Pat’s Picks @PatPredicts
Pat is a machine-learning driven model created by an MIT graduate - we deliver free sports investing picks daily. Tips accepted but never expected 🙏🏼 patpredicts.com Joined February 2020-
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Rangers @ Rays Game 2 Model Distributions: Model is pretty much dead on w books on this one. I have fair price at Rays -140, so no value on either ML side. Taking a small position on Under 8 total runs (-115). Game went under 8 runs in 61% of simulations.
Simulated distribution of outcomes: Rangers vs. Rays Model expects TEX to struggle against Glasnow. Rangers score 2 or fewer runs in >50% of simulated games. Rays should find success against Jordan Montgomery. Serious potential for an offensive explosion. Fair value Rays -230
Simulated distribution of outcomes: Blue Jays @ Twins This should be a tight, low-scoring game. Gausman is a worse matchup for Twins than Lopez is for Blue Jays. Model gives Jays slight edge in mode outcome, and in probability of offensive explosion. Fair price TOR -120
@BettingPros readers cash the Primetime SGP for the second straight night! Bucs ML (-185) Olave 65+ Yards (+105) Both Teams U14.5 First Half (-200) Parlay Odds: +400 Stay tuned for this Thursday’s parlay! bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-m…
2/2 ON PARLAYS TODAY 💰 AJ BROWN TOUCHDOWN GIANTS +1.5 NINERS -3.5 +725 ✅ MICHAEL GALLUP TOUCHDOWN COWBOYS LOST FUMBLE PARRIS CAMPBELL 40+ YARDS +800 ✅
Last six published Any Time TD plays (solo or parlay legs): Josh Palmer +250 💰 Jerick McKinnon +360 💰 Allen Lazard +210 💰 Diontae Johnson +230 ❌ David Njoku +470 💰 Melvin Gordon +180 💰 Will be back for Dolphins/Bengals TNF next week 👀
My @BettingPros article on TD Props for tonight’s Steelers/Browns matchup - plenty of value here, even in what will likely be a low scoring game. bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-w…
Cashed Palmer at +240 AND McKinnon at +380! Who tailed??
Always fun digging into TD scoter props on a game with the highest total of the week! Check out my predictions and which players I’m backing to score a TD in tonight’s game here: bettingpros.com/articles/thurs…
My play for tonight’s game between the Cowboys and the Bucs, a +475 SGP that I’m feeling great about bettingpros.com/articles/nfl-w…
Price movements since this article dropped last week: Guardians AL Central +450 -> +360 Judge AL MVP +150 -> -105 Freeman NL MVP +1500 -> +650 Burnes NL Cy +700 -> +500 McClanahan AL Cy +210 -> +155 We got in early on all five and there’s still value to be had!
If you’re not reading this @SamSmithBetting article you’re simply losing money bettingpros.com/articles/top-6…
My Washington Commanders season preview is live on @BettingPros - what to expect from Washington after a big offseason in an interesting division, and why Commanders +175 to make the playoffs is a great bet to make: bettingpros.com/articles/washi…
Also did a piece on the Houston Texans - expectations are low this year, but with a promising young QB in Davis Mills I’m sprinkling on an AFC South title for Houston at +3000 bettingpros.com/articles/houst…
MLB is back! Loving the Tigers -140 in the first game of their doubleheader today. Sprinkling on Eric Haase to HR (+360). Write up and analysis on @BettingPros: bettingpros.com/articles/best-…
My piece on @BettingPros honing in on the best MLB Futures plays is live! Give it a read, and, if you find it helpful, give it a share: bettingpros.com/articles/top-6…
ML Plays last night: Yankees -165 💰 Reds +155 💰 Marlins +140 💰 Rockies +145 💰 Brewers -210 💰 Orioles -135 💰 Blue Jays 👎🏻 Guardians 👎🏻 Cubs 👎🏻 Big night! I’ll celebrate by giving away $25 to one person who likes + RT’s this and is following me
The model found a big pricing discrepancy in Draftkings’ Austin Slater SB odds - paired this with some other model picks and had a profitable day! Will give away $50 to someone who likes + RTs this, and follows me and @roundrobinrob 💰
Four ML plays that the sim loves: Tigers +170 Cubs +130 Phillies +110 Cardinals -125 We’re hot on ML plays, 23-13 in our last 36 for a +10.1 unit gain since June 11 If all four plays hit today, I’ll send $50 to one person who’s following, and likes + RTs this tweet!
I LOVE THE CELTICS ☘️
Picks have stayed hot from the new account…follow@if you haven’t 👀
6-2…a brutal beat for the Cardinals, and the Cubs didn’t show up today, but we stay hot! ML plays up over 20 units on the year
6-2…a brutal beat for the Cardinals, and the Cubs didn’t show up today, but we stay hot! ML plays up over 20 units on the year
Another clean sweep yesterday, 2-0 on ML plays and hit a player prop with room to spare. Today’s plays: Guardians -125 Cubs -110 Reds -145 Yankees -140 Tigers -130 Cardinals +135 Graham Ashcraft (CIN) U4.5 K’s (-170) SGP: Teoscar Hernandez Hit + Blue Jays ML (-110)
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