Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides
Player-level data. PhD-level precision. Long-term edge over short-term hype. pickswiththeprofessor.com Formerly Texas, now Indiana Joined December 2020-
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The difference between fantasy guy and betting guy as the nfl season approaches Fantasy guy sells you hope; betting guy sells you pessimism Fantasy guy: “Here’s why I like player X to have their best season ever and exceed ADP.” Even when they don’t like a player it’s usually because of where they’re being drafted not because they dislike a guy Betting guy: “Here’s why your team stinks and why I’m betting under on their win total and they’re a fade most weeks. Depth stinks, coaching is a concern, and just so many things can go wrong as a regression candidate.” Perception and approach rules the world as we all keep preparing in our own way for the fall 🍻
@tangotiger I’m amazed at the results after 17 votes and I love it!
An awesome promotion. Great job @ZipsFB!
Akron's football suites are sold out for the first time in program history following its viral play-calling promotion for season-ticket holders, per @FOS. The offer includes a pre-game press conference, being mic’d up with a headset and playsheet, and being in the coaches’ box
100%. This is batshit bonkers. When can I start hitting those limits down the road at @CircaSports in Illinois for whatever the heck number they want me to lay on IU for their post Thanksgiving matchup? I think the only 3 questions are: Will IU get to 70? Will Purdue get to 7? Will Purdue fans try to dunk of me if IU wins 69-10? (I'll be rich either way.)
Already less than impressed with Purdue’s new athletic director hire. Why???? Why in god’s name would you say this? Do you realize how dumb this makes you look???
I can't begin to express my appreciation to frontier models that have gone down every internet rabbit hole so I don't have to. Claude Co-Work is a gem.
100% what I’ve been saying. It’s the best league as a whole league. It’s so fun to watch. I have zero faith any of them win a title or really even make the semis. But most of last year they held like every spot in my ratings from 6 to 14 or something absurd, which is amazing for weekly matchups!
It's made the SEC worse at winning national titles, and it's made league play super fun (50% of games decided by 1 score last year), and from a writing perspective that's a brilliant trade for me personally, lol.
I have to remind myself every single day of CFB prep that Indiana won the national title, 5 loss Duke won the ACC, and 2 G6 programs made the 12 team playoff
Yup. The way to save the sport is let the nerds take over. Cause we’d use a combination of various power rankings and leave the human bias out. The not-nerds are ruining the sport but aren’t bright enough to realize how simple the solution is to get the product (awesome non-conf games) we want.
Nobody is ever going to play anyone in the non-conference again, even with an expanded playoff, unless the committee starts to value actual resumes over just a W-L record
My toddler whenever I try to use the bathroom:
Josh Allen: You knock enough at the door, it's going to open at some point. nbcsports.com/nfl/profootbal…
@NateSilver538 I have had this situation almost exactly myself. I hate new chats for the continuity they lose, but eventually it becomes a must :/
Freddie Freeman says he congratulates opposing hitters at first base “If you get a hit, I’m saying, ‘Nice hit.’ You know how hard it is to get a hit in the big leagues?” “I appreciate it. I tell every guy, ‘Nice swing,’ or, ‘Way to swing it.’” “I know my pitchers probably wouldn’t like that.” “We’re playing a game. It’s a kids’ game.” “Sometimes you just forget when you’re going through the grind of the season.” “My favorite is when it’s a big-league debut… And that guy gets his first hit. To be able to say, ‘Congratulations.’ You worked so hard your whole life to get there.” “Sooner rather than later, I’m going to be retired, too. I just like to have fun with all the guys. I know we’re competing against each other… But you guys know it’s a brotherhood.” “When you get to play this game for as long as we’ve got to… You’ve just got to enjoy the little moments.”
Distance of all goals scored in World Cup 2026
A metric that *never* surprises is probably useless. A metric that *always* surprises is probably wrong. You want a metric that surprises you about 20% of the time. -- Bill James (paraphrasing) Excellent example below...
Players with a 140 wRC+ or higher each of the last 2 seasons: - Aaron Judge - Shohei Ohtani - Nick Kurtz - Juan Soto - Kyle Schwarber - Dominic Canzone @hyphen18 weighs in on Canzone and his impact on Seattle's offense.
Oh my @CousinJared this sounds fun
If I had a nickel for every time this week a team tried to whitewash their coach’s offseason controversy with a puppy, I’d have two nickels. Which isn’t a lot, but it is weird that it happened twice.
There will be a lot of new bettors entering the market for football season Bankroll is of the utmost importance for those looking to last all season and beyond Widely accepted bankroll management says 1% to 5% (max) should be risked each time you place a wager If you're starting with $1,000 that means bets range from $10 to $50 rather than firing $100 (or more) per bet. There's nothing sexy about grinding like this but always know everyone starts somewhere and there's an inherent learning curve. You'll need to walk before you run so if someone promises you shortcuts to unlimited wealth through sports betting they're merely selling you on an unrealistic expectation doomed to fail
A human scanning a room of humans makes that picture outdated before the human finishes a breath. The human can see, hear, feel, all of our senses are available. We are not talking detail. We are talking scope and context. AI might be able to gauge the color in a person’s face and see they are blushing. It won’t ever know the voice of the person talking outside the meeting room is their crush. Causing the blush. They it has nothing to do with the billion dollar deal being negotiated. You get the point. I’ll ask it another way. You are at a 4 way intersection. Blindfolded. Do you trust an LLM pointed at the intersection, to get you safely across the street, or a seeing eye dog ?
Respectfully disagree with Marc here, but I hope he’s right. IMHO AI will be better at reading the room than humans - in fact AI can pay more attention to the room than we can because it can break down every single persons micro expressions every second with 100% focus - this
I don't think the SEC helped itself this week. In fact... The SEC came across as a bunch of spoiled children, who for the first time in their lives, did not get what they wanted.
"Whoever wins the National Championship doesn't define who has the best conference." "I think the best conference gets defined by how many good teams you have from top to bottom." Nick Saban weighs in on the Big Ten surpassing the SEC 🤔
Said it before & I’ll keep saying it: Right now AI is smarter than humans who can’t critical think about their own decisions. That’s a lot of people! Otherwise? It’s gotta learn to think about if it can be wrong. It can’t do that now & I think it has to learn THAT before AGI.
This is not even remotely complex code. These tools are still very net helpful. But it's hard for me to believe we're on the brink of some self-reinforcing AGI improvement loop when they completely lack any sort of roughly Bayesian inner worldview for self-diagnosing problems.
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