Ok, I'll say it. I am only 34, but even I remember, not long ago, an America that didn't negotiate with terrorists (let alone, capitulate so hard).
Israel not backing down to Hezbollah's DAILY attacks because they fear "but what about the (shitty) deal" is admirable and reminds me of my old America before something changed somewhere between Obama 1 and now.
They are doing everything we preached growing up and it is sad that another country emulates our values more, but it is true. We never were a country that came off so desperate to make a deal with a literal terrorist regime. Israel is saying we will honor a deal, but we will respond to every attack/violation harsher and swifter. As an American, I admire it.
Trump rushed into this confrontation aggressively without calculating the real cost. Now he’s rushing to get out of it without understanding the cost of backing down.
He’s making the same mistake twice:
first underestimating the enemy, and now underestimating how much credibility America is losing by appearing weak and desperate.
Antizionist Jews pretending a connection to Israel isn’t a core pillar of Judaism is like taking the meat out of a hamburger and insisting your handheld bread pile is in fact the genuine burger. Eat whatever you want, but you don’t get to redefine a classic for everyone else.
Believing Ben Gvir is the most immoral entity in the universe at this moment is itself a deeply immoral stance.
If you don't have a sense of moral priorities—a rational hierarchy of good and evil—then you cannot act morally, and can't be a virtuous person.
@Alonso_GD When you realize that antisemites will hate you no matter how much you betray the Jewish people, you may finally gain the insight to understand how useful you were to them. But you will probably never have enough insight to realize that you were also their idiot, too.
If you want to know why all the deeply silly “dog rape” stories were published this week, it’s because the paid pro-Palestinian influencer squad were ordered to get ahead of this, genuine horror story.
Law degree, War Studies MA with Distinction focusing on Middle East strategy, 16 years as a professional army officer, ongoing PhD in this conflict, multiple papers published on this conflict, book on this conflict being published later this year.
Thanks for stopping by.
@Mr_Andrew_Fox@mogw777@ZackPolanski You've got no qualifications. No relevant experience. Can't even be bothered to pick up a book on the conflict, and now you know better than most expert professors🤣🤣
Twitter ticks and a few followers have really deluded people into thinking their arrogance isn't ignorance.
And yet almost every major human rights group in the world, including Israel’s top human rights, disagree with you & say it’s a genocide. As do the bulk of genocide scholars & multiple UN investigators. Why do you that is?
Oh wait! I’ll save you time. They’re ALL antisemites!
⸻
1. “Israel has said Iran is close for 30 years, so it must be false.”
Fallacy: appeal to ridicule / genetic fallacy
What’s wrong:
It assumes repeated warnings = dishonesty or fabrication.
Facts that undermine it:
Iran’s program has been repeatedly delayed by external actions, which explains the long timeline:
Stuxnet (2010): U.S.–Israeli cyber operation that destroyed ~1,000 centrifuges at Natanz and set the program back significantly.
Assassinations of key nuclear scientists, including Mohsen Fakhrizadeh (2020), widely seen as central to weaponization efforts.
Israeli strikes and sabotage operations on facilities like Natanz (multiple incidents from 2007–2021).
Debunk:
The timeline isn’t proof the threat was fake—it’s evidence the program was actively disrupted over and over again.
⸻
2. “They still don’t have nukes.”
Fallacy: non sequitur
What’s wrong:
It treats “no finished weapon” as proof of no real threat.
Facts:
Iran has enriched uranium to 60% purity, which is far beyond civilian needs and close to weapons-grade (~90%).
The International Atomic Energy Agency has repeatedly warned about Iran’s stockpile and lack of transparency.
Estimates have often put Iran’s “breakout time” (time to produce enough weapons-grade material) at weeks to months, not years.
Debunk:
A country doesn’t need a completed warhead to be a nuclear threat—capability + proximity matters.
⸻
3. “The entire U.S. IC assessed Iran wasn’t seeking them.”
Fallacy: selective framing / misleading authority appeal
What’s wrong:
It misrepresents what U.S. intelligence has actually said.
Facts:
The same assessments consistently warn Iran is keeping the option open and advancing enrichment.
Senior U.S. officials (across administrations) have acknowledged Iran could build a weapon within months if it chose to.
Debunk:
“Not currently building a bomb” ≠ “not preparing to build one quickly.”
⸻
4. “Operation Midnight Hammer obliterated their enrichment capabilities.”
Fallacy: cherry-picking / contradiction
What’s wrong:
It uses alleged success of strikes to argue the threat didn’t matter—while also overstating their impact.
Facts:
Even after major disruptions, Iran has repeatedly rebuilt and expanded enrichment infrastructure.
Nuclear programs are resilient: knowledge, dispersed facilities, and hidden stockpiles survive strikes.
