Autonomous Finance @autonomous_af

@ZwigoZwitscher The underlying positions are positions on polymarket.

Imagine you can hold a token that represents a worldview or thesis. What If climate change is not real? Do you believe it?

ZEIT @ZEITFinance

2 days ago

ZEIT is transforming how we bet on the future. We are the first platform built to tokenize and issue Investable Worldviews and Prediction Market ETFs. Tokenized Worldviews Opening soon to everyone.

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@ZEITFinance Just composed "climate change is not real"

Prediction markets are moving from novelty to capital markets. Autonomous Finance is building on @ZEITFinance to ship an algorithmic, tokenized vault designed to systematically capture market structure: prediction-market inefficiencies, liquidity/market-making dynamics, and incentive-aware execution (airdrop farming). We’re dropping a multi-part series with useful, actionable content about: microstructure, API details, execution design and we’ll end by launching the vault on ZEIT. If you care about the mechanics, follow @ZEITFinance and enable notifications to catch every part.

How I feel in my fully air-conditioned home in Berlin

@Autonomous_Chad @Kalshi Is it linked somewhere?

Meanwhile @kalshi literally has a *fake trade generator* on their official website kalshi(dot)tools/trade-slip You are supposed to "validate" your trade by pasting a valid trade ID, but the system doesn't actually check the ID. Type any 11 characters string and you will be able to remove the "Preview" watermark and make it look legit. I don't even have a problem with the feature (expect for the dishonesty of the fake ID verification), I just find it funny that @polymarket is enduring a coordinated media campaign about potential fake trades while their main competitor is doing it openly and no one cares.

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The Wall Street Journal @WSJ

a week ago

He filmed the exciting moment he won $100,000—except the bet wasn’t real. A flood of videos showing fake trades is fueling Polymarket’s hype machine. on.wsj.com/43WAW3p

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That was the pinnacle of creator marketing for financial services. It went downhill from there. @RobinhoodApp

Ivan @allquantor

2 weeks ago

This forced outrage is wild. If you actually build or invest in consumer tech, absolutely none of this is a scandal This is just the standard modern distribution playbook blown out of proportion. Let's look at the reality behind these "scathing" bullet points: 1️⃣ "Dummy

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This forced outrage is wild. If you actually build or invest in consumer tech, absolutely none of this is a scandal This is just the standard modern distribution playbook blown out of proportion. Let's look at the reality behind these "scathing" bullet points: 1️⃣ "Dummy websites" = Standard marketing UX. Real traders don't film themselves live 24/7 waiting for a win. To recreate a trade post-factum for a 30-second TikTok, creators need a staging/demo interface. Having a cleaner, simplified UI for video content is basic growth marketing. 2️⃣ "Offshore clippers" = Standard growth hacking. Content is borderless. Every major consumer app utilizes global creator networks for distribution. 3️⃣ "Altered headlines / outdated footage" = Welcome to influencer culture. Creators over-dramatize content for views across every single niche on the internet. Is it retail slop? Sure. Is it unique to Polymarket? Not even close! 4️⃣ "Paying Adin Ross millions" = It's called a marketing budget. A massive platform paying a massive creator for eyeballs is how the game is played. As an angel investor in multiple startups using this exact influencer playbook, this isn't "secret knowledge." Anyone in tech understands how this works. The media knows this too, which means they are intentionally forcing a narrative. I’m not saying Kalshi cut a check, but this entire controversy is completely manufactured.

Neil Mehta @neilmhta

2 weeks ago

NEW investigation for @WSJ: - Polymarket is paying scores of offshore clippers to quietly promote its international exchange in the U.S. (though it’s banned from letting Americans trade on the platform) - Polymarket made dummy websites mirroring its real site, then paid creators

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🟥Prediction market community - know your heroes. 🔴 Just like memecoin cabals rug retail by pumping prices, we’re seeing the same play in prediction markets. Groups are conspiring with UMA whales to dispute ambiguous resolution criteria and scam Polymarket bettors. Know who they are and call them out.

