Nicholas Glinsman @nglinsman
Co-Founder at Verstand Global Macro LLC Macro PM, Brevan Howard & Salomon alumni. Macro & geopolitical commentator. London School of Economics Miami, FL Joined May 2010-
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Simply a way to recycle bad debt, not stimulate the economy.
“China will allow local govts to issue 6 trillion yuan in additional special bonds over three years to swap hidden debt..local govts will be able to tap another total of 4 trillion yuan in new special local bond quota over five years for the same purpose” bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Not stimulus @shehzadhqazi
The Chinese Finance Minister says more may be in the pipeline for land and property clean up purposes, but today's fiscal easing announcement will be a disappointment. Maybe more when DT's policy looks clearer. Short thread on why Beijing is still on the back foot 1/6
@dampedspring is providing gems of analysis here on X. Always hugely informative and should be read and re-read
Decomposing a change in nominal yields 101 Today at the FOMC press conference Jay Powell mentioned decomposition. The goal of decomposition is to attribute the changes in nominal yields to isolate economic drivers. As he said there are lots of models. This 🧵is not meant to
Three hours before the Presser, this came out. So, why was Powell trying to "bait" Trump into a fight over his job? Powell didn't need to answer questions about his job. Or does Powell want to fight with Trump about his job? --- President-elect Donald Trump is likely to allow Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to serve out the remainder of his term, which expires in May 2026, according to a senior adviser to Trump requesting anonymity to describe private conversations. cnn.com/2024/11/07/pol…
I'll have more takeaways from Powell's presser later. However, one that jumps out now is Powell's insistence that he did not want to talk about politics or a change in fiscal outlook given the election. Then, he dramatically and emotionally jumped into discussing the politics
@dampedspring @INArteCarloDoss Me too. In fact, I was blocked from the outset of when he started to pick up followers. I have some thoughts as to why, but itis what it is. I think it a shame, as we could all have illuminating exchanges.
“In October, China’s exports to the U.S. rose 8.1% from a year ago, according to a CNBC calculation of official data. China’s exports to the European Union and the ASEAN increased 12.7% and 15.8% on year, respectively” @anniekbyx cnbc.com/2024/11/07/chi…
And who made the correct call @RoryStewartUK It was @afneil
Journalists would like the US race to seem as close as possible - it suits their appetite for suspense and @afneil ‘s desire to prod the establishment. But this won’t be a close race decided by a “couple of thousand votes”. He is wrong. And Kamala Harris will win.
Since when were bureaucrats so popular? @elonmusk
To quote "The maths doesn't work for the DEMs". All about the early voting.
🚨🇺🇸 Democrats fall 1.7M votes behind in swing states early voting, with rural voters—especially women—surpassing expectations by 300K.
Below are the R minus D early vote deltas in swing states before tomorrow. Republican turnout on election day is usually much higher than Democrat, so any state currently leaning R in early voting is very likely to side with Trump. Pennsylvania, while still leaning D, has a massive turnout on Election Day. If the same number vote in person for Trump this time vs last, he will win by ~500k votes (landslide).
1/8 SCMP: "Chinese President Xi Jinping has called on provincial leaders to be patient about the pace of economic reforms, cautioned them against trying to solve problems hastily, and urged them to break down the fences of... sc.mp/fvvpi?utm_sour… via @SCMPNews
In 1910, Teddy Roosevelt met Emperor Franz Joseph I Teddy asked him to explain his job, and the Emperor simply replied: "The idea of my office is to protect my people from their politicians." It warms the heart to see His Majesty King Felipe VI carrying on this great tradition
A class in why the familial power of monarchy endures and works. It was fascinating to see the regal dignity personal courage & admirable grace under pressure of Felipe VI King of Spain visiting the enraged heartbroken people of Valencia …while the head of government Sanchez fled ignobly. Character is all
@dampedspring Pleasure Andy. It is an important piece, and I do think it should be highlighted. People don't under the critical nature of Thursday's FOMC - it could have greater implications than the election
Brilliant and on point write-up by Andy @dampedspring - A must-read - this FOMC meeting could end up being more consequential for the real economy than the election
Given the bond market move over the last days and weeks, The Fed is being warned that they can "lose the long end". In this free DSR I describe what is happening in the bond market, why, what the risk may be and what the Fed "should do". Will they? 🤷♂️ dampedspring.com/wp-content/upl…
@BlacklionCTA @dampedspring The original Fed policy error has been a failure to recognize that the monetary policy transmission mechanism has changed since Covid, now depending on financial market conditions and not real short-term rates, my sense is that they will continue to think this way
Quincy Jones, music producer, dies aged 91 RIP oh great one thetimes.com/article/0048aa…
@nickgiva1 You used to see exactly that with the Gold ETF
Santiago Capital @SantiagoAuFund
340K Followers 2K Following If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs & blaming it on you… NOT TRADING ADVICE https://t.co/l29nWovEkm
Le Shrub🌳 @agnostoxxx
154K Followers 2K Following Founder and CIO of a $1 Trillion Hedge Fun. Account for entertainment purposes only. Explicit language
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Joseph Wang @josephwang
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Danielle DiMartino Bo... @DiMartinoBooth
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Alexander Stahel 🌻 @BurggrabenH
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CrossBorder Capital/ ... @crossbordercap
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115K Followers 2K Following GS/J. Aron➡Canyon➡Akanthos➡Kao Family Office➡https://t.co/6Us4owom5j📊Globetrotter✈ Headbanger🤘Star Wars Fan🌌 Mixologist🍸Diver🤿NO INVESTMENT ADVICE
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554K Followers 2K Following Founder & President, Forest for the Trees (FFTT). Author of "The Mr. X Interviews, Volumes I & II.” I never solicit via DM's. RT not endorsements.
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12K Followers 3 Following Macroeconomic Research Firm focused on investors with portfolios of high-six to high-seven figures. Run by @nickgiva1 & @dampedspring Every Saturday before 3PM
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206 Followers 459 Following Final Fantasynomics VIII posts all in highlights, redone later. Nostr:npub16rz8gykr28tk9636956gjsr37qvlkfqee9dv6748vrgkwjwj5fzsj46sx6
Marko Kolanovic @markoinny
69K Followers 229 Following Former Chief Strategist / coHead of Global Research JPM, II Hall of Fame, BSC, BofA/ML, Physics PhD NYU. Gandalf, man who move(d) markets. Not Financial Advice
Yicai 第一财经 @yicaichina
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Joey Politano 🏳️... @JosephPolitano
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1.0M Followers 1K Following Author of Broken Money & The Stolguard Incident. Investor with a blended engineering/finance background. GP @egodeathcapital. Director at Bakkt & @Swan.
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Nicholas | Unusual Wh... @NicholasFNS
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unusual_whales @unusual_whales
4.7M Followers 2K Following Stocks/Options/Crypto/Market News/Tools. Not advice @Polymarket partner Open a tastytrade account: https://t.co/wGf2ZdlXpw Discord: https://t.co/0xJ9e0ZYYG More: https://t.co/nsxZlPV0pC
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FT for Schools @ft4s
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Ana Luís Andrade @ana_luisandrade
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