Daniel Bachman @bachman_d
"When the capital development of a country becomes the by-product of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done." (J.M. Keynes) www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights… Washington, DC Joined July 2011-
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Could Q3 GDP growth reach 5%? Plus, for once I wasn’t so wrong. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Still on track for 2.2% growth in Q2. The truth will out on Thursday. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Back to 2 percent but not much change to trend. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Still looking at a weak headline, and underlying strength. Plus: follow me (or better yet, the 4 Lights, the source) for a ChatGPT forecast. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Trade report lowers GDP forecast, but the economy is still doing just fine, thanks. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Data continues to show the US economy growing, even if a bit more slowly. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
evin Warsh channels Donald Trump in his first FOMC statement. What could go wrong? #useconomy #federalreserve open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
The US economy is doing pretty well under the circumstances. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
GDP growth lower, but still strong, in Q2. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
The unstoppable US economy is looking it will notch another good quarter. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
The real culprits of the American University crisis, uncovered! open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Oil prices? Who cares? Last week we got more signs that the economy is running hot. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
The Nowcast returns to tell you that the US economy is still growing. Plus a bonus explanation of why I was wrong in Q1! #USeconomy #GDPNowcast open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
A downward revision to the forecast for Q1. Q2 doesn’t look so good either. Blame consumers. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
A slight decline in the Q1 GDP forecast; plus, help me solve an oil price puzzle! Maybe even tell me I’m wrong. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Q1 still coming in around 2.0% in the latest Nowcast, and how the war might change Q2. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Inventories pull down the Q1 forecast; the war’s impact won’t be felt until Q2. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Now more like the consensus! Read more to find out why, and also to see a telling data point showing AI’s limited short term potential. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
This week: reasons for pessimism open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
Tired of thinking about war? I provide you some reasons to be depressed about the economy instead. #useconomy #currentquarter open.substack.com/pub/dbachman/p…
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