John Slazas @JSservices
Founder https://t.co/ynIIb3Goka. From the exchange floors to Decision Intelligence for the agentic market era. Trading Insights, Not Advice. https://t.co/ThWOVJ9zOz MKT.TRADE Chicago Joined June 2009-
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10-Year — momentum, read across Time Frames. The analytics stack in three layers: TIME FRAME — the Monthly. Last month's footprint (PMH / PMM / PMC / PML) is the field the month trades on. TIME PHASE — the Opening Phase is complete and the Opening Range is set: ORH 109-02.5, ORM 108-18, ORL 108-03. Discovery is underway — price tests the range before it commits. R LEVEL REGIME — the Daily, Weekly and Monthly R levels, stacked: Daily R at the 108-19.5 UP (≈ 4.64%), Weekly R at the 109-05 UP (≈ 4.56%), Monthly R at 110-14 (≈ 4.37%). Shorter-frame R is the throttle you use to manage the longer-frame position. The tell: the Daily R sits right on the M ORM (108-18, ≈ 4.65%). That alignment is the session's momentum throttle. The update: Opening Phase done, the note traded under the ORM and made a play for the ORL / PMC — fell just shy, but it made the effort. Now it's back at the ORM. Textbook Discovery — testing the Opening Range before it decides. Into tomorrow's CPI: • Soft lean holds → it rejects here, at the ORM / Daily R. • Reclaim the 108-19.5 Daily R → rotation higher to the ORH and the 109-05 Weekly R, aligned with the 109-025 M UP — the containment on the negative trend. • Above that → corrective mode, targeting the 110-14 Monthly R. The ORM is the fulcrum. Daily R validates the session; the Weekly and Monthly UP frame the week; 110-14 is the line in the sand for the month — and the 5-month, if not 6-year, bear trend. Structure decides. #PRICEMAP $ZN $TLT
10-Year — Price Discovery. Every Time Frame trades in phases. The Opening Phase draws the Opening Range — a high (ORH), a midpoint (ORM), a low (ORL). That's the month's opening balance. Once it's set, Discovery begins: price leaves the range to find where it trades next, and those levels are the reference that frame the direction within the #PRICEMAP structure. The outlook: that phase is done, and $ZN opens Discovery in a Bear Trend already trading under the 108-18 ORM (≈ 4.65%) — the balance point. That tilts the search lower: hold below and the defensive case runs the 108-10.5 DIR (≈ 4.68%) and the ORL (~108-03). Reclaim the ORM and price can work back to the 108-22.5 CR+ (≈ 4.63%) and the 109-02.5 ORH / UP lid (≈ 4.57%). Full read, price + yield side by side: mkt.trade/tradevision/10… $ZN_F $TLT
10-Year — reading the week's close through the context of state and structure. NFP is behind us. Today's close wraps the week and the Monthly Opening Phase — next week price moves into Discovery, where it searches for value and direction. The read: price action only means something in the context of the market state. The 10-Year is in a Bear Trend — lower highs, lower lows, where rallies stay corrective and face containment until the market accepts them. So today's move into the top of the Critical Range at the 109-02.5 UP (≈ 4.57%) isn't strength on its own; it's a corrective rally testing resistance, inside an @ RISK regime capped by the 110-14 Sentiment Bias / R LEVEL (≈ 4.37%) — the level carrying the selling energy. The state tells you how to read what comes next: Trend resumes — the rally is rejected, the NFP high stands, and structure builds the next lower high / lower low. A held trade under the 108-28 PMM (≈ 4.60%) points next week to the PWC (previous week's close), then the 107-08.5 DP (≈ 4.85%). Trend turns corrective — price reclaims the 109-02.5 UP and validates through the 109-06.5 boundary (≈ 4.56%). That's acceptance: the state shifts to Bear Trend Corrective — a counter-trend rise searching for resistance — targeting the PMH (≈ 4.47%) and the 110-14 R LEVEL. 109-02.5 – 108-28 is the decision zone. Structure decides. mkt.trade/tradevision/10… $ZN $TLT #10YearTreasury