Internet Child @0xinternetchild

2 weeks ago

CALLED IT The scam attempt is in 🚨 Whales have just proposed a YES resolution for the July timeline. If no one disputes it within 3h they will get away with their scam But who wants to risk $750 on a rigged market ? @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @shayne_coplan you have to issue

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🚨 OUT OF PRIVATE BETA 🚨 Today, we are thrilled to officially launch ZEIT Finance Tokenized Vaults on top of Prediction Markets. Reality is now an asset class. Prediction Markets are the fastest, most precise representation of reality. We believe that the "assetization of reality" is the next culture-defining tool in the Web3 space. If you have a conviction, you can now tokenize it. 🧵👇

@Autonomous_Chad The cycle have to stop.

🚨 Wake up. UMA is going to KILL prediction markets forever. Constant scams. Max extraction. That’s exactly what murdered the memecoin trenches, and we are letting it happen all over again. We’ve normalized corruption. We actually glorify investing in straight-up scams just to "ride the chart." Look at where crypto is right now. We are literally cannibalizing our own industry. 🩸 Aristotle said courage is the FIRST virtue. Why? Because without it, you stand for nothing. It’s easy to act brave when there is absolutely nothing on the line. It takes actual guts to look at a rigged game, call out the rot, and do the deeply uncomfortable thing when everyone else is quietly taking their cut. Do not stay quiet about what is going on. Stop feeding this vicious, endless extraction cycle. Find your spine. Speak up. Refuse to support the net-negative garbage that is destroying everything we built. That is the ONLY way we ever make it to Valhalla. ⚔️ Have some balls. Let's fix this.

Internet Child @0xinternetchild

2 weeks ago

🚨 A new UMA scam attempt is taking place 🚨 UMArocks whales are trying to rug the "Will Iran agree to end Uranium enrichment" market In the last days since the MoU has been leaked, the have been accumulating massive amounts of YES shares. Their plan is to force resolution to

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@allquantor @ZEITFinance Best tech in the space, by far

TLDR deep dive into @ZEITFinance under the hood, came out pretty elegant imo: A minimal onchain share vault (boring-vault pattern: Vault + Teller + Accountant + FeeManager) wrapped around an offchain solver that turns Polymarket trading into a clean ERC-20 you can deposit into. One atomic roll Every epoch, ALL deposits + withdrawals settle in a single rollEpoch tx. Shares get bulk-minted once, then each user claims their cut with an O(\log n) Merkle proof instead of N onchain writes. Trustless data availability The full claim set + every Merkle proof is archived to Arweave; only the roots + the Arweave URI go onchain. Result: any roll is independently replayable, and you can self-serve your claim even if our servers are down. Real mark-to-market NAV doesn't just trust mid prices - it simulates selling each position into the live CLOB order book (slippage & fees aware) to get a realizable share price. Omnichain shares, no bridge pool. Vault shares ARE a native LayerZero OFT - lock on Polygon, mint on the destination chain. Sign one EIP-712 intent and a relayer does claim-and-bridge for you, with the claim + bridge params cryptographically bound to that one signature Shout out to @dvinubius @micovi7 to get this designed and built (before Mythos)

ZEIT SEASON

ye @kanyewest

3 weeks ago

GEMINI SEASON

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@ZEITFinance its Zeit Season

@PredMTrader This is what we've built at @ZEITFinance x.com/ZEITFinance/st…

ZEIT @ZEITFinance

a month ago

🚨 OUT OF PRIVATE BETA 🚨 Today, we are thrilled to officially launch ZEIT Finance Tokenized Vaults on top of Prediction Markets. Reality is now an asset class. Prediction Markets are the fastest, most precise representation of reality. We believe that the "assetization of

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@TheFatMbappe @ZEITFinance This will print. Bookmark it

FatMbappe is going institutional 🏆 My $FAV8 World Cup Vault is live on @ZEITFinance. We’re buying equal YES shares across the top 8 World Cup favorites. Current basket: ~81¢. Payout if one of them wins: $1. Target gross upside: ~23.5% before fees. 🧵🧵🧵