Ben Matasar @matasar

Very little Electoral College bias in 2024: When the NYT Needle estimates shut down, Trump was on track for a 1.5 point national popular vote win. His margins in PA/MI/WI ranged from 1.1 points to 2.1 points. Pennsylvania was the tipping point state that got Trump to an Electoral College majority.

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Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot

2 years ago

ABC News has projected that Proposition 139, protecting abortion rights, will pass in Arizona, overturning the state's 15-week ban. Similar measures have also passed in Colorado and Maryland, where abortion was already legal.

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Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17

2 years ago

Donald Trump is probably the favorite to win the popular vote at this point. I can't say many in either party would have expected this outcome even a year ago.

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Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17

2 years ago

Pretty clear picture emerging in the rust belt. In whatever's completed, Harris is just underrunning Biden all across the board, no matter the region or the demographic. Now we wait to see what it looks like in the remaining suburban and urban vote, but she'll need a big swing.

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Adam Carlson @admcrlsn

2 years ago

Still very early, but in counties where 90%+ is reporting there's a pretty clear pattern that Trump is holding or improving upon his 2020 margins in rural areas.

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Adam Carlson @admcrlsn

2 years ago

Florida, Georgia, and Virginia are known for counting their ballots *very* quickly. So if you have stuff to do, do it in the next 12 minutes.

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Adam Carlson @admcrlsn

2 years ago

Tapping the sign

Adam Carlson @admcrlsn

2 years ago

Another word of caution: The first round of exit polls that are released to the public (5pm ET) are almost always wrong/off base in some way, and are revised later after all the votes have been counted. Do not necessarily treat them as gospel.

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Ben Matasar @matasar

2 years ago

This was a fun thing about living in San Francisco.

Emily Dreyfuss @EmilyDreyfuss

2 years ago

I love voting in San Francisco because my polling place is my neighbor's garage. Our city will never not be just a little weird.

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Ben Matasar @matasar

2 years ago

He doesn’t know anything. Ignore him.

Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11

2 years ago

Turnout is mixed and not where we want it to be. We need more people to vote. We can't let turnout flatline. Text everyone you know. Make more noise. We need more.

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Ben Matasar @matasar

2 years ago

@HPbasketball They’ve played the pelicans three times out of eight.

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Xenocrypt @xenocryptsite

2 years ago

Totally true, nobody knows a single damn thing until actual numbers come in this evening. There will be a lot of totally useless stuff about long lines until then and I just ignore all of it.

Greg Giroux @greggiroux

2 years ago

"Election Day is its own special type of hell. If you've never worked on a campaign, you might think it would be the most hectic day of the campaign. In reality, it's the opposite." -- @Lis_Smith in "Any Given Tuesday"

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Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 @JeremiahDJohns

2 years ago

Over the next 48 hours, some of you will treat predictors who said 52/48 like gods and predictors who said 48/52 like morons, and I want to say in advance how deeply I hate you.