Prediction markets with yield-bearing collateral. Your capital keeps working while the market stays open.
Devnet: https://t.co/j0lPbdvSF8bio.site/StakeSignal UkraineJoined April 2025
The repo is public. Architecture, contracts, integrations, settlement logic. Building in public during hackathon season.
GitHub:
github.com/StakeSgnl/stak…
Something we are improving right now:
live yield tracking per position. Open a market. Watch staking rewards accrue directly on the position before settlement. Feels very different once you see it live.
Normal prediction markets:
deposit collateral → wait
StakeSignal:
deposit collateral → earn yield while waiting
Small change in design.
Massive change in capital efficiency.
StakeSignal was built during @colosseum Frontier Hackathon 2026. Kyiv. Cherkasy. Ukraine. Prediction markets + LST infrastructure + real yield mechanics on Solana.
New market idea internally tested today: “Will SOL close above $220 before June?”
Interesting part is not the prediction itself. Interesting part is that both sides continue earning staking yield while waiting for resolution.
One thing we noticed while building StakeSignal: most prediction markets optimize for trading volume.
We optimize for capital efficiency. If collateral sits idle for weeks, the system is wasting liquidity.
Demo environment is now fully live.
Markets open. Yield accrues. Settlement conditions update in real time.
You can already test how positions behave with live staking yield attached to them.
stakesignal.vercel.app
Prediction markets should not freeze capital. If a market stays open for 30 days, your collateral should still work during those 30 days.
That is the core idea behind StakeSignal:
prediction markets with yield-bearing collateral on Solana.
mSOL.
jitoSOL.
StakeSignal: yield-bearing prediction markets on Solana.
Q: What's wrong with normal prediction markets?
Your collateral is dead capital. You lock USDC, the market sits open for a week, and the protocol earns nothing on it. You're paying opportunity cost to express a view.
Something interesting is coming for demo week.
Live markets.
Live yield accrual.
Live settlement conditions.
You will be able to watch positions earn staking rewards in real time while the prediction market is still open.
More soon.
Prediction markets are usually static.
You deposit collateral. You wait. You hope you are right.
StakeSignal changes one variable:
the collateral keeps earning yield while the market is open. The live demo is almost ready.
Real markets. Real LST yield.
@futuurHQ The tactical variance in a 5-4 scenario creates incredible volatility for any outcome-based model. It will be fascinating to see if Bayern keeps the high line or shifts to a lower block to protect that slim margin.
@golinbox True value capture requires aligning incentives so users own the upside of the intelligence they help generate, rather than just becoming a training data commodity.
New market live.
Will Solana process 1.5B total transactions this month?
Current sentiment:
YES 50%
NO 50%
No volume yet. No crowd bias yet.
Just a clean market and yield-bearing collateral from block one. mSOL APY: ~7.2% & jitoSOL APY: ~7.8%
Market #4 resolved. Question: "Will Solana TPS peak above 5,000 this week?" Outcome: YES. Volume: 1,284 mSOL.
Distribution to YES holders: payout at 1.61x. Yield accrued during the market window: distributed pro-rata to all participants regardless of outcome.
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