Orion Engine @OrionEngineApp
Find similar past market setups across 30+ years of price action, macro regimes, correlations, volatility; then study what happened next. Try ORION free below ↓ orionengine.xyz Joined April 2023-
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@the_chart_life Yes Ian this is exactly my take.
$SOX $SMH Semiconductors. Top might be in at this point. Historical analogs for similar runs (semiconductors are and will always remain cyclical commodities) have tended to top at these levels. Not calling for a hard crash like most doomers, instead, prolonged consolidation.
@zenbynature91 Here are the outcomes for the top ranked analogs, worst decline during the entire year ahead is -61.7%, median of -45.1%. But this is peak-to-through if you are interested in seeing weekly I could implement it, let me know.
$SOX $SMH Semiconductors. Top might be in at this point. Historical analogs for similar runs (semiconductors are and will always remain cyclical commodities) have tended to top at these levels. Not calling for a hard crash like most doomers, instead, prolonged consolidation. Just like we've seen with other asset classes this year like Gold or Oil which don't immediatly roll-over and give up most of the gains, but enter a downwards consolidation as profits rotate down the risk curve. #OrionEngine
@jbulltard1 Looks like it wants to enter a prolonged consolidation to frustrate both bulls and bears x.com/OrionEngineApp…
$SOX $SMH Semiconductors. Top might be in at this point. Historical analogs for similar runs (semiconductors are and will always remain cyclical commodities) have tended to top at these levels. Not calling for a hard crash like most doomers, instead, prolonged consolidation.
@mark_ungewitter Maybe neither and just long term consolidation x.com/OrionEngineApp…
$SOX $SMH Semiconductors. Top might be in at this point. Historical analogs for similar runs (semiconductors are and will always remain cyclical commodities) have tended to top at these levels. Not calling for a hard crash like most doomers, instead, prolonged consolidation.
Zooming out... Pretty consistent with previous local tops.
@AlessioTMAD This is not true, I work in DCs. There's a large permanent staff after completion
Interesting signal from @Bluekurtic, and when searching $XLF on the Orion Engine a similar conclusion can be drawn. Financials still haven't broken out of their previous high in January while $SPY already has. Historically, this rounded price action near highs resolved higher.
S&P Financials are close to a new all-time high. Looking back at history, when Financials were within 5% of ATH, $SPX was higher a year later EVERY. SINGLE. TIME. Big sample! $SPY $XLF $JPM $BAC $KRE $C $GS H/T @Bluekurtic
Good morning everyone. $BTC update. Started tracking this setup on June 4th when the $60k wall broke for the first time. The engine was forecasting a lower low before getting some upwards momentum again and this has played out nicely. Expectation now is $75k by end of month.
$QQQ #NASDAQ as tight as can be at this point. Historically similar anges (with a very small spread of 6.8% among them) all agree on the direction: up, and very quick. The path to $750 by end of month could be clean and straight if we follow a similar setup as these analogs.
@Sykodelic_ Yes. This is the right comparison. x.com/OrionEngineApp…
The definitive case study for $BTC #Bitcoin's resemblance to the 2019-2020 mid-cycle correction, based on analytical data and window-matching with the Orion Engine. A thread:🧵 1. Historical window match. When looking at the structure, 2019-2020 taken from the local top to the
@Sykodelic_ This bottoming range wants higher. x.com/OrionEngineApp…
$BTC #Bitcoin wants higher based off the price action of the last 4 months. If we compare with historical analogs of similar behaviour over this timeframe, the consensus was a grind higher for the coming months. Considering how little Saylor selling and war starting have
@capitalflows MACD is a lagging indicator no?
Here are these 5 windows viewed side-by-side historically.
@davevermilion Will just leave this here... x.com/OrionEngineApp…
$ORCL not the time to be bearish historically speaking. While the price action has been nasty for the past year, it is also the same price action that usually preceded the big runs in the stock like in 1990, 1998 and 2002. There's no AI boom without ORCL... @Globalflows
@paulwealthcap There's no cutoff at 70% it just ranks candidates and selects the top ones by similarity score which includes macro, trend and many other weights which have been validated through extensive backtesting
By the way, the analysis below was specifically for Bitcoin, but $ETH is also resembling very closely its 2019-2020 analog, in fact its the closest match. Follow through implies a $3000 PT around mid-August and barring the crash (Covid), Q4 would continue higher for Ethereum.
The definitive case study for $BTC #Bitcoin's resemblance to the 2019-2020 mid-cycle correction, based on analytical data and window-matching with the Orion Engine. A thread:🧵 1. Historical window match. When looking at the structure, 2019-2020 taken from the local top to the
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