THIS COMEBACK SHOULD BE STUDIED.
A whale opened a $54,000,000 $HYPE long in December 2025, when the price was around $40.
HYPE then dropped almost 50%, and the whale was down over -$26,000,000.
But he didn't close the position.
Just now, HYPE hit $77, and this whale is now sitting on +$52,000,000 in profits.
He bet on a coin and had conviction to hold it, which is why he made it.
We need to start believing in good alts rather than chasing garbage alts with no value.
The Perfect Storm Index™ remains elevated today, signalling that the wider risk environment still warrants caution.
Although selected assets are attempting to recover, liquidity, macro uncertainty and technical structure continue to favour disciplined risk management over aggressive positioning.
PSI does not predict the market, it measures the conditions surrounding it.
Cash is a position. Patience is a strategy.
#PerfectStormIndex#PSI#Bitcoin#Crypto#Markets
$BTC #MarketMaker#Crypto
The next buy‑side liquidity (BSL) is at 78K. I’ll be watching this level for potential sell setups, especially if bearish engulfing patterns appear on the lower timeframes.
s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/jY…
You can't make this up:
At 8:15 AM ET yesterday, the 10Y Note Yield was trading at 4.68% when the US Treasury announced it would be increasing bond buybacks to $4 billion.
The yield fell to a low of 4.63% as the US Treasury pledged to provide "liquidity support."
Exactly 24 hours later, the 10Y Note Yield is ABOVE levels seen prior to the announcement, at 4.71%.
It's going to take a lot more intervention to tame this beast.
It's official.
On July 31st, we called for US government intervention as long-term borrowing costs hit 2008 levels.
Today, it happened. The US Treasury is DOUBLING buybacks to $4 billion per operation for "liquidity support."
What comes next? Let us explain.
(a thread)
PERFECT STORM INDEX™ 20 AUGUST 2026
🌪️ PSI: 67/100 — ELEVATED RISK 🔴
Trend: RISK-OFF
Interesting divergence developing.
#BTC and risk assets have rallied strongly as Treasury intervention has helped pull long yields and the $USD lower.
But beneath the surface, PSI has risen from 64 → 67.
Why?
→ Oil/geopolitical risk remains elevated
→ Inflation concerns haven't disappeared
→ Long-term fiscal/bond-market stress remains significant
→ Crypto sentiment has rapidly improved
→ Technical risk remains elevated despite improving momentum
This is precisely why I created PSI.
Price tells us what is happening.
PSI tries to tell us about the environment in which it is happening.
The current rally may have further to run, but at 67/100 I remain cautious about the broader risk/reward environment.
Navigate risk. Protect capital. Find opportunity.
#Bitcoin#Crypto#Markets $BTC
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Market Context
#BTC has remained below the 200-day moving average (DMA200) for 289 days. The longer price stays suppressed under this level, the more critical it becomes to wait for a clear confirmation signal before positioning aggressively.
Read more: t.me/s/CipherSMC/22…
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