Pascal Trading Co @PascalTradingCo
S&P (SPX): Analytics & Technical Analysis. unnecessary commentary US Joined April 2014-
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Have vision. Execute with gratitude.
@traderkane If you didn't catch on to the joke early on.. mebbe trading isn't for you
The rule after decades in the market? Minimize losses. Phil Goedeker emphasizes that being wrong is inevitable. What matters is how you react. He likens small losses to manageable paper cuts. Holding onto big losses, however, is an amputation: financially and psychologically. Admitting mistakes early prevents a destructive spiral. Cut losses, save your career.
FINANCIAL GRAVITY: If we divide the S&P 500 by the fed’s balance sheet, the line is basically flat since 2008. The correlation coefficient between central bank quantitative easing and the price of stock indexes is nearly 1. The money printed by the Fed, because of the structure of the Open Market Operations, is plugged directly into the Treasury markets, and from there, flows into equities and derivatives. This has served to primarily enrich the asset owners, financial institutions, and wealthy elites who own the majority of the stock market anyways. The entire rally has been an illusion, financed by the Fed and maintained through QE.
The redpill on this is: America never recovered from 2008 and it's been 18 years of economic stagnation. Everyone wants to make this more complicated than it is, but it's exactly that simple. Dead zombie economy.
Most of us were raised on an equation: Worth = Output Produce more, earn more, achieve more, and you matter more. It's baked into how we're praised as kids, promoted at work, valued by the culture around us. Rest has to be earned. Stillness reads as laziness. Your value gets measured by what you generate. Trading inherits this equation. And then it breaks it. In most domains, output and effort are at least loosely connected. Work harder, produce more, the connection however imperfect, can be drawn. In trading, there's no such guarantee. You can do everything right... identify genuine opportunity, size it appropriately, manage risk with discipline, and still lose. And you can do everything wrong and get paid anyway. P&L is not a direct readout of your effort, your discipline, or your worth. It includes the result of probabilities playing out across time, intersected with variables you don't control. But a nervous system that's spent a lifetime equating output with worth doesn't know how to parse this. It takes the only input it has - P&L - and runs the old equation anyway. Green day: I'm good. I matter. I'm safe. Red day: I failed. Something is wrong with me. This fusion is one of the quietest, most destructive forces in trading. Once your sense of self is riding on the outcome of a trade you can't fully control, every decision after that gets distorted. You hold losers too long because closing the trade means confirming the verdict on you. You cut winners too early because the gain feels like it needs to be banked before something, and someone takes it away. The work here isn't motivational. And it's not "stop caring about the money." It's nervous system retraining...learning, at a felt level, that your worth was never tied to the outcome. The only honest measure of your performance is whether you found a real opportunity, sized and managed the risk well, and executed your process. That's the only thing inside your control. That's the only thing that's actually yours. Outcomes always carry noise. Process doesn't. Until self-worth stops outsourcing itself to the P&L line, every gain will feel temporary and every loss will feel personal. A nervous system that feels like its worth is on the line every day cannot access the calm, clear state that good decisions require. This isn't simply a mindset tweak. It's one of the deepest shifts a trader can make. It's happens at the nervous system and identity level. Until self-worth stops riding on outcome, every loss or even a big miss, feels personal. That's the real work, often the final but crucial piece. Reading trading psychology books, doing affirmations, accountability partners, etc may be helpful, but are not nearly enough for most. You can’t install a new belief on top of an unprocessed fear. Processing doesn’t mean agreeing with the fear. It means bringing it into the light. When you stop fighting “I’m not good enough,” it stops secretly running your risk management. This is the real work...and why skilled 1:1 coaching works. Not because we give better affirmations. But because we surface and integrate what’s actually driving behavior. If this resonates, R/T, BOOKMARK, like, & follow. #tradingmindset #tradingpsychology $ES_F $NQ_F $SPY $QQQ
@MasterPandaWu Think ATH a B wave and drop was a 4th wave C of a flat
American works are taking home a smaller percentage of corporate profits than ever before. Employee compensation as a % of corporate GDP has fallen to ~54%, the lowest since records began in 1948. In other words, workers are receiving ~54% of the income generated by corporations, while the remaining ~46% goes to profits, interest, taxes, depreciation, and other corporate income components. At the same time, US corporate profits as a % of GDP are up to ~11.5%, the highest on record. Since 2001, employee compensation as a % of corporate GDP has declined -10 points. Over the same period, the corporate profits proportion of GDP has doubled. Workers are keeping less of what they produce than at any point in history.
There are daily top extensions in many of the major US indices. Here is the Russell 1000 top, good until June 23rd. pfr.com/WP1/parallax-s…
@FortuneOptions Still very plausible we make new lows under 63xx into the fall from "around " here
@merrittblack I'm for whoever is paying . Boba Fett . Caught middle chunk of both moves. Will say don't think volatility is over for the year. Market structure looks like Could be another puke over summer
@merrittblack Ahhh... bearish at new highs cautiously understood... off lows technically reckless. Sorry. Ill go back to my hole 😅
@FortuneOptions From market structure perspective SPX could make nominal new highs and head right back down for higher degree pullback
Loving your country should never be synonymous with loving your government.
@markminervini Very long UCO from WTI under 60.. everyone said was silly.. ok
@AndurandPierre $200+ WTI incoming
@MasterPandaWu Needs another rth lod then up
@iansmithfitness Boomers need to die off any day now please
@elonmusk @_kaitodev @garrytan @karpathy Sounds like hell not utopia
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