complicatedwar @acomplicatedwar

@TheBorysk It's probably the opposite causal effect. The Myanmar Airforce is deployed to the most difficult battles against the strongest opponents, which are also the most likely battles to be lost.

@nicholas6284 @Asia_Intel @Asia_Intel @nicholas6284 Thank you! Glad that he got what he deserved.

Was busy for a while an unfortunately will be quite busy in December as well. I'll use my breaks in between to catch up on the war. More updates coming soon. Events added to the map on 2024-11-29: 2024-11-26 - PDF: Drone Strike on Junta Position 2024-11-26 - PDF: Drone Strike on Junta Position 2024-11-25 - PDF: Fix Wing Drone Strike on Junta POsition 2024-11-25 - PDF: Drone Strike in Wetlet 2024-11-23 - Tamadaw: Airstrike in Ann 2024-11-23 - PNA: Pa-O National Army Recaptures Punchaung Bridge 2024-11-22 - Tatmadaw: Artillery Strike on AA Forces 2024-11-21 - KNLA: Infantry Attack 2024-11-21 - PDF: Raid against Junta Position in Sinlu 2024-11-21 - KIA: KIA Captures Border Tunnel 2024-11-20 - Tatmadaw: Drone Strike on PNLO 2024-11-20 - Tatmadaw: Drone Strike on PNLO 2024-11-20 - KIA: KIA Captures Saipan Military Base 2024-11-20 - PNA: Ground Assault on PNLO Positions 2024-11-20 - KIA: KIA Captures Kan Paik Ti 2024-11-19 - Arakan Army: Destruction of Ammunition Depot 2024-11-15 - PDF: Drone Bombing of Plice Station 2024-11-13 - Arakan Army: Capture of Military Hospital near Ann 2024-11-13 - Arakan Army: Caputre of LIB-373 2024-11-12 - Tatmadaw: Drone Strike on TNLA Soldier and Vehicle #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA

Detailed analysis of the Arakan Army offensive.

Nathan Ruser @Nrg8000

2 years ago

A year-long offensive by the Arakan Army in Burma's west has split the Junta troops remaining into 7 pockets, with four currently under attack and likely to fall soon In this update, I provide detailed assessments of the whole state w/ timelines and maps. open.substack.com/pub/geospatial…

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@TheBorysk @rr0162 Wow! Thanks! Didn't see you had it covered already.

Events added to the map on 2024-11-15: 2024-11-12 - Tatmadaw: Airstrike on Nawnghkio 2024-11-11 - Tatmadaw: Airstrike in Mogok 2024-11-10 - Tatmadaw: Drone Strike on Primary School #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA

Important developments of the last 24 hours: ⚠️ The Arakan Army is accused of committing crimes against the Rohingya in northern Rakhine State while suppressing dissent from civil society and resistance groups. 🔥 Attacks by junta forces in towns like Mogoke resulted in multiple civilian casualties, with airstrikes on tea shops and other civilian spaces becoming more frequent. ⚠️ The increasing reliance of the junta on unmanned aerial vehicles has led to difficulties for anti-regime forces, who struggle with the lack of countermeasures. ✔️ The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) continues to gain ground, recently seizing a base from junta-backed militias as military confrontations escalate in Kachin State. ✔️ The Bamar People’s Liberation Army is reportedly transferring its combat experience to less conflict-affected areas in lowland Myanmar. #MyanmarCrisis #Rohingya #MilitaryJunta #KachinIndependenceArmy #CivilianCasualties #ResistanceForces #Myanmarcivilwar #whatshappeninginmyanmar

Events added to the map on 2024-11-13: 2024-11-12 - Tatmadaw: Drone Bombing of TNLA Vehicle 2024-11-12 - KIA: KIA Captures Lanse Village #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA

Events added to the map on 2024-11-11: 2024-11-10 - Tatmadaw: Arakan Army Outpost Bombed 2024-11-09 - Tatmadaw: Bombing of Arakan Army Outpost 2024-11-09 - Arakan Army: Hits on Captured Position 2024-11-09 - Tatmadaw: Junta Drone Bombing 2024-10-25 - Tatmadaw: Airstrike in Me Tha Lut Village #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA

