GregTheAnalyst @Analyst_G
Independent investor, my tweets are not an investment advice. Charts, macro-micro, technicals. gregtheanalyst.com Everywhere Joined March 2011-
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JUST IN: 53% of all Bitcoin $BTC in circulation is now held at an unrealized loss.
Agreed…
Everyone has their thoughts on what Strategy should do so here is mine: Sell the bitcoin and dissolve the company. $MSTR
@HermesLux I’ll wait for double bottom around 0,42c, -99.87%
TLT/GOLD - from (M)RSI=14 (not so crazy like -SNDK = (M)RSI=0.75) But for some time DXY+TLT should outperform GOLD. Come back to (M)MA200 probably will match at some point of time this resistance level...
It's time to watch $TLT My ultimate low : October 2023 so far was hold, let's call current level in May 2026 double-bottom related to TLT Do we have "AFTER" interest rate spike behind us? That's possible. TLT/GOLD looks like about to rally with (M)RSI=13 SPY/TLT - above the
I'll give you another hint what this blackhole crypto mass does not understand. When fiat is going to zero -> BTC will hit zero way before fiat. Fiat can only go to zero if $$$ value will reach "infinity". There's no other possibility.
@CaseyKristoffe1 The sign of the reversal is that fiat going to zero.
$MSFT - next point : close below 4Q21 on (M) My hint : Everything must reverse below 4Q21 cycle peak
$MSFT - again below (W)MA200? bulls need to hurry up or ... it'll crash
Another record ... but you were warned about its secular bear market $NKE x.com/Analyst_G/stat… Magical 4Q21 cycle peak...
Nike is now down 75% from its peak in November 2021, the largest drawdown in company history. $NKE
$JEF - I believe this might be a big bull trap. Couple days left...
$JEF - the biggest crashes happen when market breaks (W)MA200 & (M)MA50 retest it from the bottom and ... FAIL Funny is that (M)MA50 almost covers previous 2008 level : I'm seeing TONS TONS TONS of charts like JEF, but also lots of charts with (M)MA200 breaks (entering super
@RyansMethod That's how biggest crashes mostly kicks in...
$PLTR (W)MA200 = 67$ here we come...
$PLTR another support seems to be gone? If that's true, we have really opened path to 35-40$ level after distribution and consolidation.
OK so in reality gravity which has arrived comes from $FXI (M)MA50 ahead... Falling AUDUSD (derivative of blowing up Yuan -> USDCNH up, and derivative of blowing up Chinese economy) caps US stocks... Look at the lag. 4Q25. 1/ China and its market is the most important market from the economical point of view 2/ Chinese Yuan makes DXY moves. In reality you sit into 2 trades. Either you are Long Yuan, Short $$$, or you are Short Yuan, Long $$$ - rest is a derivative. 3/ I measured when shit from China reaches US doors and it's ~3Qs lag (from 4Q25). 4/ China is the equivalent of "THE ECONOMY" which turned down in late 2025 after a bounce, but peaked in 2021. 5/ You can see that the bounce post 2024 was so far "dead-cat" bounce. 6/ The pressure on oil comes from exactly China 7/ Amazing is that really so many US stocks matched with 2021 peak of China 8/ Stock market is THE ECONOMY what you can see, but it works a bit with a lag. With a lag to China.
For the first time ever I post $IREN chart. Very interesting bounce building. (M)MA20 and (M)MA50 almost at the same level. End of the month will give us a solution...
While I'm still long term gold investor, there was a time to move towards DXY+TLT which will > GOLD. TLT has not even yet moved, but once it'll go it'll be IMO like 2024 GOLD move.
$GOLD ... I bet possible correction to (M)MA20 = 3500$, last 5600$ result happened when (M)RSI = 96 That was not sustainable without big correction.
This chart is very similar to what I expect ... (M)MA200 level will be initially defended $MSTR Now it sits on (M)MA100, once it'll break it another wave of crash to kick in...
$MSTR printing fresh lows. When BTC breaks beneath $60K and their published mNAV breaks under 1.0, expect this to accelerate pretty quickly.
dotcom bubble bust deja vu...
🚨 JUST IN: Rosen Law Firm opened an investigation into Saylor's Strategy over potential securities claims.
@fighting_haibo The root cause is total misinterpretation what BTC in reality is... (it's not safe haven, it's not digital gold)
Let me give you some idea from my life... I'm almost 50Ys old. I'm not young and spent 1/2 of around markets. Never in a history ... never ever... I have never seen such level of stupidity and financial illiteracy like crypto guys. Elon cult, AI SNDK (M)RSI = 99.25, we'll never go down, housing market only goes up, Central Banks can save us blablabla... -> even those ideas can be explained. I've been saying it mostly since the beginning of MSTR BTC acquisition, that it'll be Saylor and MSTR which will blow up BTC and trust into crypto - for good and for long. Don't buy any crypto until Saylor will share its dotcom bubble fate (hope he'll be forced to dump all his holdings) around 0.42c to double-bottom...
I'm not the smartest man alive...but this can't be good. $STRC is supposed to be pegged to $100, and its currently sitting at $77. Meanwhile, they haven't increased their dividend at all to incentivize more buyers.
$AAPL approaching to a key moment, $GOOGL a bit above. Those are the only ones from MAGS which are still above my critical technical indicator :
$MAGS - I think MAGS has already left the game, leaving AI/SOX at the end. I point you all the time to the most important moment for stocks (from all my experience) which I believe it is : US03MY losing (M)MA50 technical moment, but as I've been saying : "It does not
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