@TimmerFidelity Any chance of posting an updated June 2026 asset class correlation matrix (last 60 months, like the April 2026 one you shared)? Also, is it available to retail clients in Fidelity brokerage accounts? Thanks!
@ChrisBloomstran What about GEICO competitive gap? Everyone improved their ratios (e.g. check public data on PRG, State Farms for auto), except GEICO, which deteriorated 3.2 points. The absolute number (84.7%) is still outstanding, but the direction is wrong. -Thank you for sharing your work
@RealJimChanos It’s an old and common accounting trick: WM 1992–1997: Executives systematically avoided depreciation by inflating salvage values and extending useful lives on garbage trucks
U.S. banks have steadily increased their lending to nondepository financial institutions, such as mortgage companies and insurers. The annualized growth rate in banking lending to NDFIs has averaged about 26% per year since 2012 ow.ly/IEYB50WkBJ9
Johan, any idea why Visma has been using the Cervélo aero bike even on big mountain stages this year, instead of their climbing model?
On a side note, several amateur riders I know who used aero bikes for both crits and climbs said they felt awkward—like riding a catamaran—and quickly switched to more balanced frame geometries.
Keep up the great work with the podcast!
⸻
In your book The World for Sale, you highlighted the recurring tendency of OPEC members to undercut each other despite formal agreements—a theme that seems very relevant once again.
With this latest statement about increasing production, it raises the question: how much of this is coordinated strategy versus a scramble to secure revenue amid fiscal pressures?
Do we have updated insights on the break-even oil prices for the major producers? Last time I looked, the average fiscal break-even hovered around $75–80/barrel, with wide dispersion—from Russia’s ~$60 to Iran’s $130+. That spread seems like a recipe for internal tension, no matter what’s stated publicly.
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