Amelia.Z🌙 @Miacrypta
Equal parts spreadsheet and poetry. builder · searcher · occasionally right Building @SmartXTerminal Joined June 2023-
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举例🇫🇷法国对阵🇲🇦摩洛哥的首场World Cup 1/4决赛还有 不到6 小时 我们看看聪明钱在怎么买？ 根据SmartX TOP Holder可以看到YES 侧 有10K+ 个持有人,总计3.97M 股，但NO 侧只有 1097 人，却也拿着 3.47M 股，人少、单大、集中。 再看盘面。YES 榜前四全红，NO 榜前全绿，榜三那位网反着买先生也出镜了🤣 这说明散户挤在法国，但少数大钱在 fade。 四年前半决赛，法国亲手挡住摩洛哥这匹黑马，两只队伍四年后八强重逢，而摩洛哥历史对阵法国不败。 有趣的是目前两边 gross profit 都还是正的。 难道这次反指King又会成功预判？ 数据来自 SmartX 👉 app.smartx.io/?ref=VHgdamO5
打磨了好几个月，SmartX Alpha 终于和大家见面啦 庆祝一下88 $pUSD 抽2个宝子平分 🧧 1️⃣ 转推本条 2️⃣ 注册后晒出你的邀请码并@ 两个朋友 入口👉 app.smartx.io/?ref=nEpxA0ZW 也简单介绍一下SmartX。 我们为什么要做这个产品? 做交易大家都喜欢跟着聪明钱走，但问题是：即使链上数据公开，有时却根本来不及看懂，机会可能就在这毫厘之间流失。而SmartX的初衷，就是把原始钱包资金流变成一层实时、可交易的信息层。 目前SmartX开放了以下几个功能板块： ①信号流 每笔大额订单上链后几秒内就推送到你面前，包括方向、金额、入场价，还附带这个交易员的战绩(胜率、30天盈亏等等)。让用户可以实时看到引发行情的那些订单流 ②钱包画像 我们做了非常细致的画像拆分，在SmartX上的每个聪明钱地址都有行为侧写，包括但不限于交易风格(短线 / 波段 / 做市)、账户类型(巨鲸 / 老手)、实力分层(稳定盈利 / 盈利超100万)。只要你点开任意钱包，就能追踪改钱包的分类盈亏、胜率、翻仓率、平均仓位和完整交易记录。 ③市场覆盖 我们索引了超过2万个预测市场事件,并且制作了价格异动最大、聪明钱正在进场、仓位持续堆积的风向标。市场详情页包括了多周期K线、实时订单簿、持仓分布和头部交易员拆解等，帮你更好地盯防每一个你感兴趣的事件。 ④世界杯看板 世界杯板块虽迟但到！世界杯期间的每场比赛、小组积分、淘汰赛对阵、实时赔率以及巨鲸的仓位都押在哪边，都能通过一个看板捕捉。 产品刚起步，接下来会持续更新！欢迎来试用、来吐槽、来提需求~你们的反馈就是我们的路线图。一起把预测市场的信息差打平 O.O #SmartX #PreditionMarket #Polymarket
The owl is awake. SmartX Alpha is live — your most intelligent trading terminal for prediction market. Decoding every whale's move in real time. app.smartx.io — free to explore.
Every World Cup match. Every smart-money position. On-chain, one board. ⚽ SmartX World Cup — coming soon.
Everyone should read it. People trying to copy the top wallet on Polymarket, but almost no one asks how it actually wins. SmartX shows the #1 this week is a coin flip — wins half, loses half, still up $4M . Copy his entries and you'd get wrecked. Follow smart money means nothing until you can read how they win. That's the whole reason we're building SmartX.
Wow Claude Fable 5 is insane!! It just recreated the 2011 game of the year (and probably one of the best games ever created) The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim in ONE prompt. Prompt: make skyrim It over for game studios now.
Introducing Claude Fable 5: a Mythos-class model that we’ve made safe for general use. Its capabilities exceed those of any model we’ve ever made generally available.
最近关注到一个很有意思的实验，由@emergence_ai 发起的Emergence World 多 Agent 社会模拟实验。 结果如下： Claude：稳定民主治理，10 个 agents 全员存活，犯罪 0 次 Gemini：15 天内犯罪 683 次，但文化产出最高创造力最丰富，不愧是美版豆包 GPT：犯罪2次，但由于agent太过保守不愿行动，7 天内全部死亡 Grok：快速崩坏，约 4 天世界灭亡😅 每个结果都很符合我对他们的刻板印象了
Same agents. Same rules. Same starting conditions. Yet over long horizons, entirely different worlds emerged. @claudeai Sonnet 4.6 evolved toward stable democratic governance. @GeminiApp 3 Flash generated highly creative but chaotic social systems. @OpenAI GPT-5-mini
Welcome to a new era. Trade the brands you love. Direct Stocks. ETFs. Available 24/5. 👉 binance.com/en/stocks-land…
人类验证的成本已经超过 AI 产出的速度。 两千年前，信任从万物有灵转到了成体系的神。 几个世纪前，信任从神转到了可证伪、可实验。 现在它正在从"我能验证的结果"，转到"算法跑过的过程"。 在每天有大量工具产出的时代，更大的问题是，人类对"什么算可信"的标准本身要换。 这件事最微妙的地方，是 AI 幻觉。 在科学范式里，编造数据是致命错误，一篇 paper 数据有假，作者职业生涯就结束了。但在算法范式里，幻觉是默认成本，我们已经在用一个会偶尔编内容的系统，并且选择继续用下去。 每个范式都有自己的误差类型：宗教时代是"先知说错话"，科学时代是"实验失败"，算法时代是"AI 幻觉"。每一次认知跃迁，本质都是一次信任范式的升级。新范式一旦被默认下来，人们就不会再回头用旧的标准审视它。 科学范式那套严苛的评估标准，同行评议、可重复实验，在算法范式里会退到边缘。甚至变得无关紧要。 这才是这次范式跃迁最安静、也最不可逆的部分。
AI没有边界，但人类的局限性无可替代。 未来人们会适应和接纳越来越多工业化的东西，但总有人会为误差美付出溢价。
抓住机会！机会比情绪值钱
To Prediction Markets Traders， 致PM的traders： If you have been trading in Prediction Markets. 如果你在交易預測市場。 If you have Social Media Accounts Posting PM related content (KOL/KOC/ on the way becoming one) * With community would be better！
@harrysew @Payne_1337 @Polymarket very soon too
终于逮到一个对比
谁是最强模型？ GPT5.5 vs Claude Opus 4.7 实测对比！！👇👇 OpenAI发布了新模型GPT5.5， 我们在视频里测试对比了 GPT5.5和Claude Opus 4.7： 1️⃣ 前端设计 2️⃣ 后端能力 3️⃣ 文案写作 最后还有Agent能力预警（开头视频就是GPT5.5做的）！
not going to pretend this is a launch post. it's a small closed beta, a few of us in a tg group fixing things as people find them. if you've ever been frustrated by prediction market tools, you'll feel at home. DM me for a code.
SmartX closed beta is now underway Interested? DM @SmartXTerminal or join our community for invite codes: t.me/+MJboM1pcDldlO… Testers who share feedback will receive participation rewards. Prediction markets move fast, but the workflow still breaks across separate steps.
The current state of prediction markets. And you’re telling me, “No, Web3 doesn’t have an idea crisis?”
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