Ξlliott Fi₿onacci @ewfib
Technical Analysis focused around Elliott Wave, Fibs & Geometry. Not financial advice Joined February 2018-
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Looks like the rotation is setting up: - BTC.D likely topped 🏔️ - TOTAL3/BTC likely bottomed 📈 - TOTAL3/ETH might dip a bit more ⚠️ → Altseason brewing, but ETH leads first 🚀 What's your altseason watchlist? #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoins $BTC #BTC $ETH
@TheRealPlanC x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉
@TheRealPlanC That’s exactly how I see it too, psychology-wise. Back in 2022 I was fully convinced of the 4-year cycle (see chart) But once everyone follows the same playbook, markets usually flip the script. That’s why I think this cycle might bend the classic timeline x.com/ewfib/status/1…
$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap 1️⃣ Wave 7 peaks when the monthly RSI hits the red line 2️⃣ Wave 8 = correction 3️⃣ Wave 9 = final blow-off top before the cycle ends In 2017, this pattern played out perfectly Right now, we’re closing in on that RSI trigger again Or is this time different?
@Darkfost_Coc Seems I haven’t managed to clearly explain why I used 9 waves for simplicity. The 9-wave count is fully within Elliott Wave guidelines. If other Elliotticians don’t chime in, I’m sure you’ll figure it out yourself in time.
$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap 1️⃣ Wave 7 peaks when the monthly RSI hits the red line 2️⃣ Wave 8 = correction 3️⃣ Wave 9 = final blow-off top before the cycle ends In 2017, this pattern played out perfectly Right now, we’re closing in on that RSI trigger again Or is this time different?
8 months later — still below the red line. (see linked tweet below) Same structure. Same question: Will $BTC reach the RSI trendline again — or is this time different?
@Darkfost_Coc I’m not disagreeing with the 5 wave structure. But on this macro count, we’re already in wave 7, which means it can’t be a “classic” 5-wave sequence anymore. That’s exactly what Elliott described as an extended 5th – the larger 5th subdividing into 5 waves of similar size
@eliaven_ Yes, it definitely will be – a “crash” to a level most would still call moon 😄
@Darkfost_Coc Elliott himself noted that an extended impulse can subdivide into 9 waves (or 13) of similar size instead of 5 and both counts have the same technical meaning. My chart is a count with an extended 5th wave If that sounds strange, you probably haven’t dug deep enough into EW
@PavleCYM I was fully on board with the 4-year cycle back in 2022 (see chart). But once everyone knows the playbook, markets tend to change the script. That’s one of a few reasons I think this run might bend the classic timeline a bit. x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉
@decodejar My original plan from Nov 2022 had the high in Q4 2025. Over the last few months I’ve tweaked it slightly – now leaning towards Q1–Q2 2026 for the high. I’ll be watching your macro indicator closely😉
@dt_perspective Glad you liked it! Appreciate the feedback 🙏
@decodejar Glad we’re on the same page again 👍 Always respect your calls – you’re one of the best analysts on here. When two chartists align, it’s either solid confirmation… or the perfect setup for the market to humble us 😄
@PavleCYM Could be – Your analysis is as good as mine – nobody can predict the future, these are just educated guesses. Let’s see how the RSI and structure plays out.
@johnnyhc179 Wouldn’t bet on exact months yet – esp. for Wave 9. But Q4 ‘25 for Wave 7 and Q1–Q2 ‘26 feels in the ballpark.
8 months later — still below the red line. (see linked tweet below) Same structure. Same question: Will $BTC reach the RSI trendline again — or is this time different?
When in doubt zoom out Let´s see if/when Bitcoin reaches the red line on the 1M RSI Same idea as in the linked $BTC tweet from a year ago Or is this time different? Will it under or overshoot the red line?
@decodejar 420k meme top would be hilarious. Just like 69k was last cycle. 😏 x.com/ewfib/status/1…
@XForceGlobal When in doubt, zoom out is great advice. I have a similar but slightly different $BTC view. It’s the same idea I’ve had over the last 2.5 years, and the price still follows the grey pattern I placed on the chart back then. x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉
@tradedevils $XMR was unbelievable over the past 3-4 years. It felt like watching paint dry.🤣 I posted a few tweets during that time. x.com/ewfib/status/1…
$XMR feels like watching paint dry pic1: october 2021 pic2: march 2022 pic3: june 2022 pic4: feb 2023 (see linked tweet) pic5: now Will this range break up or down?
@decodejar 80% of people didn’t believe us in Nov. 2022 😂 x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉
Dont tie your profile to a position you own Once your profile and emotion gets tied to a position it becomes your identity and then it becomes personal Once its personal you are no longer impartial from a critical thinking perspective and instead you see any negativity or positivity as a tie to your own value and self worth When you then hear someone say "that project has X potential concerns" you dont hear the issues you hear in your mind "you are an idiot" Similarly instead of thinking about both sides you will just like anything said thats positive and you become delusional as its success becomes tied to your self worth
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