US Stocks are now trading at over 22x forward earnings versus 14x for International stocks, the widest valuation gap in history.
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All eyes are on CPI and PPI inflation data as markets hope to solidify another 25 bps rate cut.
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Key Events This Week:
1. NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations - Monday
2. OPEC Monthly Report - Wednesday
3. November CPI Inflation data - Wednesday
4. November PPI Inflation data - Thursday
5. Initial Jobless Claims data - Thursday
6. US Import/Export Price Index data - Friday
The final week of inflation data before the December Fed meeting.
Individual investors have rarely been so confident about the market:
46% of US individual investors believe there is less than a 10% probability of a market crash over the next 6 months, the highest share since June 2006.
The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 2 years, according to the Yale School of Management survey.
In other words, investors are the least worried about the stock market in 14 years.
This comes as the S&P 500 has rallied ~50% since it bottomed in October 2022.
On the other hand, investors believe the market is now the most overvalued since April 2000, a month after the Dot-Com Bubble popped.
Euphoric market sentiment is through the roof.
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