10-Year — hedging into NFP. Today reads digestive between the 108-22.5 CR+ (≈ 4.63%) and the 109-02.5 UP (≈ 4.57%). Into tomorrow's NFP: vol is on a low ebb, so out-of-the-money short-dated options are cheap insurance for a binary event. The risk they cover: a held trade under 108-22.5 starts a lean down to 108-10.5 DIR (≈ 4.68%), with the potential to cascade on a failure to the 107-08.5 DP (≈ 4.85%) and the 106-26 CRX- (≈ 4.90%). Post NFP: a breach of the 109-06.5 upper UP boundary (≈ 4.56%) signals more corrective upside. The longer-dated hedge goes on if/when price reaches the 110-00 / 110-14 R LEVEL zone (≈ 4.44% / 4.37%) — the upper containment where the regime carries selling energy, and the level to position against. Alternatively, a capitulation reversal off the UP carries the same negative weight. Hold 108-22.5 and the correction stays constructive. Lose it and the insurance earns its keep. Structure decides. mkt.trade/tradevision/10… $ZN $TLT #Rates
10-Year update. The coil didn't tighten within the CR +/- parameters — it expanded to the top of the CriticalRange at the Monthly UP 109-02.5 (≈ 4.57%). The UP's 109-06.5 upper metric boundary is the containment high for any buying if the negative structure that has controlled this market since early March is going to re-engage. Into Friday's jobs number: • Over 109-06.5 (≈ 4.56%) keeps the bounce off the July lows alive, targeting 110-00 (≈ 4.44%). • Back under 108-22.5 sends it to re-test the 108-10.5 DIR (≈ 4.68%) — the more likely hold ahead of the number. But don't rule out a failure; emotion can overwhelm the MKT down to the CriticalRange low at 107-08.5 (≈ 4.85%). Structure decides. mkt.trade/tradevision/10… $ZN $TLT #Rates
The 10-Year is doing exactly what a CR Rotational theme does. $ZN rotated higher off the 108-12 M DIR (≈ 4.68%) and is now pressing the top of the range — the 108-24 M CR+ (≈ 4.62%). In a CR Rotational theme, that's the tell: price rotates between the CR- floor and the CR+ lid around the DIR. The edges are where it pays to pay attention. The 108-28.5 PMM (Previous Month Midpoint, ≈ 4.60%) is the edge of the envelope. • Reject the CR+ → back to rotation, grind inside the range targeting the 107-27 CR- (≈ 4.76%). • Clear and hold → pressure comes off the yield side (rates ease) up toward 109-07 (≈ 4.55%) for the week. News moves the market. Structure tells you what the move means — and whether it has value. Full read mkt.trade/tradevision/10… #Rates $TLT
Rates are on the fence — which tees up the 10-Year as this month's MKT. The Fed held in July, but on a divided vote with three members wanting a hike. Inflation's sticky, oil's a live supply shock, and the market is now leaning toward a September hike — not a cut. Meanwhile the note is coiled right on its monthly pivot (108-12, ≈ 4.68%). Summer-thin liquidity, two-sided, rotational. When policy is leaned against the fundamentals, it loads a rubber band — nobody knows the day it snaps, but the tension builds. Below the 108-12 DIR, yields press higher; a reclaim eases them back. Structure decides. Full read — 👇 mkt.trade/tradevision/10… $ZN $TLT #Rates
@LarryBlatt12 Thanks Larry! Appreciate You
The news doesn't tell you what to do. Neither does the Playbook — you make the decision. What it does is define which tactics fit the condition, and where to execute them. Three questions to ask before you put capital at risk: STATE — what's the condition? STRUCTURE — where is price operating? STRATEGY — what tactics are in alignment? $NQ today, textbook: ▸ State — Neutral Digestion: sideways, don't chase ▸ Structure — negative bias, R = UP ▸ Strategy — SELL UP FADE Price rallied into the UP and faded — Neutral Digestion performing to expectation. The last day of the month, deep in the settlement phase, reinforces the state. Same three questions. Every market. Every day. mkt.trade/playbook.html $NQ_F #TradingStrategy
