Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن @HTAlhasan
Senior Fellow for Middle East Policy @IISS_org | Foreign policy & economic statecraft | Gulf & S Asia | PhD @KingsIndiaInst | Formerly @BahrainPMO iiss.org/people/middle-… Bahrain | London | दिल्ली Joined April 2010-
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In return for the cessation of hostilities and resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the US makes a range of financial and security concessions to Iran that enter into force during the initial 60-day period following the signing of the US–Iran MoU. The Arab Gulf states are publicly supporting the US–Iran MoU to avoid further hostilities. However, the associated concessions from the US come with numerous security concerns for the region. Read the latest analysis by Dr @HTAlhasan: go.iiss.org/4xQ2aGt
In my latest for @IISS_org, I argue that the Arab Gulf states are in the unenviable position of having to support a flawed US-Iran deal that fails to address their concerns and risks empowering their adversary, Iran, to prevent a worse outcome: a return to war.
The Arab Gulf states are publicly supporting the US–Iran MoU to avoid further hostilities. However, the associated concessions from the US in the MoU come with numerous security concerns for the region. Read the latest analysis by Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan):
The Arab Gulf states are publicly supporting the US–Iran MoU to avoid further hostilities. However, the associated concessions from the US in the MoU come with numerous security concerns for the region. Read the latest analysis by Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan): go.iiss.org/4xQ2aGt
Marco Rubio is here in the UAE, then heading onward to Kuwait and Bahrain — the three Gulf allies have been hit hardest by Iran. Can Rubio reassure leaders that their interests won’t be sidelined? @HTAlhasan and @FirasMaksad weigh in.
Good read by @HTAlhasan : Bahrain has long been in Iran's crosshairs en.majalla.com/node/331511/po…
✍🏼 أحدث مقالاتي بمجلة @AlMajallaAR: الاعتداءات الإيرانية المستمرة على البحرين... الأسباب وخيارات المواجهة majalla.com/node/331500/%D…
📢 2pm BST today: Is the Middle East splitting into rival blocs? Speakers discuss how the Iran war is reshaping rivalries across the Middle East. ▪️@HTAlhasan ▪️@DEsfandiary ▪️@YasFarouk ▪️@FirasMaksad ▪️@SanamVakil Register ⤵️ chathamhouse.org/events/all/sta…
Do register and join us for a conversation with @YasFarouk @DEsfandiary @HTAlhasan @FirasMaksad on the balance of power in the Middle East
📢 UPCOMING WEBINAR | Is the Middle East splitting into rival blocs? Speakers discuss how the Iran war is reshaping rivalries across the Middle East. ▪️@HTAlhasan ▪️@DEsfandiary ▪️@YasFarouk ▪️@FirasMaksad ▪️@SanamVakil 📅 10/6 🕐 2pm BST Register ⤵️ chathamhouse.org/events/all/sta…
Meanwhile:
۱-ما امتیازات را نه با گفتگو، بلکه با موشکها میگیریم، در مذاکره فقط آنها را تفهیم میکنیم. ۲- هیچ اعتمادی به تضمینها و حرفها نداریم، فقط رفتارها معیار است. اقدامی پیش از اقدام طرف مقابل انجام نخواهد شد. ۳-پیروز هر توافق، کسی است که از فردای آن بهتر برای جنگ آماده شود.
Will Middle Eastern countries give in to President Trump’s push to sign the Abraham Accords? @HTAlhasan doesn’t think so. Here’s why: (1/3)
A very timely inaugural piece by my colleague Tomisha Bino, who joins IISS-Middle East as Research Fellow for Energy Geopolitics. She examines the region’s nuclear-security landscape in light of the Iran war, and what Gulf nuclear newcomers can do to mitigate their exposure.