The IAEA has warned it cannot fully account for Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile at times.
Debunk:
Temporary damage ≠ elimination of capability. If anything, repeated strikes show the capability keeps coming back.
⸻
5. “The nuclear threat is like the ‘moderate rebels’ myth.”
Fallacy: false analogy
What’s wrong:
It equates a documented nuclear program with a political narrative debate.
Facts:
Iran’s nuclear activity is verified by inspections, satellite imagery, and physical uranium stockpiles.
Facilities like Natanz and Fordow are publicly known and monitored.
The IAEA has issued formal non-compliance findings against Iran.
Debunk:
This isn’t a slogan or narrative—it’s a measurable, inspected, physical program.
⸻
6. “There’s no easy military solution, so we should get out.”
Fallacy: false dilemma
What’s wrong:
It reduces options to “military invasion” vs. “full withdrawal.”
Facts:
The U.S. has historically used layered strategies:
Sanctions that crippled Iran’s economy
Covert actions (cyber, sabotage)
Diplomatic agreements like the JCPOA
Regional deterrence (missile defense, alliances)
These tools have actually slowed the program over time.
Debunk:
The real choice isn’t binary—containment and deterrence strategies exist and have worked.
⸻
7. “Israel walked us into it.”
Fallacy: scapegoating / removal of agency
What’s wrong:
It assumes the U.S. lacks independent decision-making.
Facts:
U.S. Iran policy has been shaped by multiple administrations (Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden) with different strategies.
U.S. concerns include:
Nuclear proliferation
Protection of Gulf allies
Global oil stability
When a self-proclaimed civil rights organization puts Ayaan Hirsi Ali, of all people, on a "hate watch" list, you know it has been twisted into a grotesque hate group itself. But this was only a sample of its perversions. Ayaan: The SPLC Targeted Me. Now Its Reckoning Has Come. thefp.com/p/ayaan-hirsi-…
@trtworld The Jewish people are like all other people. We have good and bad, smart and dumb. Broadcasting the mentally deficient of our people distorts the reality that the overwhelming majority are sensible and support the Jewish people's right to their ancestral homeland.
This is so funny!
First, @DanBilzerian - I was supposed to debate you & Kenny Ko by myself (2 v 1) and Kenny Ko ran days before the debate (idk if he even bothered telling you). You mention Jake, who ran scared also and blocked me after being called out.
That said, @ComicDaveSmith reaps what he sows. He has been a part of creating the Dan Bilzerians (even if he didn't mean to) of the world.
564 Followers 874 FollowingIndependent thinking, disciplined living. Dedicated to my career, sincere in relationships. I enjoy fitness, learning new things, and savoring quiet moments alo
4K Followers 7K FollowingBorn Catholic & will die Catholic. My favorite people after my wife are Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott and Elon Musk. God Bless Pope Leo
568 Followers 7K FollowingI Family I ✝️❤️🐕🦺lDog mom🐕& l 🇺🇸proud Servicel 🦅Travelerl🌍 photographerl 🎥 dancel🕺💃& Booksl 📚& Teal 🍵Social media director l✍️
85K Followers 297 FollowingProfessor Emeritus at Johns Hopkins SAIS, former Counselor of the Department of State. Contributing writer @TheAtlantic. Personal opinions only.
564 Followers 874 FollowingIndependent thinking, disciplined living. Dedicated to my career, sincere in relationships. I enjoy fitness, learning new things, and savoring quiet moments alo
13K Followers 654 FollowingPushcart Prize-winning poet and recipient of a United Nations humanitarian award, Served in the Danish Defense, Worked for UNHCR and Center for Refugees
4K Followers 7K FollowingBorn Catholic & will die Catholic. My favorite people after my wife are Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott and Elon Musk. God Bless Pope Leo
568 Followers 7K FollowingI Family I ✝️❤️🐕🦺lDog mom🐕& l 🇺🇸proud Servicel 🦅Travelerl🌍 photographerl 🎥 dancel🕺💃& Booksl 📚& Teal 🍵Social media director l✍️
467K Followers 51K FollowingAtheist, freethinker; exposing Islam layer by layer, to let infidels know more about Islam than Muslims allow them to. "Am Yisrael Chai"
59K Followers 3K FollowingFellow @jinsadc. Truth waits for eyes unclouded by longing.
Author of the best-selling Substack: TAM
Here I stand. I can't do otherwise. God help me.
116K Followers 451 FollowingCEO @IDICenter | #1 Bestselling Author 'Islam, Israel and the West' | Middle East Affairs | Political Theology | Judeo-Christian Values | Views Are My Own |🇺🇸
129K Followers 94 FollowingI know two things about you. First, you were created in the image of God. Second, the world and its systems are trying to degrade you.