EnInvs @EnInvs

Founder of Enhanced Investments, mostly invest in rapidly growing or commodity players; download EnInvs App at AppStore https://t.co/tmHJ2GFk9k… apps.apple.com/app/id15601930… Joined July 2020

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EnInvs @EnInvs

5 days ago

The Alcoa rally is already priced in - our model shows negative upside to fair value. Cheap names left in commodities: refiners PBF and Valero, container shipper ZIM. Live upside estimates for ~600 companies across 10 markets: frontier.eninvs.com

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EnInvs @EnInvs

5 days ago

Drivers: trading desks and investment banking on volatile markets and the M&A/IPO revival. Beyond banks: Intuitive Surgical +19% revenue, PepsiCo profit normalized after last year's write-offs, Alcoa EBITDA nearly tripled on aluminum recovery.

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EnInvs @EnInvs

5 days ago

US bank earnings season opened with records. JPMorgan printed the best quarter in its history: $57.3B revenue (+28% y/y), $21.2B net income (+41%). Morgan Stanley +43% revenue, BofA +19%, Citi +14%, Wells Fargo net income +17%.

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EnInvs @EnInvs

2 weeks ago

Hedged USD math: ~9% net dividend + ~10% EPS growth - 2.8% hedge = ~15-16%/yr before any re-rating. Risks: Danantara governance, directed lending, NIM compression. Full analysis with charts and monthly data: frontier.eninvs.com/region/id/arti…

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EnInvs @EnInvs

2 weeks ago

FX: the rupiah already fell 14% under Prabowo, and 1Y forwards price just 2.8% depreciation - the entire currency risk hedges for a quarter of the dividend. For comparison: hedging RUB costs ~9%/yr and KZT ~13%/yr, while both sit at multi-year real-exchange-rate highs.

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EnInvs @EnInvs

2 weeks ago

Indonesia's #2 bank trades at 4.8x earnings with a ~9% net dividend and profit accelerating +18% y/y. The classic frontier-value setup, built on primary filings. A thread on Bank Mandiri (IDX: BMRI, US OTC ADR: PPERY).

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EnInvs @EnInvs

a month ago

Scenarios from ~$40: base (crack $30-35) ~$58, +45%; bull (holds 24 months) ~$85, +112%; bear (crack to $20) ~$29, -28%. Asymmetric to the upside, but a high-volatility bet. Full analysis: frontier.eninvs.com/region/commodi… Not investment advice.

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EnInvs @EnInvs

a month ago

That signal underpins our Global Commodities strategy: ~28% CAGR 2016-26 vs ~14% for the S&P. On book value - a cleaner cyclical anchor - PBF trades ~0.9x vs a 1.1x median and 2.5x peak. Past supercycles saw refiners run +50% to +260%.

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EnInvs @EnInvs

a month ago

US refining margins are running at roughly double their historical norm - and unlike past spikes, this one looks largely structural. The most leveraged way to play it is PBF Energy ($PBF): a pure-play refiner trading near 0.9x book. A deep dive.