Jonathan @JonathanGieg
Portfolio Growth @PanteraCapital Joined July 2017-
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One of the hardest questions in stablecoins shouldn't be: "Who else is building and where?" Today we launched a completely rebuilt Stablescape to help answer that. - 6,000+ stablecoin companies - Interactive market maps - Rich company profiles - And more You can now submit your company, claim an existing one, and play around with interactive charts. See it for yourself here: stablescape.xyz
"what if you could OWN (not rent) your own commercial / workstation grade GPUs (H200s, B300s) on leverage, while still earning from these productive assets?" a simple concept - but what if it scales? we'll move from the age of "supercomputers in your pocket" to "supercompute in your backyard"
Today we launched B3IQ, a way for democratize compute. As Jensen said, "compute is the new asset class" - and now, you can own sovereign compute. 🧵 let me explain
Introducing B3IQ. A new model to own, run and monetize compute. Already being used by faculty, researchers, and student teams at Stanford, NYU, Penn, UChicago, Dartmouth, Waterloo, and the University of Hawaiʻi.
This is silly. If you want $100 on the Knicks to win it all and @DraftKings offers $1,200 while someone on an open exchange offers $1,500, you don’t care who the counterparty is. You care that you got $300 more, whether that’s Citadel or Joe Schmo. That’s what @JasonDRobins intentionally leaves out. There are three main reasons his framing is wrong: 1. Just because a market is facilitated by pro MMs doesn’t mean it’s not peer-to-peer. The stock market is peer-to-peer. StubHub is peer-to-peer. Nobody thinks otherwise bc market makers exist. 2. DraftKings is overwhelmingly owned by the same Wall Street firms he’s warning you about. He is the counterparty he’s describing — except his product bans you for winning and doesn’t allow competition. 3. Counterintuitively a sharp counterparty is good for you. Competition among liquidity providers is what tightens the spread and the sharper a LP is, the better odds they can give you. A sportsbook with no competition on the other side of your bet has to ban winners to survive.
.@DraftKings CEO Jason Robins made a point today to say that prediction markets are not "peer-to-peer." “It’s really more peer-to-Wall Street, peer-to-professional bettor or peer-to-market maker. … You’ve got to present the product as what it is.” sportico.com/business/sport…
We’ve released three episodes of our podcast so far, all entirely in Korean. Here’s a snapshot of how they’ve performed. Starting from zero and building a crypto, tech, finance focused podcast in Korea, we may be one of the very few shows to see this level of traction so early. We also have a major guest joining us soon, and that conversation will be in English. A special thanks to @liquidtrading, who believed in us and became our sponsor from the very first episode. People say only around 10% of podcasts make it past ten episodes. We intend to go far beyond that and keep showing up consistently. Our goal is to grow into a new media platform that goes beyond crypto. One that explores finance, technology, and, most importantly, people. We’re always open to collaborations.
The world's first bilingual (KR/EN) Crypto Podcast Coming soon. Cooking up something with @morbid19, who I used to co-host the Casual Crypto podcast with, and @alexlimasia from @LayerZero_Core -longtime partner of ours. The goal is simple: build a podcast that’s actually
Excited to partner with @gordonliao @circle to cohost this Agentic Economy event next Tuesday at SBC! Featuring a series of mini talks from @arc team, founders, investors @0xfishylosopher and researchers @_phvv_ to demo and discuss the frontier of Agentic payments & privacy topic! luma.com/sgs5pubk
Every founder asks the wrong question first. They ask whether this is the right market. The better question is are you uniquely built to win the market you chose? Markets change. Products change. Regulations change. Founder-market fit is the one thing that compounds through all of it, and the only thing that keeps compounding when price doesn't. The developers leaving crypto are the ones who arrived for the last bull market. The builders who have been here two years or longer just hit an all-time high, and the operators walking in now are coming from Goldman, Citadel, Stripe, Block, and much more. We have never seen this much founder-market fit in any cycle. Here is a new piece on the four things we underwrite, and why a winter is the best time to back them. @Alchemy @arbitrum @circle @Morpho @Ondo veradiverdict.com/p/the-founder-…
@glennonchain @Alchemy @Glennmon Congrats! Epic run 💪
Super excited to release the study with @0xallyzach on the microstructure of Short-term Crypto Markets, where we cover an overview on the growth momentum & economics on both @Kalshi and @Polymarket, plus a deep dive into Polymarket’s user segments and 🕵🏻♂️ potential market manipulation: This is a "MEV" strategy that no one has called out lout til now (which allegedly long-existed in option trading) — Some traders appear to have figured out how to influence the closing price of Polymarket’s 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets while betting and profiting. 👇🧵
one of the clearest patterns in polymarket’s short-term btc markets shows up off-platform. across ~11.8k polymarket btc up/down cycles, binance spot volume jumped into the close when the polymarket contract was still trading like either side could win. when the contract was already priced away from 50/50, the burst mostly vanished. 1/8
Great to hear @JonathanGieg share what sectors @PanteraCapital is most excited about, the regions becoming increasingly regulatory friendly, and and where he believes the next wave of innovation is taking shape 💡 Full episode here: youtu.be/-dsLVAvQo38?si…
Had a great time chatting with Kili on her new podcast! I’ve known her for what feels like decades in crypto time and I’m super excited to see her launch and grow @wall_collective. Give it a listen! 👇🏼
I sat down with @JonathanGieg of @PanteraCapital to discuss how founders can position themselves strongly ahead of a fundraise, how Pantera is leveraging AI internally, and the sectors they're paying the closest attention to across the investment landscape. Excited to finally
@wall_collective @PanteraCapital Thanks for having me on! 🙏
I sat down with @JonathanGieg of @PanteraCapital to discuss how founders can position themselves strongly ahead of a fundraise, how Pantera is leveraging AI internally, and the sectors they're paying the closest attention to across the investment landscape. Excited to finally share this conversation! 🎉 Link to the full episode: lnkd.in/gAnW4ZKk
While Polymarket has done more crypto volume since the start of the year, its trade mix tells a different story. Both venues trade small. But Polymarket is crowded at just a few dollars. Kalshi runs larger throughout the distribution. From the median all the way into the tail. Same category. Different market structure.
So what explains the decline? Polymarket’s short-term crypto markets hit a market-structure reset. Broader crypto taker fees. Then an order-book upgrade: new fee handling, new trading collateral & new order signing. Those changes matter more when the product turns over every few minutes.
Crypto is becoming a core prediction-market category Since the beginning of the year, Kalshi’s crypto share of venue dollars rose every month, from 4.3% to 14.8% Polymarket began from a higher base, peaking at 34.0% in February before moving down to 20.3% by May
In the last week of May, sub-hour contracts took 64% of crypto market volume on Kalshi and 74% on Polymarket And it holds across the month, averaging around 60% on Kalshi and 74% on Polymarket Short-term is the whole game
Crypto is becoming a core prediction-market category Since the beginning of the year, Kalshi’s crypto share of venue dollars rose every month, from 4.3% to 14.8% Polymarket began from a higher base, peaking at 34.0% in February before moving down to 20.3% by May
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