Most traders react to raw price on a screen. Every tick a decision, every pullback the end. That's not trading — it's absorbing noise with no benchmark. The market isn't random. It moves in measured segments. Learn to measure the segment and everything changes: you trade to an objective, you know what a normal pullback looks like, and you hold through the give-back instead of getting shaken out of the move that pays. Structure first. Full walk-through 👇 mkt.trade/tradevision/ap… $NQ $QQQ #PriceAction
$NQ_F Weekly Structure— the objective map into the event. Fear factor is elevated, and below the 27802–27694 band (Monthly R / Weekly DP) it should be. This is where structure earns its keep — clear levels instead of emotion. The read: ▸ 27390 — the probe low ▸ Below it, volatility elevates — 26781 and 26477 the event‑low points ▸ Reclaim 27800 → back to a comfortable sideways mess ▸ Only a held trade above 28100 takes the edge off Structure is the benchmark through the fear — let the levels do the work. Learn the PriceMap overlay 👇 mkt.trade/pricemap.html #NQ #NASDAQ
$NQ into FOMC + mega‑cap earnings — a structure read. Markets get emotional into month‑end and big events. Fear runs the tape. Structure is the antidote: an objective benchmark when everything feels like chaos. Where we are: end‑of‑month settlement, the hardest phase, where the month's structure finalizes. $NQ_F is pressing its lower monthly extreme — on edge, fear factor elevated into FOMC tomorrow and MSFT/META/AMZN/AAPL earnings Wed & Thu after the close. Two things the structure is flagging into the week: Confluence = confidence. A single level is a line; two timeframes agreeing is a zone with weight. The Monthly R‑Level (~27802) and the Weekly DP (27718) line up in the same area — a base you can lean on with clarity. A structure break in front of an event is the tell. When price breaks structure ahead of a major catalyst, the market is tipping its hand — the sign of a digestive shift. Watch how NQ handles the confluence base into FOMC. You don't predict the event. You let defined sructure tell you what the reaction means — defined risk, a plan that doesn't shift when the headline hits. Learn the PriceMap structure overlay 👇 mkt.trade/pricemap.html #Nasdaq
$NQ Monthly — Settlement Phase Don't fight the fear. A negative settlement phase can stay hard pressed, and the MKT can grind heavy into month‑end. Momentum is negative until proven otherwise. The zone: the 27802 R‑Level, with longer term structure backing 27784 right below it — confluence makes it a real base. But a good level isn't a buy, and this is no place to catch a falling knife. Accumulation waits for a capitulation or a structure break — not just a price tag. Until momentum turns, lean on the lower timeframes for timing, this week and into the new month, when the monthly structure resets and the map is redrawn. Good base. Negative momentum. Make it prove itself. Full read 👇 mkt.trade/tradevision/20… #NQ #Nasdaq #FuturesTrading $QQQ
7/ The weekly frames the trade; the monthly frames the mission — and here they line up on the same zone. Full NQ read 👇 mkt.trade/tradevision/20… Structure first. Let price come to the level. #NQ #Nasdaq #FuturesTrading $QQQ
6/ THE KEY FACT — timeframes align The MONTHLY R‑Level at 27802 sits right between the W DP (28091) and W CRX‑ (27677). That validates the 27677–28091 zone as the base for any lower probe — and it aligns with the monthly structure, which stays valid through month‑end.
It's Friday — the Price Discovery Settlement phase for the NQ weekly. This is when a week's structure locks in. Here's how to read $NQ into the close, and why the terms matter for what comes next. 🧵👇 #NQ #Nasdaq #FuturesTrading
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