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Most new traders obsess over win rate. Professionals obsess over this ratio instead.
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Gianni's having the worst two weeks of his FIFA career and I think it costs him the job before the ball drops on 2026. 🚨⚽
What's the market asking: Simple binary 👌 does Infantino stop being FIFA president at any point before Dec 31, 2026? YES = he's out (resigns, fired, forced out any length of time counts). NO = he's still sitting in the chair on New Year's Eve.
How it resolves: Any official announcement of resignation or termination before the deadline flips it to YES immediately, even if the actual departure date is later, and even if it's just an "intent to resign." What does NOT count: suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures he has to actually be gone, not benched. Cutoff is Dec 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. FIFA/Infantino statements are the primary source, backed by broad credible reporting if official word is murky.
My take: YES, he will be out. Look at the last 10 days alone Infantino tried to spin FIFA's commercial rights into a $20B private-equity vehicle with a Kushner-linked investor attached, got absolutely torched by UEFA, CONCACAF and the AFC, and had to scrap it within 72 hours.
UEFA didn't just criticize the plan, they said outright they've "lost confidence" in his leadership and that "no option should be off the table." That is not normal FIFA noise.
Layer that on top of the Trump/Balogun red-card mess, the EU Parliament members demanding a probe, and a human-rights ethics complaint that's been sitting with FIFA's own committee for seven months with zero update. Sure, the IOC tossed FairSquare's complaint, but only on jurisdiction, not on the merits. None of this makes him innocent, it just means the right body hasn't ruled yet.
FIFA presidents don't usually survive when their own confederations start talking like this in public, ask Sepp Blatter, who went from "reelected unopposed" to gone in about nine months once the walls started closing in. Momentum, once it turns against a FIFA president, tends to accelerate, not fade.
Disagree? Tell me why 200+ member endorsements and a March 2027 unopposed reelection path means none of this matters before Dec 31 and put your money where your mouth is on the other side. 👇
🚨 Now Live on XO!
The footballing world voiced their strong opinions against FIFA President's failed plot to sell a stake in its commercial and event operations.
The game might not be gone but will Gianni Infantino be, before the end of 2026?
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