Recent events need not jeopardise plans by Gulf states to acquire nuclear power plants. Yet precedents, doctrinal realities and the fragile regional-security landscape require nuclear newcomers in the Gulf to consider the risks of attacks against civilian nuclear facilities and
The Arab Gulf states are looking to replenish and strengthen their air and missile defences following the Iranian attacks earlier this year. While there has been a flurry of activity, rearmament will require overcoming multiple challenges. Read the latest analysis by @albert_vidal_: go.iiss.org/4wt4ann
“Iranian regime believes it can outlast Trump and therefore has no real reason to compromise” There are 3 camps emerging in the Gulf @HTAlhasan tells me regarding the approach to the Iranian regional threat * Accommodative (Oman). Compromises need to be made to a large neighbor who isn’t going away * Confrontationists (UAE, Bahrain). Diplomacy has failed. Military deterrence needed - somewhere in the middle (KSA, Qatar, Kuwait) ultimately no alternative to an immediate de-escalation as military strikes haven’t achieved political effects Watch here: bloomberg.com/news/videos/20…
"A group of four regional powers – Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye – are closing ranks...The new Middle Eastern quadrilateral appears to be an attempt to counterbalance Israel’s designs to ‘redraw’ the map of the Middle East and to address shared security concerns, most notably the United States–Israeli war with Iran," @HTAlhasan writes iiss.org/online-analysi…
As Kuwait and Qatar report fresh attacks, the Arab Gulf states risk being drawn into prolonged low-intensity warfare by Iran and Iran-backed militias in Iraq — a danger intensified by Trump’s seemingly desperate push to put a lid on the war ahead of his meeting with Xi.
The British military said a ship caught fire after being hit by an unknown projectile off the coast of Qatar. There were no reported casualties, it said. apnews.com/article/iran-u…
Since the recent conflict in Iran, a new geopolitical bloc involving Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye has been forming in the Middle East. While not formalised, the four states are poised to tackle shared security concerns together. Read the latest analysis by @HTAlhasan: go.iiss.org/4evtnY3
The Egypt–Pakistan–Saudi Arabia–Türkiye quadrilateral formed as a reaction to Israel’s aggressiveness and the fallout from the US/Israel war with Iran. My latest for @IISS_org 👇 iiss.org/online-analysi…
@NicoleGrajewski @RumleyGM Always a pleasure Nicole
Once Trump's attention shifts elsewhere and the US draws down its military presence in the region, there will be little to stop Iran from exercising economic blackmail against the Gulf states (and many others) by threatening to block Hormuz, even if selectively. 3/3
Assuming Trump prefers a face-saving exit over war, it is unlikely he'll prioritise the Gulf states' security concerns including Iran's missiles, UAVs or support for regional militia networks which were always intractable issues anyway. 2/3
Realistically at this stage, the Gulf states can at best hope to avoid a bad outcome where Trump concedes too much - e.g. withdrawal of US forces, lifting of sanctions, etc. - in return for nuclear concessions and return to normalcy in Hormuz. 1/3 reuters.com/business/energ…
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7K Followers 4K Following Foreign policy/national security reporter. Formerly bureau chief or correspondent in Riyadh, Cairo, Baghdad, Dakar, Rome with WSJ, WaPo, AP. Harvard KS.
Sam Dalrymple @SamDalrymple123
25K Followers 186 Following International Bestselling Author of Shattered Lands. Best History Book 2025 in FT, Spectator, NPR & BBC. https://t.co/qz4iyxhm0t
Joel Rayburn @joel_rayburn
17K Followers 639 Following Personal account. Former diplomat & military officer. Views expressed here are my own.
Secretary Marco Rubio @SecRubio
2.1M Followers 15 Following 72nd Secretary of State serving under the leadership of @POTUS Trump.
Sana Noor Haq • س�... @sananoorhaq
5K Followers 5K Following emmy-winning news reporter @cnn covering war and human rights • أشهد “A reporter is supposed to agitate against silence.” Omar El Akkad
Elizabeth Dent @LizyDent
3K Followers 2K Following Senior Fellow @WashInstitute | Former DoD and State | @MiamiUniversity & @AU_SIS alum
Brad Setser @Brad_Setser
154K Followers 1K Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Writes on sovereign debt, trade, fx reserves and capital flows.
The Ghazalian @TheGhazalian
14K Followers 64 Following Account focused on improving the state of oneself and addressing contemporary issues through the lens of traditional Islam.You might like
