KnovaWave @KnovaWave

Has #Gold, $GDX & $GDXU completed their correction? The bearish take would have the move off ATH as a Wave 1 down, here isa possible bullish sequence which fits in with sentiment ABC - failed (X) ABC complete - impulse needed to confirm - some fibs above for P&Ds, thoughts? Here is the high-octane ETF @dapstats @M4VERICK_CARTER

One for the punters with RXT back over $5 An uber bullish alt ABC complete for Rackspace with earnings coming up its big move prior to the collapse with Semis etc was the $AMD deal - does that get more air? $RXT 5.11 +0.34 (+7.02%) Keep an eye on Call activity

Bond Wrap: U.S. Treasuries started the week with yields on longer tenors back to last week’s highs. Yields on 10s and 30s within ten basis points of their respective 2026 highs from early May 2-yr yield also within ten basis points of its 2026 high, which was formed last week. #Yields: 2-yr: +4 bps to 4.21% 3-yr: +5 bps to 4.25% 5-yr: +6 bps to 4.33% 10-yr: +6 bps to 4.60% 30-yr: +5 bps to 5.12%

AI unwind. Oil shock. Bonds hesitate. Semiconductors tumbled, KOSPI leverage cracked, WTI surged 15.5% to $82.49 and the 10-year yield held near 4.54%. This week’s Cautious Investor looks at what broke, what held—and what matters next. traderscommunity.com/cautious-inves… #Markets #Oil

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has bounced hard after spitting the 535-bear market threshold (20%) as per @knovaWave in the CI weekly. $SMH 585.23 +26.40 (+4.72%) Today memory names such as Sandisk & Micron $SNDK 1574.47, +183.52, +13.19% $MU 976.61, +111.15, +12.84% Along with semis such as Teradyne, Intel & Advanced Micro Devices are outperforming $TER 376.00, +42.24, +12.66% $INTC 104.62, +7.56, +7.79% $AMD 541.50, +37.93, +7.53%)

#USDJPY just traded 161.97 the highest level since the end of 1986. and just above the intervention hit high of mid 2024. But does Japan really mind? One thing to note Japan has been trying to get inflation since Adam was a boy and don't forget energy costs aside, they have been desiring a weak yen for those 40 years (at least) for their exports - Meanwhile this also strengthens Japan exports versus China i.e Yen/Yuan. China is in a currency war with #Japan and South Korea. Another fact Japan is the largest US treasury holder (outside the Fed0 and the strong USD helps those assets

AI mania is alive. Hawkish money is back. SpaceX and Micron kept the speculative flame burning, but Warsh, USDJPY, oil and the long bond are tightening the frame. Copper confirms the buildout. Oil controls the panic. The long bond prices both. traderscommunity.com/cautious-inves… #Macro #Markets #Oil #AI

Carry still rules. SpaceX mania, semis surging, credit spreads tightening and AUDJPY holding near highs all point to the same late-cycle message: High rates are hurting parts of the economy, but they have not yet broken the speculative bull market. Cautious Investor — Market Weekly: traderscommunity.com/cautious-inves…

Japanese debt slid to fresh lows for the year ahead of tomorrow’s 20-yr JGB auction. Bank of Japan is expected to meet with #JGB investors on Thursday and Friday. Q1 GDP 0.5% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; prior 0.2%); 2.1% yr/yr (expected 1.7%; last 0.8%). Q1 GDP Price Index 3.4% yr/yr (expected 3.1%; prior 3.4%) #USDJPY #NIkkei traderscommunity.com/japan-is-repri…

U.S. 10Y yields are compressing near highs, with higher lows forming. 👉 Pressure is building at elevated levels A breakout reinforces the move higher.

Oil prices moved higher for the second consecutive session this week, WTI crude oil futures settling today's session $3.56 higher (+3.7%) at $99.95 per barrel. #OOTT $CL_F $UCO $XLE $XOM

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Traders Community @TradersCom

4 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Central Banker Splatter CB's #BOJ #BOC, #FOMC, #BOE, #ECB, #BCCh, #BCB, #BanRep, #BoT #GDP #PCE #ISM Earnings: #Mag7 Microsoft $MSFT Amazon $AMZN Alphabet $GOOG Apple $AAPL Meta $META #BigOil Chevron $CVX Exxon Mobil $XOM Conoco $PSX Phillips 66

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NVIDIA $NVDA 209.78, -6.83, -3.2% & other prominent AI names lower premarket after The Wall Street Journal reported #OpenAI missed its own revenue and user targets, prompting concerns the company may not be able to pay for future computing demands. $SMH $SOX $INTC $ORCL $META We were warned: What are the odds Altman asks fora bailout @elonmusk ? S&P futures vs fair value: -53.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -387.00.

