We build simulation-based Player Prop Models. Sign up for free! ⬇️ CODE FOUNDER FOR 20% off for Life (First 1000 users limited offer)theproppredictor.comJoined February 2026
🎯 MLB Hits Model — Top 5 | Tue Jun 16
Michael Harris II 75%
Troy Johnston 75%
A.J. Ewing 74%
Juan Soto 73%
Jared Young 73%
#MLB#MLBPicks #PropBets#SportsBetting#Baseball
MLB HR Model — Tue June 16
Top 5 by probability:
Juan Soto 43.6% (+235)
Hunter Goodman 36.6% (+330)
JJ Bleday 34.0% (+375)
Byron Buxton 29.9% (+360)
Jared Young 29.7% (+392)
#MLB#HomeRun#MLBProps #SportsBetting#PropBetting
Spain vs Cape Verde, the model expects Spain to roll.
Spain 88% to win, expected goals 3.07 to 0.46. The total goals curve sits heavily in the Over region, against a Cape Verde side making its first ever World Cup appearance.
Most likely scores 3-0 and 2-0.
#WorldCup2026
Germany vs Curaçao, the model expects a blowout.
Germany 95% to win, expected goals 4.24 to 0.47.
The total goals curve is almost entirely in the Over region, peaking at 4 goals, and Curaçao is the smallest nation in the field
Most likely score is 3-0
#WorldCup2026
🎯 MLB Hits Model — Top 5 | Sat Jun 13
Brandon Marsh 73%
Christian Yelich 71%
Wade Meckler 71%
Dominic Canzone 69%
Troy Johnston 73%
#MLB#MLBPicks #PropBets#SportsBetting#Baseball
MLB HR Model — Sat June 13
Top 5 by probability:
Byron Buxton 38.7% (+350)
Hunter Goodman 34.7% (+175)
Max Muncy 29.9% (+375)
Nick Kurtz 27.7% (+170)
Shea Langeliers 27.6% (+155)
Last card: 3/5 hit (Schwarber, Harper, Buxton)
#MLB#HomeRun#MLBProps
Brazil vs Morocco, the model's strongest lean of the day is the Under.
77% of the probability mass sits under 2.5 goals.
Expected goals just 0.81 Brazil, 0.85 Morocco. Neymar is out, Morocco's defense kept Spain and Portugal out in 2022, and the most likely score is 0-0.
United States vs Paraguay Tonight.
The model's contrarian take: Paraguay 44% to win, United States only 27%, even at SoFi.
Paraguay's defensive structure under Alfaro is the read, seven clean sheets in qualifying.
Biggest 1X2 gap on the slate. Likeliest score 1-1.
#WorldCup
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina, the model leans Under.
67% of the probability sits under 2.5 goals. (8% Model Ev)
Canada at 1.34 xG, Bosnia at 0.67, and Bosnia drew both warmups 0-0 and 1-1 playing for a point.
Most likely total: 2 goals. Likeliest score 1-0.
#WorldCup2026
Mexico 2-0 South Africa. ✅
That was the model's second-likeliest scoreline at 14%, right behind 1-0. (See Heatmap)
BTTS No (60%) cashed, Under 2.5 (56%) cashed.
Model had Mexico at 64% on the day. Opening night, on the board.
See theproppredictor.com/world-cup-2026 for tonight's game!
⚽️WORLD CUP OPENER: Model Highlight
Mexico vs South Africa kicks off the World Cup tomorrow at the Azteca.
The model has Mexico at 64% and South Africa at just 12%.
BTTS No sits at 60%, likeliest score 1-0 Mexico.
South Africa hasn't found the net in their last two warmups.
South Korea vs Czech Republic, World Cup opener
The model can't separate them: South Korea 38%, draw 30%, Czech Republic 32%.
Likeliest score is 1-1 at 14%, and 57% of the goal mass lands under 2.5.
Tightest of the opening-day games.
#Worldcup#Soccer#Southkorea#FIFA26
⚽️WORLD CUP OPENER: Model Highlight
Mexico vs South Africa kicks off the World Cup tomorrow at the Azteca.
The model has Mexico at 64% and South Africa at just 12%.
BTTS No sits at 60%, likeliest score 1-0 Mexico.
South Africa hasn't found the net in their last two warmups.
Model called it 💣
Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Byron Buxton all went deep tonight; all three were in our HR Model top 5.
Schwarber 48.0%
Harper 35.2%
Buxton 28.2%
New tool live: a 1+ hit cheatsheet + parlay builder.
Every batter set to Over 0.5, ranked by projection. Shows the line, implied %, model edge, and EV% so you see where the value is.
Build a slip, get combined odds + model win prob.
Free for Beta: theproppredictor.com
MLB HR Model — Tue June 9
Top 5 by probability:
Brandon Lowe 34.2% (+425)
Matt Olson 33.4% (+362)
Colson Montgomery 32.5% (+335)
Hunter Goodman 32.3% (+282)
Michael Harris II 31.2% (+450)
#MLB#HomeRun#MLBProps #SportsBetting#PropBetting
A user ran the hits model last week and cashed a 6-leg SGPx parlay (+635) plus round robins on the same slate.
Brandon Marsh, IKF, Carlos Cortes, Shohei Ohtani, Wade Meckler, and more
$200+ Win. Covers 10 months of a Premium subscription in one parlay.
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