Pia On Chain 🔗 @PiaOnChain

I feel like another bear cycle is around the corner...

You can't have a real bear market and crypto winter without an actual bull market. Until you see real unadulterated exuberance, no bear. Simple stuff but so many people got fooled this time. Pure devastation. They will be chasing hard in the coming months as everything rips.

I’ve seen enough cycles to know that memes consolidating for weeks or even months are the ones that make 10–50x in a matter of days.

Bitcoin’s hunting for a bottom,$60k looks like a solid floor.

positioning update/thoughts; people asking me if I'm bullish risk due to my AI longs; NO. I sold crypto spot today I talked about a ~month ago for +25% [HYPE, MORPHO, SKY] I am ~90% flat, as I have been publicly since August my perp positioning is skewed VERY bearish risk, expressing it mostly via CL longs, DXY longs [currency pairs] and hopefully soon I can short BTC & ETH directly as well my smaller longs in AI sector are merely an imbalanced hedge against main positions - they're also a good bet in case of any de-escalation on the war front institutional equity puts are at fairly high levels, meaning that potential tailwinds from geopolitics will allow me to capture temporary positioning unwind to the upside before we resume down-only framework that I've been working with for several quarters now my advice for majority is to stay flat. dollar is about to have a strong 2026 - you will be fine eating some inflation

JUST CONFIRMED BY MULTIPLE SOURCES: The Crypto market has bottomed, and within 9 months, BTC, ETH, and SOL will see new highs.

Hard to see value in Solana when every launch turns into a rug or instant dump.

There's nothing I can say to comfort anyone. The market is dry. There's a reason for that. Some of you are too eager to jump on new shiny things all the time and that's the wrong recipe in low-liquidity phases. You don't understand that you're hurting your own bags with your greed. "Look at this alpha, look at that. This person is connected. This company just followed them." When you constantly repeat these talking points they stop having the desired effect. They stop having meaning. Nothing is exciting or novel anymore as a result. Dopamine numbness. We’ve seen this movie about 1000 times by now. You're not only diluting liquidity. You're now also ruining the term 'alpha' which just creates more distrust. Your credibility drops. Teams that shouldn't get heat are now under scrutiny (just because some other team rugged everyone with vaporware that you shilled). Everyone loses. All because you can't control your greed. All because you have zero conviction in anything you hold. At some point you will be forced to stick to a handful of protocols that are, preferably, established and that you think will outperform the rest of the market once the tide rises. The thesis has to be strong. The need for a token must to be justified. Revenue is key. That's where we are at right now. Common sense dictates. People are done with the BS. People are also done with the vast majority of you out there that literally can't hold a bag longer than you're taking a shit. I've seen so many larps here preaching "this is the one" while they dump the same tokens just hours or days later. Or even worse: they shill the beta to the alpha before the alpha even got proper legs. When I see that once, I block the person. That person cannot be trusted under any circumstances. Not now. Not tomorrow. Not ever. You don't think I track behaviors? I see everything. I understand why people grow tired and take a break from this space. There are too many clowns here. Some of you reading this post are a big part of the problem. You’re just not willing to admit it. I personally have disgust for opportunists that lack self-control. Some of you can relate to what I’m trying to say here.

AI hype is huge, but who’s truly reaping life-changing gains?

Don’t get burned onchain. We’re probably sitting at a 2–3 year low in onchain activity, and user numbers seem to have hit a new bottom. Yeah, it sucks in the short term but bottoms are also where the best opportunities start to form.

Very clear where onchain goes from here Ai coins are what memecoins were last cycle and what nfts were the cycle b4 Way higher ceilings too for obvious reasons See u onchain 🤤😘

Slow markets are where the real skills are built.

Question to all OGs who survived the 2018 & 2022 bear markets What's the best advice you have for the newbies going through their first bear market now?

If they need paid hype, the project’s likely doomed.

If you're in crypto, this is it. The next 3–6 months mean everything to you. This is when you accumulate top 20 coins for peanuts And in 1-2 years you get a 10x, 50x, even 100x

@MoneyLord Bearish noise now, but the next surge will leave them behind.

Despite a local rejection of mid-70s, investor flows have been in consistent recovery since mid-Feb. Meanwhile expected volatility (VIX) on equities is hinting for a switch to "risk on" in coming weeks. BTC sold off WAY TOO FAST in this early bear market and current conditions are setting up to test mid-80s which is the cost basis of short term investors. This is NOT me saying the bottom is in. BTC is solidly in the middle of its bear market through a lens of long range liquidity. Typically, after fast downward flushes like we have had BTC likes to go sideways and mount a rally where resistance is tested. Bull trap forming.

Crypto is going to 10-20x from these prices I bet my entire life, 4-5yrs worth of research & entire net worth on it I warned you about the nasty correction… Now I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come If you are with me, you deserve what’s about to happen

Metals drop, stocks slide, BTC stands , watch closely.

@quantum_ascend Alts already washed out , BTC weakness shows fewer sellers now.