Trade17 @Trade17

📍 nice setup on SOL, HTF this signal has fired 9 times. every single one led to a correction of at least 15%. 9/9 given volatility's cooled lately, I'd expect at least 10% this time caught it late, so I'll either try to catch a push toward the local high or just watch it play out $SOL

Trade17 @Trade17

12 hours ago

📍 SOL update strong hints of a correction showing up here on HTF, plus a VFlow test. I think we get one more reclaim attempt into a range, and if that fails, downside becomes the more likely path similar picture across most assets right now. not one I trade, just watching

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@swarmister agreed bro. survive till fall with the account intact. these 500-1000 swings only exhaust you unless you're scalping 100x

@KillaXBT agreed. a flush into the 50s is a long-term buyer's dream, not something to fear. anything under 60k is prime accumulation territory, long-term ofc

📍 SOL update strong hints of a correction showing up here on HTF, plus a VFlow test. I think we get one more reclaim attempt into a range, and if that fails, downside becomes the more likely path similar picture across most assets right now. not one I trade, just watching solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112

📍 HYPE update while I was fully focused on BTC, HYPE quietly reclaimed. starting to look better here I think a long-term trend change isn't far off. the ideal scenario I'm waiting for is the VFlow flipping to support and a clean HTF setup forming, somewhere around 48-50 definitely the one worth watching in the coming weeks $HYPE

@KillaXBT this is the whole game. everyone wants lower prices in theory, then lower prices show up wearing fear and nobody wants them the ones who said "hell yes" at 100k are the ones frozen now

@com56293 they're too aggressive. sellers pushing this hard isn't what you want to see for more upside, it raises the risk the trend turns down. but a bounce is still possible, we'll see

📍 update same thing again, another retest. probably the last one though either we reclaim and bounce higher from here, or we lose this level and the trend finally flips. no middle ground left today's selling isn't looking great tbh $BTC

Trade17 @Trade17

a day ago

so after the little bounce, basically nothing. price can't reclaim the VFlow, still stuck no strong setup either way here, so I moved the stop to BE and stepped away for now $BTC

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so after the little bounce, basically nothing. price can't reclaim the VFlow, still stuck no strong setup either way here, so I moved the stop to BE and stepped away for now $BTC

Trade17 @Trade17

4 days ago

📍 update not a fan of drawing it two ways, but that's where we are. price wedged between both VFlows, buys and sells getting absorbed for days now either VFlow can turn into resistance. I lean up, the Coinbase bid lately looks strong. but the nice part is the risk, whichever

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📍 Long term. PT3 PT1 and PT2 were pure math off the chart. now the data side, does the order flow back it up? order book shows a heavy bid skew here, the ratio is stacked. most of the market is positioned to buy at these levels and lower, right where the 54-55k zone from PT2 sits and historically, even when price made a lower low first, it went on to trade far higher afterward. the flush got absorbed and then some more upside followed sure, plenty of these bids get pulled or shuffled, that's how order books work. but the demand and the willingness to buy any selling with limits down here is clear. it's the same picture the math pointed to so the thesis holds: the optimal accumulation range sits below 60k. long-term accumulation, to be clear, not a short-term call next, PT4, the timing. when this all lines up $BTC

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Trade17 @Trade17

5 days ago

📍 Long term. PT2 now the bottom. same approach as before, chart and math, and this one's got a nice convergence. start with correction depth. each bear drew down from the last peak by: 2015: -86% 2018: -84% 2022: -77% same trick as the upside, each correction as a fraction of

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@swarmister

📍 ETH update trying to hold the uptrend here. as long as it stays above the current level, the run toward ~2000 is still on the table $ETH

depends what kind of trader. discipline, sticking to a plan, sizing risk, cutting when you're wrong, that transfers everywhere. so does the analytical side, reading data, searching for new patterns and setups, and updating on it it's the gambling version that teaches you nothing. that one's a dead end in any field

📍 update not a fan of drawing it two ways, but that's where we are. price wedged between both VFlows, buys and sells getting absorbed for days now either VFlow can turn into resistance. I lean up, the Coinbase bid lately looks strong. but the nice part is the risk, whichever direction you play it, invalidation sits close $BTC

Trade17 @Trade17

a week ago

📍 update boring summer chop rolls on. trend's weak as it gets right now two areas I'm watching. the lower one I flagged before still holds upside potential. the upper one is where I'd look for a reaction and confirmation a downtrend's starting need a push back above VFlow to

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@infinitybanyan Soon ser

✅ so 58 and the VFlow 60d held as resistance, price turned down from there heading for the 30d retest I guess $HYPE

Trade17 @Trade17

a week ago

📍 HYPE update 58-59 as VFlow 60d resistance is possible, but I'd assume a pullback lower first. we're in a downtrend here leaning down for a retest of the fast VFlow 30d before any real push back up $HYPE

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@swarmister Appreciate it bro

📍 Long term. PT2 now the bottom. same approach as before, chart and math, and this one's got a nice convergence. start with correction depth. each bear drew down from the last peak by: 2015: -86% 2018: -84% 2022: -77% same trick as the upside, each correction as a fraction of the one before: 2018's -84% was 0.98x of 2015's -86% 2022's -77% was 0.92x of 2018's -84% the ratio's shrinking, so if it holds the next one lands near 0.85x. that makes the next correction about -65%, which is 0.85x of 2022's -77%. off the 126k ATH that's near 43-45k, the number the sequence points to, marked on the chart but let's find another dependency for backup. demand's structurally different now, ETFs, treasuries. a drop that deep might not happen so here's the second, shallower level. the 2022 low came in about 21% below the high of the cycle before it (the 2017 peak). apply that same 21% to the 2021 high of ~69k and you get 54-55k. looser logic, one data point, not a rule, but it fits the demand picture for now that's why both sit on the chart: 43-45k is where the raw math points, 54-55k is the second target if price dips 20-22% below the prior high again and worth being honest about what 43-45k would actually take. markets right now ignore everything, tariffs, rates, oil, nothing moves them. a flush that deep probably needs a real black swan, something FTX-sized from inside crypto itself. an exchange blowup, a major protocol failure. not impossible, but nothing on the radar points there yet next, the data behind all of it

Trade17 @Trade17

6 days ago

📍 Long term Time to make a long-term outlook. facts and numbers only, nothing else this'll come in a few parts, and I'll tie them all into one post later. let's start with price projection, the simplest thing: price movements and math, that's it PT1. price projection, just

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@puterw0rld 2100 map is just one giant dam at this point

@com56293 sorry, missed this. don't really follow SOL closely, but SOL/BTC is in a downtrend too, just holding up a bit better than ETH/BTC fast VFlow is support now. as long as 0.0011 holds, there's a chance it just chops sideways instead of breaking down

📍 ETH/BTC likely correcting here on the HTF. high odds a downtrend's starting zone to watch is 0.026-0.027 if this plays out. price capped under the VFlow, and until it reclaims that, I lean toward more downside on the ratio $ETH $BTC