Oscar Guinea @osguinea
Director at ECIPE - the Free-Trade-Loving think tank. International trade and trade policy. Mostly EU. Opeding in El País. Between Spain and Belgium Joined May 2011-
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A short article from me in CEPA about why copyright rules are critical for the development of AI in the EU. Let me know what you think.
Europe's Copyright Trap Stalls AI Ambitions | "The debate over copyright and AI is often described as a moral battle: the rights of creators versus the "theft" by big tech. This framing is fundamentally flawed." @osguinea cepa.org/article/europe…
The revised PLD illustrates the costs that regulation imposes on the EU economy and to others. Consumers must be protected but we should think of ways to achieve the objective while minimising the costs on the economy.
Where the US businesses right about their complains? Sure they were. The PLD is not just a domestic regulation. It is a de facto trade barrier. Total EU imports are projected to fall by €21 billion to €36.5 billion. The US faces the largest absolute loss: up to €6.2 billion.
The FT reported that US businesses complained about the cost the revised Product Liability Directive. They are right but they missed an important (and sizeable) point: the largest negative impact that the PLD is on the EU economy itself. Here is what the data says:
Enjoyed reading 'The Two Europes' by @lugaricano . We explored similar themes in our paper and produced some nice graphs ifo.de/DocDL/econpol-…
Oscar Guinea retweeted
Join our webinar on the future of the EU–Mercosur trade agreement. Conversation moderated by @osguinea with: 🗣️ @javilopezEU, Vice-President of the @Europarl_EN. 🗣️ Paolo Garzotti, Head of Latin America and Caribbean Unit, @Trade_EU. Register ➡️ buff.ly/q1EpiNj
Oscar Guinea retweeted
The EU's new Product Liability Directive risks stifling digital innovation in Nordic countries by expanding liability for AI and software. Read the new paper by @FredrikErixon, @osguinea, Dyuti Pandya, Vanika Sharma, and @renata_zilli ➡️ buff.ly/h7wO9eq @EUJusticeForum
Three years on, EU-Russia trade has hit a floor. The data since late 2024 shows a plateau — a residual baseline of economic interaction that still persists.
Not all sectors decoupled equally and trade decoupling was collective, but far from uniform.
3 years after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, EU imports from Russia are down 91%. One of the sharpest trade contractions in modern history. New analysis with @vanikasharma: ecipe.org/insights/eu-ru…
Oscar Guinea retweeted
Vean @EsperanzaAguir @MarcosdeQuinto resulta que la UE ya tiene acuerdo comercial con - Japón (desde 2019) - Corea (2015) - Canadá (2017) etc etc - la UE es exportadora neta de productos agrícolas De nada
La votación del Parlamento Europeo sobre Mercosur va más allá del agro. Es sintomático de la incapacidad de Europa de tomar de decisiones con contrapartidas. Usando La Isla de las Tentaciones como símil, escribimos de lo que pudo ser y todavía no es. elpais.com/economia/negoc…
@Mariano8884 @oscarvara Puedes leer mas sobre el tema aqui ecipe.org/insights/grumb… o aqui ecipe.org/insights/eu-me…
@Mariano8884 @oscarvara La mayor parte de los alimentos que consumimos en Europa se producen en Europa. Las importaciones de vacuno de fuera de la UE representan el 7% del consumo de vacuna de la UE. El acuerdo con Mercosur va a tener un impacto minimo en la agricultura europa.
@Mariano8884 @oscarvara Tabla 3 de este estudio: comercio.gob.es/es-es/publicac… Pero mas que en el signo fijate en las cantidades. Por ejemplo, un 0.15% de reduccion en la producción de cereal. Dificilmente, el acerdo con Mercosur va a "destruir" el sector del cereal en España.
David Henig 🇺🇦 @DavidHenigUK
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Richard Baldwin @BaldwinRE
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Joseba @Joseba_79
1K Followers 6K Following Tuitiritero. Yo estaba equivocado, me puedes tuitear. Sustanciero kirolero. Si me queréis, reirse. Odio a los haters. Fan de mis seguidores.
Brendan Murray @b_muzz
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Victoria Carvajal Hoy... @vcarvajalhoyos
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Olof Gill @olofgill
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Mari Carmen Barrera @mcarmenbarrera
50K Followers 14K Following Relaciones Laborales. Humanista activa. Comprometida por la justicia social. Secretaria de @EUPoliciesUGT. @EU_EESC member & vice-president of the @WorkersEESC.
Lauri Kangasniemi @ljkangasniemi
855 Followers 1K Following Analysing international trade and trade policy @Ulkoministerio. Based in Beijing. Opinions own.
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