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Traders Community @TradersCom

4 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Central Banker Splatter CB's #BOJ #BOC, #FOMC, #BOE, #ECB, #BCCh, #BCB, #BanRep, #BoT #GDP #PCE #ISM Earnings: #Mag7 Microsoft $MSFT Amazon $AMZN Alphabet $GOOG Apple $AAPL Meta $META #BigOil Chevron $CVX Exxon Mobil $XOM Conoco $PSX Phillips 66

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Gold futures settled $85.30 lower (-1.8%) at $4,608.40/oz 1. Stronger U.S. dollar, U.S. Dollar Index up +0.1% to $98.63. 2. Profit-taking followed recent gains ahead of multiple upcoming central bank policy signals. 3. Renewed inflation concerns tied to elevated energy prices have kept expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates in focus, weighing on non-yielding assets like #gold. $GC $GDX $GDXJ $GDXU

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Traders Community @TradersCom

4 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Central Banker Splatter CB's #BOJ #BOC, #FOMC, #BOE, #ECB, #BCCh, #BCB, #BanRep, #BoT #GDP #PCE #ISM Earnings: #Mag7 Microsoft $MSFT Amazon $AMZN Alphabet $GOOG Apple $AAPL Meta $META #BigOil Chevron $CVX Exxon Mobil $XOM Conoco $PSX Phillips 66

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We have seen verbal intervention in the Yen overnight, similar to what we saw last year as we sell #USDJPY near 160 mark once again & surging #EURJPY & #AUDJPY. Japan finance minister Katayama said: We have a "free hand" in conducting interventions Our deputies in US, Japan are in close contact on forex matters All we can say is that past interventions have made an impact NB: The yen itself is struggling with the Japanese economy from surging energy prices.

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Traders Community @TradersCom

4 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Art of War CB's #Turkey #Russia #Warsh #PMIs #CloudNext #Beijing Auto Show #NFLDraft Energy Crisis #LNG #Irandeal Earnings: $GE $UNH $RTX $NOC $MMM $UAL $COF $TSLA $LRCX $IBM $TXN $BA $CSX $NOW $INTC $AXP $LMT $BKR $PG #ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas

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Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? War Game Theory - Monetary Disorder showing the consequences of extraordinarily loose financial conditions. - #JGBs and #yen under attack in a highly indebted Japan. - Deja Vu with popular levered European bond trades blowing up. CB: #Powell #Columbia #PMI #IranWar #JobsReport #hormuz #Easter #NFP Energy Crisis #Fertilizer #LNG #Coal Earnings: $NKE $MKC $CAG $LW $CALM #ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas #Gold #VIX #SPX #BTC $SLV #Silver #Platinum $GDX #ETH #USDJPY #EURJPY #AUDUSD traderscommunity.com/traders-market…

We have multiple questions about #gold: We remain clear there are 3 alts. Basically, the high was either a 5 or 3 If a 5 then this is a 3 of a 1-2 The other alts are of degree as marked 1-2 and ABC $GDX $GDXU $GC $NEM

#Bond Update: U.S. Treasuries longer tenors' new lows as 2-yr note outperforms after lagging throughout week. 10yr yield back above its 50dma (4.155%) 30yr yield just below its 50dma (4.799%) & 200dma (4.804%) #Yields 2-yr: -3 bps to 3.57% 3-yr: -2 bps to 3.60% 5-yr: UNCH at 3.75% 10-yr: +3 bps to 4.18% 30-yr: +5 bps to 4.80%

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Traders Community @TradersCom

6 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Two Tribes Go to War #IranWar #JobsReport China National People Congress #CPI #Australia Earnings: $AVGO $MRVL $CRDO $MDB $VEEV $OKTA $CRWD $RGTI $QUBT $COST $TGT $BBY $KR $ANF $JD $GPRO $NCLH $PBR $CNQ $SQM $PLUG $GSL #ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas

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@TradersCom @jedimarkus77 @NRL @brisbanebroncos

Oil powered by the double bottom @knovaWave cited months ago sliced above the long corrective channel today developing for 3+ years WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) Mar 2026 81.31+6.65 + 8.91% Brent Crude (ICE)Apr 2026 85.57 +4.17 +5.12% RBOB Gasoline (Nymex) Mar 2026 267.83 +16.34 +6.50% USD stronger across the board .... #OOTT $XLE $USO $CL_F

Traders Community @TradersCom

5 months ago

P&Ds the #IranWar geographic scope is expanding Iranian strikes on a German base in Jordan, violating Turkish airspace, targeting Qatar LNG, Saudi Aramco, & Iraq's power grid represent a widening economic warfare campaign by Iran. #OOTT #FX

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Ahead Tuesday Apple will hold its annual meeting. $APPL +2.12 (+0.80%) green on a day of heavy market selling as Weekly Kijun holds 266.70 Shareholders will vote on a National Center for Public Policy Research proposal requesting a board-level report on risks and costs of #Apple’s reliance on & operations in China (supply chain, tariffs, rare earths, & security/espionage concerns). A vote on director re-election will include chair Art Levinson & director Ron Sugar, with the board explicitly waiving its usual age-75 guideline for them

Traders Community @TradersCom

6 months ago

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Tariffs On, Tariffs Off Casino in a more uncertain phase in terms of what’s next? #SOTU #PPI #PMI Random risk: #Iran assault? Earnings: $D $FANG $DPZ $HD $MELI $AMT $KDP $WDAY $NVDA $CRM $LOW $TJX $SNOW $RDW $AI $RY $TD $MNST $INTU $DELL

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