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The point is, these betting markets don't know shit unless you are the rightful favorite (Alvarez, Cam, Ohtani, Miz). +200 and +2000 is completely mispriced. Unless of course, Gray gets bombed today and Cease pitches a gem. But, if the opposite occurs, Gray will move to +800 and Cease around +500
Dylan Cease: 6-5, 2.67 ERA, 155 k's, 104.1 IP, +200 to win AL Cy Young
Sonnie Gray 12-1, 2.48 ERA, 90 k's, 101.2 IP, +2000 to win AL Cy Young
Apparently, according to the betting market, K's are more important than wins and ERA...
They face off today.
My guy Cam is the favorite -145. After last night's performance he should be -200.
I think if he can get to 175-180 innings and he pitches the way he has, he should win it. Doesn't need to get to 200 IP. I took Gray 50-1 before the all-star break. The problem with Gray is his FIP. FIP doesn't matter to voters at the end, but if he regresses and starts pitching to his FIP, he's finished.
USA Today posted an entire article about Caitlin Clark missing the All Star Orange Carpet “to get her hair done” when she was actually attending an event for the Caitlin Clark Foundation
With all these SEC coaches bitching that 9-3 teams should get in CFP, anyone really think a 9-3 USC team or any Big 10 team for that matter, gets in before a 9-3 SEC team?
I don't.
Hence, they need 10 wins to get in and I think they will (go read my Substack article and the bet I made on USC)
"I can't decline an offer I never officially got invited to."
Sabrina Ionescu would've loved to beat her record in the three point contest, but the invite from the WNBA never came.
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