road and nearby Muthaiga area until cleared. Use alternative routes Motorists already in the vicinity should remain calm, keep vehicle doors locked and windows up where safe to do so, avoid engaging with crowds and follow directions issued by security personnel. Contact ASCI Operations Desk immediately for route support or further monitoring. Stay safe and vigilant

SITUATION REPORT-SITREP Situation: Sudan Conflict SD: 20260702 | 08:45 UTC Loc: El-Obeid- North Kordofan,Kosti-White Nile State, West Darfur, Sudan Wide. Situation Level: HIGH (Level 3) - Imminent risk of major offensive and humanitarian catastrophe ISSUES El Obeid (capital of North Kordofan, Sudan) remains under Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) control but facing intensifying pressure from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). RSF encirclement strategy noted, with significant built up of forces around the city. RSF continued sustained drone strikes in El Obeid, creating a partial siege-like situation. Warnings of an imminent RSF ground offensive and risk of mass atrocities (similar to El Fasher in 2025) are live. RSF targeted strikes also reported in Kosti, White Nile State. Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) reported territorial gains in West Darfur, gaining control of Jebel Om area, north of state capital Al Geneina. This represents a notable territorial gain in the volatile Darfur region. The humanitarian situation is deteriorating rapidly.The conflict remains highly dynamic with persistent risks to civilian areas and logistics corridors. KEY DEVELOPMENTS (as of early July 2026) • RSF Drone Campaign: Strikes on Kosti, White Nile State. Continued strikes on El Obeid, North Kordofan (targeting fuel stations- at least 8 damaged, power substation, civilian areas and infrastructure). This has caused widespread blackouts, fuel & water shortages, hospital closures and civilian casualties. Recent strikes confirmed as late as 01 July. • El Obeid, North Kordofan Situation: El Obeid remains under SAF control but faces a partial siege with RSF forces massing from multiple directions (north, south, west). RSF tightening the noose; sustained drone campaign disrupting aid and essential services. SAF maintains defensive fortifications-checkpoints, berms, trenches. Claims interceptions of RSF drones. • Humanitarian crisis: Aid access restricted (drones targeting convoys and trucks); increasing displacement and new IDP shelters; essential services collapsing; IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) food insecurity; over 500,000 people at grave risk. Warnings of a potential “repeat of El Fasher.” • SAF Advances: West Darfur - SAF and allied Joint Forces gained control of Jebel Om area, north of state capital Al Geneina, expanding territorial gains. RISK ASSESSMENT Aerial and Ground Threat: High risk of RSF ground offensive on El Obeid in coming days or weeks, potentially triggering mass atrocities and large-scale displacement. Drone warfare dominant and escalating. Humanitarian: Catastrophic trajectory in Kordofan if siege tightens further. Aid and civilian infrastructure severely impacted. Regional: Spillover risks along supply routes (White Nile) and potential counter-moves in Darfur. Foreign involvement (alleged UAE support for RSF) complicating dynamics International: UN Human Rights Council urgent debate scheduled for Friday 3 July; widespread calls for de-escalation from UN, US, NGOs ADVISORY For Clients and Operations in Sudan: Avoid non-essential movement in and around El Obeid, Kosti, North Kordofan and West Darfur corridors. Review evacuation and contingency plans and enhance security posture for any remaining staff or assets. Monitor official, ASCI and local sources closely for updates and flashalerts. Prepare for rapid deterioration in access and services. For Humanitarian and logistical Operations, prioritise remote support where possible; coordinate with aid actors on access constraints. The situation is highly fluid, contact ASCI Desk for flash updates or area-specific analysis

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🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨 Senior driver Mzee Malalo has reportedly been brutally assaulted by South Sudanese soldiers along the Juba–Nesitu Road this evening. He has been rushed to Juba in critical condition. How long will this continue? This must stop. @ngorminister @maalmaker

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Train Fire Accident ID:20260701 | 19:03 EAT Loc: Masimba area, Makueni County, Kenya. Incident Level: ISSUES A Kenya Railways freight train (Mombasa-bound cargo from Nairobi caught fire. The cause remains unknown. Firefighting, containment and recovery operations are actively underway. No casualties reported at this time. Impact: Potential disruption to rail freight services on the metre-gauge line. RISK ASSESSMENT Short-term: Risk of cargo loss, rail service delays. ADVISORY For Clients/Operations on Nairobi-Mombasa Corridor, Monitor Kenya Railways updates for service delays. Contact ASCI Operations Desk for logistics impact assessment or route advisories.

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@05BM44 Mountainwood

@AderaJacob All clear.

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Protest ID:20260630| 16:05 EAT Loc: IVO Harmony Bridge near Kariobangi South Roundabout, Kiamaiko, Outering Road, Nairobi Kenya. Incident Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Sporadic unrest with use of force . ISSUES High tension with sporadic demonstrations ongoing. Multiple gunshots and tear gas deployed near residential areas along Outering Road in the Kiamaiko area of Nairobi. This appears linked to residual or renewed protest activity following claims of abduction of a known Kiamaiko Gang leader. Situation remains volatile with police responding. Traffic disruptions and heightened risk along Outering Road. No confirmed casualties at this time. RISK ASSESSMENT Immediate: Risk of escalation, further tear gas use, or running battles along Outering Road. Risk of muggings and other opportunistic crimes live. Mobility: Major disruptions expected; avoid the corridor. RECOMMENDATIONS For Clients/Operations in Nairobi Eastlands: Strictly avoid Outering Road and Kiamaiko area until further notice. Use alternative routes (Jogoo Road ). Shelter in place or evacuate if nearby; maintain low profile; monitor real-time local alerts. Enhance compound security and limit movement in affected zones. Contact ASCI Operations Desk for route advisories or real-time updates. Stay safe.

@4ew_films @CFCJoes @LimitlessKe95 @C_NyaKundiH All clear.

THIEF CAPTURED 🚨 A suspected thief has been captured on camera long the Mai Mahiu Escarpment stealing a fire extinguisher from a moving truck. @DCI_Kenya and @NPSOfficial_KE this gang should be contained ASAP. @motoristsoffice @cbs_ke @princegershom_ @RSAIKenya @roadsensekenya

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Update: One shot dead.

Kenya deported Somalia Deputy Prime Minister and former acting President of South West State Jibril Abdirashid. Kenyan authorities accused him of being in possession of illegally acquired Kenyan documents. Equally, the Deputy Prime Minister was linked to efforts to destablise border towns close to the kenyan border. He has airlifted arms into one of the town near the kenyan border and from JKIA was proceeding to the said town to arm clan militia and disturb the current peace, tranquility and administration in the border town with serious security consequences on the Kenyan side. The Deputy Prime Minister was also linked to recent armed conflict in Baidoa town where civilians were killed and hundreds of families displaced. Efforts by Kenyan politicians to intervene did not succeed. Jibril Abdirashid renewed his Passport which screenshots will be shared later. #ActionCountersTerrorism

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