oiwan @oiwan

Yanliang Miao is right that it would be a mistake to assume that China’s economy is running out of steam simply because property and infrastructure investment are weakening. But I disagree with his suggestion that China can largely replace the old investment-driven growth model with a technology-driven one as it rebalances toward domestic demand. The problem is that China’s extraordinary technological competitiveness is itself mostly a consequence of the imbalances that created the old model. China’s challenge, in other words, is not simply to find new engines of growth by continuing to fund technological progress in the same way it has in the past. It is to develop new engines of growth even as surging debt and growing international tensions force it to reverse the very conditions that created its past technological progress – excessively high investment and excessively low consumption. This was the same challenge the USSR faced in the 1960s and Japan in the 1980s, and neither was able to do so. Their failure was not an accident. As with China today, it was precisely their highly unbalanced economies that funded their spectacular technological advances until debt capacity limits forced a reversal. That’s the problem. Until it figures out how to maintain technological progress while dramatically restructuring the conditions that created it in the past, Beijing will continue to try to “solve” the supply-side “problem” China doesn’t have while worsening the real constraint on its economy, its unbalanced demand. imf.org/en/publication…

When the state cannot afford to jail activists, it calls their parents. My research theorizes Emotional Proxy Repression: authoritarian states exploit the emotions bound up in intimate relationships, obligation, care, and shame, to pressure political actors with full deniability. Patriarchal family norms make the feminist activists I study especially vulnerable to this form of repression. I see my work as a political intervention, a refusal to let privatized state violence stay hidden. Open access: doi.org/10.1016/j.wsif…

The hottest topic today: AI safety between US-China. @mattsheehan88 nailed it in this interview with @ezraklein. Calm and knowledgeable. Can't we have this every day? nytimes.com/2026/09/15/opi…

We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must-p…

We're publishing our most detailed threat intelligence report to date. It covers how people tried to misuse Claude—for cyberattacks, influence operations, surveillance, biology, and building weapons—and how we found and stopped them. We disrupted every operation in the report, and used the lessons from them to strengthen our safeguards. Where appropriate, we also shared what we found with authorities and other AI companies. These cases are not typical: we’re highlighting some of the most sophisticated misuse we’ve seen. But they’re especially important to discuss, because they show us where AI misuse is headed, where our safeguards work, and where they need to improve. We’re publishing this report so others can spot the same activity on their own platforms, and so we can give the public a clearer view of how emerging threats develop. Read the report: anthropic.com/threat-intelli…

puts moonshot and its CEO whom media has been fawning over in a bit of a different light

Bill Bishop @niubi

a week ago

this report documents clear violations of PRC law by PRC entities. Anthropic should offer to forward its detailed findings to the Ministry of Public Security through the FBI's channel, would be a good example of US-China law enforcement cooperation: "these findings raise concerns

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📢Save the date: SAR’s upcoming #Free2Think2026 report will be released on September 15 to mark the International Day of Democracy. The report covers attacks on #highered around the world and sheds light on how the international community protect #academicfreedom.

To this day, I cannot understand how the world watched this scene without being moved!! More than 500 people disappeared after this strike in Gaza City, as if they were erased from existence in a single moment. History will never forget what we lived through here.

BREAKING: Israel blew up an entire village today in Southern Lebanon. This is violence. This is ethnic cleaning. This is genocide. And it is all happening under a “ceasefire” and being funded by the U.S.

For @WIRED, I spoke to a med student in India who made thousands of dollars duping MAGA fans by creating a blonde AI influencer named "Emily Hart." Here's how he did it.

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Striking statement from China’s foreign press club, explicitly making clear its critique of China revoking visas, China detaining journos over coverage, not associated w/any media outlet. Media orgs - powerful ones - are not speaking up, and they should. fccchina.org/2026/04/20/fcc…

No Kings. March 28th. Make a plan for where you'll be and bring your family and friends. nokings.org

Just 100 users were responsible for almost 70% of online conspiracy posts from influential accounts they examined in Canada. An analysis of over 14 million social media posts from accounts in Canada found that 87% of conspiratorial claims come from these influencers. But this tiny minority of true believers can have a momentous impact on local politics, influencing what people view as normal and acceptable and leads to self-censoring to avoid attacks from conspiracy theorists. nationalobserver.com/2026/02/25/new… These extremists create what we call "the funhouse mirror" effect of social media, where a small number of users create misperceptions of social norms. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Hongkonger fights in #Ukraine as diaspora marks grim anniversary Nid sees parallels between Ukraine’s resistance and Hong Kong’s own struggles. “We’re both being occupied by a neighboring power that’s gradually assimilating us.” @kellywsheung globalvoices.org/2026/03/02/hon…

Civilizationalism, the idea that world politics revolves around culturally bounded civilizations led by great powers, is energizing the Right on both sides of the Atlantic. It is key to the effort to dismantle universalism and remake the international order. jacobin.com/2026/02/civili…

As things stand, now that Jimmy Lai’s case is mostly done, the only “big” national security cases left are those relating to Tiananmen vigil leaders Chow Hang-Tung, Lee Cheuk-yan and Albert Ho, as well as another case against Joshua Wong. China would look to ride out those remaining cases and then have Hong Kong be completely forgotten in international consciousness. It is up to all of us who care about Hong Kong to make sure China does not succeed in “disappearing” Hong Kong’s crackdown from the world.

Two decades ago, observers in the advanced liberal democracies said China could never catch up: the technological gulf was too vast and China's authoritarian institutions would obstruct innovation. How did we get here? My essay in @ForeignAffairs foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas-s…

It is shocking how little coverage there is of an unfolding humanitarian catastrophe in Ukraine due to Russia's destruction of its energy grid. It's -20C outside and half of the country experienced a total blackout today. Metro trains stopped operating in Kyiv and Kharkiv today. Rolling blackouts have been ongoing for weeks, often with no heating and running water inside people's houses. People get sick and die because of this. In the meantime, Russians laugh and call for more strikes to punish Ukraine for its unwillingness to surrender. These are strikes affecting millions of civilians amid the harshest winter in decades. These are crimes against humanity that Russia is confident it will get away with. We cannot let that happen

Critics say Hong Kong fire was due to negligence, not scaffolding The fire has already claimed 156 lives and the city needs an independent investigation into the cause. @oiwan globalvoices.org/2025/12/02/cri…

@SamaHoole No, one set of data doesn’t tell the story. Hongkong has lowest private car ownership. And people have to walk a lot. And the city has zero natural disasters because of excellent infrastructure. Car accident also lowest in the world