Alan Fulle @AWFResearch
Just a semi-retired farmer trying to make sense of the world. England Joined December 2025-
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Can't believe I had missed it but a routine search has uncovered a seminal piece of work by Bills & James (1997, JGR 102, 7579–7602). Proposes more than half of IGOR mechanism 25yrs before us. IGOR just adds LLSVP 75W direction and ten deg scale. More here-alanfullr.substack.com/i/204078212/g1…
@ahfultz @stephXskystory Just to be clear. Stephanie's Q3 already addresses the mass redistribution framing directly. The D″ mass required for 104° on fast timescales is 10²¹–10²⁴ kg regardless of whether you frame it as torque or inertia tensor change. What mass source are you proposing at that scale?
@ahfultz @stephXskystory Don't think that quite cuts it. Core-mantle coupling from toroidal D″ field enhancement explains decadal polar motion at milliarcsecond scales. The gap between what this paper establishes and what ECDO requires is approximately 4 to 9 orders of magnitude depending on timescale.
@nobulart Do what you have to do! Your input will be missed and I'm sure you will be back soon. I should be focused on getting the harvest in but my thoughts keep getting dragged back to LLSVP density and DO interval timings🤷
Here's one of Michael Crichton's very finest quotes, especially applicable to climate "science": "I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you’re being had. Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right ... In science, consensus is irrelevant." Best to everyone, w.
Michael Crichton is such a fascinating figure and it is a goddamn shame he died so young This guy got into Harvard Medical School and said "actually, I want to write stories" so he wrote one of the most harrowing long short stories, the Andromeda Strain. This guy was addicted
@stephXskystory Rigorous work Stephanie! I went down the same path and I expect you will eventually come to the same conclusion- ECDO cant work as described. It is an inspiring piece of work, beautifully crafted but ultimately physically and evidentially impossible.
@Iwo1945 @HashZappa I favour oscillating between Hudson Bay and current, steered by underlying earth LLSVP structures. Surface evidence can accommodate only a certain amount of disruption. If it keeps moving about it's hard to square it. see my pinned for details. Only in rough notes atm.
@Iwo1945 @HashZappa I am even more conservative, I can't see much more than ten degrees. The pole migrates towards Hudson Bay over the ice age. The Younger Dryas was it's return snap to current position. ECDO is far too extreme by every measure I can find.
@nobulart Great find Craig. More evidence that the Earth has been oscillating for a very long time. We are just lucky to be in one of the quiet periods. P.S. I am finding Claude a VAST improvement over Grok.
@HashZappa Looks like we are almost on the same page. Once you start to look into it in more depth you realise that ECDO cant work. The evidence just cant support 90deg flips in days. All very "engaging" on the surface but physically impossible. The answers are out there. Keep digging.
@TheLibertyBella @stephXskystory Contrary to most of the current Pole Shift exponents I am predicting a very slow shift (on human timescales at least). So nothing that will concern us for 1000s of years. More info in my pinned post. Sorry but it is only a rough working doc atm. I could ofc be wrong😉
@RollyMole @TheCinesthetic Easily Tarantino's worst movie!
Initial work but plan to refine as time/data allows open.substack.com/pub/alanfullr/…
Hello again. After finding major flaws with Grok Ai and a predilection to synthesise data and lie about it, work on IGOR had to be halted. After latest from @zachariaspro I was motivated to restart work with Claude Ai. Great improvement so far. Work ongoing but see below for Mk4
@zachariaspro I am restarting my IGOR work with Claude, I would say a massive improvement over Grok. Your work has reinvigorated my interest and I thank you for that. We are all looking at the same scattered jigsaw pieces and trying to make the most coherent picture possible. It is not easy.
@zachariaspro After working through it you have solved one of my puzzles- The LLSVP masses and the 75W direction, I couldn't reconcile that before. The pole just never gets further than 8-12deg before it stops and then returns. The YD was the pole returning to its favoured current position.
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