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Important developments of the last 48 hours: 🔥 Junta troops are reported to be destroying entire villages in Sagaing’s Kanbalu Township as residents flee to avoid forced conscription. ✅ Nearly the entire population of Falam has fled due to battles, with a civilian woman killed in an artillery strike. 🔥 A coalition of anti-junta forces has encircled Indaw and has been attacking the junta's last remaining position there. ⚠️ The Rohingya minority continues to suffer from severe violence amid the ongoing civil war, with a focus on their evolving experiences within Myanmar. ✅ Myanmar’s Thingyan water festival has been added to UNESCO’s preliminary list of Intangible Cultural Heritage. ⚠️ The junta is accused of defying ASEAN's 5-Point Consensus and escalating a "total war" against the population as per statements from the Karen National Union. 🤝 Myanmar's military leadership, including junta leader Min Aung Hlaing, is engaging in talks with leaders from Cambodia and Laos, highlighting strained international relationships. ✅ The newly formed Kayan National Army expresses loyalty to the civilian National Unity Government and aims not to compete with other ethnic armed groups. 🤝 China and Myanmar have signed multiple MOUs including agreements for consulates, indicating a tightening partnership. ⚠️ UNOCHA reports that over one-third of Myanmar's population urgently needs humanitarian aid amidst ongoing conflicts and displacements. #Myanmar #CivilWar #UNESCO #HumanRights #Junta #Aid #Myanmarcivilwar #whatshappeninginmyanmar

Events added to the map on 2024-11-07: 2024-11-06 - PDF: Encirclement of Indaw 2024-11-04 - KIA: KIA Captures Border Village Kangfang 2024-11-04 - Arakan Army: Sniper Kill Artillery Commander 2024-11-03 - PNLA: Drone Strike by PNLA 2024-11-03 - KIA: Capture of the Border town Phimaw 2024-11-01 - Arakan Army: AA Captures Pu Laung Mountain 2024-10-312 - KNLA: Capture of Khaw Poke 2024-10-23 - Arakan Army: AA Captures Military Hospital near Ann 2024-10-23 - Arakan Army: AA Captures Military Intelligence Unit near Ann 2024-10-17 - Arakan Army: AA Captures LIB 373 2024-04-14 - PNLA: PNLA Camp near Hsihseng #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA #PNLA #PLA

@JohnSevenTwo @Havoc_Six For armies that go quality over quantity, national service is a waste of money. You get tons of relatively poorly trained soldiers for a high price, while you should aim for a small number of specialized professional with very expensive equipment instead.

Junta's soldiers abandoned their post and ditched their weapons in the stream in an attempt to deny the access to them but failed.

@sheehanj920 Very interesting!

Continuing fixing the details in the South. Finally added the Mon National Liberation Army (MNLA), which is the armed wing of the NMSP. I didn't add the Anti-Dictatorship faction yet, as I don't have enough details to assign specific territory. Also, the situation on the three pagoda pass is still unclear. City is administered by KNU, but the Junta continues to hold the base. (But soldiers are apparently strictly staying inside?) Events added to the map on 2024-11-03: 2024-16-28 - Tatmadaw: Tatmadaw Base in Kyainseikgyi 2024-11-01 - Tatmadaw: Checkpoint 2023-09-23 - KNLA: KNLA Establishes Administration in Phayathonesu 2023-02-17 - MNLA: NMSP Office in Kyaikmaraw 2023-02-17 - MNLA: NMSP Office in Thanbyuzayat 2023-01-26 - MNLA: NMSP Presence in Migalon 2023-01-26 - MNLA: NMSP Presence in Kanni 2023-01-26 - MNLA: NMSP Presence in Kawbein 2023-01-26 - MNLA: NMSP Office in Zin Kyaik 2023-01-18 - Tatmadaw: Tatmadaw Presence in Taung Kyar Inn 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Infantry Base in Thaton #TNLA #PDF #ArakanArmy #Rohingya #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Myanmar #MyanmarCivilWar #MNDAA #Tatmadaw #Shan #KIA #ZRA

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The “Government” of Myanmar has made a tourism ad, and it’s surprisingly honest and informative 🇲🇲 #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

Over the next week, I'm updating areas of the map that I haven't paid sufficient attention to in the past. These positions where just added to the map. 2024-08-23 - PNA: PNA Office in Naungtayar 2024-04-14 - PNA: PNA and Tatmadaw Capture of Hsi Hseng 2024-01-12 - KNDF: KNDF Seizes Administrative Offices in Pekon 2021-11-18 - Tatmadaw: Attack on Mobye Fire Station 2021-11-18 - Tatmadaw: Light Infantery Base 422 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Namsang Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Naypyitaw Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Pathein Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Shante Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Taungoo Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Yangon Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Hmaw Bi Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Homalin Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Magway Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Mandalay Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Mawlamyine Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Meiktila Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Myeik Aribase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Nampong Airbase 2020-01-01 - Tatmadaw: Eastern Command HQ in Taunggyi