Kellyn Arnold @kellyn_arnold
epidemiologist at IQVIA || interested in #causalinference, #statistics, and #epidemiology || pro-science, pro-feminism, pro-cat || own views Leeds, England Joined July 2017-
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Kellyn Arnold retweeted
Our new study confirms the tragic consequences of delaying the UK's first lockdown. If it started 1 week earlier, there would have been 20k-35k fewer deaths. The required duration, for the same exit incidence, would also have halved from 69 to 35 days 1/6 journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
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Kellyn Arnold retweeted
Predictive #AI systems often fail because of “dataset shift” or lack of “domain adaptation”. Without new data to retrain the algorithm, an explicitly causal approach is needed: Enter Counterfactual Prediction. @barbradickerman and colleagues explain here link.springer.com/epdf/10.1007/s…
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
For no particular reason ... A Sunday thread highlighting just a tiny sample of the brilliant women whose tireless work has shaped my understanding of Covid-19
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
I think the division of modeling tasks into “descriptive”, “predictive” and “causal (explanation)” is too narrow. Based on experience we also need “to finish thesis”, “uncontrolled chaos” and “want to make a point”
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
CNN images department: still the worst. (HT @minh81)
@PWGTennant One of these questions is 'disingenuous, snarky, and unconstructively provocative', while the other is (apparently) perfectly benign. Personally, I struggle to see the distinction.
@PWGTennant That's fine to say, but how has your response to Maarten's question modelled 'decent behavior' and fostered 'an inclusive space'?
@PWGTennant @MaartenvSmeden I really don't think you're in any position to be policing people's tone on Twitter, Peter.
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
Raheem f*cking Sterling ❤️❤️❤️
What a wonderful way to start the week 💃🏻☀️🥇
My arm is DEAD but feeling very grateful to have received my second jab yesterday 💪🏻
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
YOU HAVE NO AUTHORITY HERE JACKIE WEAVER. Please set aside 20mins today to watch the best bits of the Handforth Parish Council Planning and Environment Committee. The best British comedy in decades. youtu.be/lgGmYeAm0jk
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
So it seems like the government's message is that women should stay home because those chores won't do themselves...
Kellyn Arnold retweeted
'Use of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to identify confounders in applied health research: review & recommendations' Final version in @IJEeditorial! #EpiTwitter #StatsTwitter #CausalTwitter #SER2020 academic.oup.com/ije/advance-ar…
@PWGTennant We can claim £6 per week tax relief from HMRC (coronavirus.leeds.ac.uk/staff-advice/w…)
Peter Tennant has mov... @PWGTennant
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Sara Conroy, PhD @EpiSconroy
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DocBio🇺🇦🇨�... @DocBio1509
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𝘋𝘳. 𝘊𝘢�... @DrCatherineB
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