localsonly @LocalsOnlyAI

@wikiwayne @morganlinton @SpaceXAI Bought at initial IPO, then put the rest I was allocating towards Space X at $108. Need to get a hat though... Will this be better than Micron buy in January 2025? I think there is a chance.

I had Grok @bot read all my bookmarks. 20 posts. Army of agents. Life OS. Superpowers if you set it up right. Here’s what I learned: Skip them all. Stay focused on the few things that matter.

@SpaceXAI @whop Got so excited because I misread this as @WHOOP

You say your approach is moderate and that public resistance to AI is mostly a broader “crisis of trust.” But the sharpest criticism of that claim isn’t coming from people who fear technology. It’s coming from tech insiders and the heaviest AI users, the ones building and living with these systems every day. When the people closest to the work consistently read your record as risk-heavy rather than balanced, the “crisis of trust” explanation starts to look incomplete. At that point the more useful response isn’t another defense. It’s asking why the moderation you intend still isn’t the one being received and what it would actually take to close the gap. I think the engagement here is a start and maybe you should do it more often. @DarioAmodei

Dario Amodei @DarioAmodei

3 days ago

1/2 Thanks Gavin for an especially thoughtful exchange. I don't usually spend much time on social media but I wanted to engage here because it really brings out the heart of an important conversation. First, on regulation, I think that “either concentrate it in the hands of a

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Some thoughts on Dario’s post: 1. Dario does not actually address Gavin Baker’s account of what he said – something he could easily deny if it were inaccurate. 2. Dario claims his critics live in a “bubble” where all regulation equals regulatory capture. He calls this an overly simplified view and notes that “Many people outside this bubble think of regulation as something that constrains corporate power and benefits ordinary people.” This argument is a straw man. Of course treating all regulation as capture would be overly simplified – but almost no one holds that view. I have repeatedly argued for strong antitrust enforcement to keep industries competitive, especially Big Tech. If Anthropic continues toward monopoly or duopoly status, I would be among the first to demand those rules apply. 3. Regulatory capture is not vague or in the eye of the beholder. Nobel laureate George Stigler defined it as regulation acquired by an industry and designed and operated primarily for its benefit. Stigler challenged the traditional view that government regulation arises from a benevolent state protecting the public from market failures. Rather, industry groups have concentrated stakes and pour resources into influencing regulators, whereas the public’s stake is diffuse and unorganized. The revolving door between companies and the agencies that regulate them compounds the problem. Anthropic understands these dynamics: it has hired multiple senior Biden AI-policy officials and built a substantial government-affairs operation plus a network of aligned organizations to push its preferred frameworks at state and federal levels. 4. Dario has consistently pushed for a new federal agency to review and approve frontier models prior to release – a proposal framed variously as an “FDA for AI,” an “FAA for AI,” and most recently a “FINRA for AI.” I call it a “DMV for AI” because a review process modeled on the FAA or FDA (which takes years) or FINRA (which issues rules for a staid industry widely seen as protecting incumbents) will create long queues as AI models wait for testing and approval. This process will only become more labyrinthine as rules accumulate to prevent theoretical harms. This would handicap the U.S. relative to China, which will not adopt the same constraints. It would also undermine Anthropic’s own business model, whose pricing power depends on remaining ahead of open models. Whatever Dario states today, it is difficult to believe the company would simply accept outcomes that erase that advantage. 5. Anthropic is on track to become one of the most valuable companies in history, with the resources to navigate any approval process and shape the rules while competitors wait. Dario wants open models under heavier scrutiny – he has called them dangerous in Senate testimony, criticized them for not being centrally monitored or withdrawn, and linked them to IP theft. He says he has never sought a ban, but he could achieve a similar result by insisting that identical rules apply to both open and closed models. The U.S. risks becoming an island of costly closed models while the rest of the world races ahead with broader choice. 6. Dario acknowledges that AI is structurally centralizing but attributes this mainly to chips and scaling laws. Access to compute matters, but the deeper risk is who decides which capabilities are available to whom. His preferred pre-deployment testing and FAA/FINRA-style oversight would place that gatekeeping power in a federal bureaucracy working hand-in-glove with a small number of frontier labs – reinforcing centralization rather than countering it. 7. The second part of Dario’s post assumes we have amnesia about Anthropic’s well-orchestrated campaigns hyping AI fears. His May 2025 claim that AI would wipe out 50 percent of entry-level knowledge jobs within five years still lacks supporting evidence fifteen months later. Similarly Anthropic breathlessly promoted its heavily contrived “blackmail” study on 60 Minutes. Yet Dario blames public negativity on a long-standing loss of trust in institutions rather than his own messaging. 8. These narratives have done more than anything to shape public fear. People are left asking the same question Mark Zuckerberg posed: why race to build a future you describe in such negative terms? Thomas Sowell’s "The Vision of the Anointed" captures the mindset – elite intellectuals convinced that only they are enlightened enough to control the outcome. As Zuckerberg notes, concentrating power in the hands of an enlightened few has rarely produced the promised results; the practitioners turn out to be less enlightened in practice than in self-conception. 9. Gavin Baker summarized the disagreement cleanly on our pod: Dario believes frontier AI is too powerful to distribute; we believe it is too powerful to centralize. Dario appears to believe, sincerely, that safety and progress are best served by centralizing authority in a marriage of corporate and state power. The weight of human history gives us reason to fear that outcome.

Dario Amodei @DarioAmodei

3 days ago

1/2 Thanks Gavin for an especially thoughtful exchange. I don't usually spend much time on social media but I wanted to engage here because it really brings out the heart of an important conversation. First, on regulation, I think that “either concentrate it in the hands of a

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@petergyang @X Thought you were talking about something else. Sign in with Gmail worked for me. Entering user name I got the same message.

@petergyang @X Don't sign into x(.)com on that box. Install the Grok CLI, run `grok login --device-auth`, approve SuperGrok in browser. Then set last30days to `LAST30DAYS_X_BACKEND=grok`. Search uses your subscription.

@MiaAI_lab @vmiss33 @NVIDIAAI @sgl_project

This made me laugh this morning. Can't believe Dario is creeping on local.ai

Almost 3 years ago, I believed open-models would become the key threat to the AI incumbents & that unfortunately they would lean into regulatory capture as a response. I underestimated the fervor with which they would use this non-business approach. x.com/theallinpod/st…

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57 years ago

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For my first post, I’m sharing a letter @NVIDIA signed on why open models matter. AI will transform every industry, power every company, and be built by every country. Open models strengthen safety and cybersecurity, accelerate innovation and diffusion, and enable sovereignty. The world needs both frontier closed models and frontier open models. images.nvidia.com/pdf/Open-Weigh…

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@TheAhmadOsman Just connected mine to Hermes and local models on my DGX. Still buggy and working through it. Shows promise though.

@elonmusk rn

Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus

a month ago

Seriously, what?! Did NOT expect grok 4.5 to perform THAT well. On par with GPT-5.5, cheaper than opus 4.8. Cursor deal paid off

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@0xSero @RayFernando1337 Done 🫡

@RoKhanna @friedberg

Put this in Trump accounts. @altcap

Andrew Curran @AndrewCurran_

2 months ago

OpenAI is proposing handing over a 5% stake to the Trump administration according to the Financial Times.

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@morganlinton It’s a good top 3. Marin, Tahoe, Sea Ranch for me.