il Capo Of Crypto @_CryptCapo___
#Crypto analyst - Swing Trader - Long term investor | Crypto since Feb 2017 | Not financial advice | I will never DM you first. Free TG: https://t.co/FRlh8QvbPo Corleone Joined November 2015-
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Congratulations to the bulls that were respectful and were calling for 30k. My bearish scenario is NOT invalidated yet.
Some thoughts. I'll continue to ignore the noise after this.
Traditional markets downtrend is intact too. SPX keeps forming lower highs all the time and earning session is expected to be bad.
1) High timeframe. $BTC is still testing major resistance. Weekly close will be key, but there's no bullish confirmation yet.
Good morning. Market is bouncing more than expected, that is a certainty. Now... is the bearish scenario invalidated? I'm going to explain why I think new lows are still likely.
On the other hand, altcoins are having random pumps, most of them into resistance too (as shown on OTHERS). We have seen this during every bounce in this bear market. It gives the false illusion that the bottom is in.
This is also clear on $ETH, TOTAL and OTHERS.
However, there's not a single bullish confirmation yet. Just look. It's there, right before your eyes. Bearish trend is intact. Bitcoin and most of the market are testing broken supports as resistances. We have seen this over and over. I'm not buying.
Zoom out. Ask yourself: why am I buying here? Is it because of FOMO? You are seeing random altcoins having random pumps, same as have been happening since the start of the downtrend, and you feel the need to buy. You could think this might be the bottom.
SPX forming a bear flag under resistance + lower high ✅ DXY breaking up from a falling wedge ✅ BTC and ETH trapping bulls with tiny pumps ✅ Altcoins constantly making new lows and breaking key supports ✅ Capitulation incoming 🔨
16600, 16800, 16600, 16800, 16600, 16800... And when you least expect it... 12k
There's a lesson in here: People will talk no matter what you do. Never let them get you down. Never let it affect you in the slightest. Just keep doing your thing and time will tell for itself.
While some CT accounts do P&D, others shill pure shitcoins everyday, ref links of shitty exchanges (including FTX, which I warned about)... I had the dignity to reject all the deals since January 2022, and it was a lot of money. A lot. Yet 2022 was the year I got the most hate.
What do we learn from this? Perma bullish bias can be really dangerous, like a kind of sect/cult. Attacking others for having an opinion opposite to you is not the way. Sooner or later these people learn, because market (and life) humbles everyone.
Some people say it's because I'm arrogant. Everyone who really knows me knows that not at all. I just have confidence and say things like I see them. And hate comes because it's being a bearish bias. I didn't get any hate when I was bullish, and attitude was exactly the same.
While some CT accounts do P&D, others shill pure shitcoins everyday, ref links of shitty exchanges (including FTX, which I warned about)... I had the dignity to reject all the deals since January 2022, and it was a lot of money. A lot. Yet 2022 was the year I got the most hate.
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