LE @raidthelow
Futures Trader Joined October 2024-
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I am discovering that very few people know how a market establishes closing prices, even in futures, where it's fairly simple. You will look at your RTH-only #ES_F charts and see a last print of 7380.25 and think we "closed" there. You'd be wrong. First, futures: futures don't have "closing" prices. They have *settlement* prices. And for reasons exactly like today, they don't market positions at a single print. Almost all futures use the VWAP over a time range. Currently, that is the VWAP from [15:59:30 to 16:00). That's the settlement, and it's done that way so that a wild closing rogue print doesn't alter what is a more accurate, fair price to mark to market. Now, stocks. The $SPX index value is not simply the last value before 4pm that that S&P Dow Jones calculates to send out to the world. Stocks have a closing auction. It differs between Nasdaq and NYSE but in short, an electronic process matches the highest volume of buyers and sellers at the closing cross, and that equilibrium price is the close. Not the last print at a certain time. So, that's why SPX's closing price *is not known at 4pm*. It is updated over the course of the next few minutes once the closing auction has been completed on all constituent stocks. Nasdaq stocks are done all electronically, and NYSE stocks are mostly electronic but there are actual humans who can manage the closing auction as they can the opening auction. Hopefully this gives you some more insight. #ES_F #NQ_F $SPY $QQQ
710+ point week on $ES Agartha trip is over, thanks for playing
#ES FOMC day so not that much, just wanted to take my piece of the cake and go. Right after previous day low there was a buyer at 80s, meaning that level was key for today. Dump until 78s printing good digits at the low and then an impulse high, saw good rebid and took the shot
@xtackyy Ngl these colors are one of the best so far
Very volatile day on the TAPE today. Something we have not experienced in a LONG time. For me, volatility may provide for more reward however it’s offset with more risk. Due to this, I like to size down to keep risk wider. Strong opening drive off RTH open. Dip into the intraday pivot (7338) held really clean, however, it happened way too fast to get a fill. For me, I did not want to initiate trade till 7395-7403 which was presented later on in the morning. First trade came once we saw a failed attempt to bid 95s + HOD which was enough for me to short the market. Trade worked immediately missing target by a couple of points before a spike up that stopped me out. Second trade came once I saw a failed attempt to shift value into the 7395-7403. Once I saw the risk establish itself, took the market short which once again worked immediately in my favor. Was able to scale out at 85s which was a notable area intraday and final con stopped out BE before it continued to drop. Overall good day but a dangerous one for people who are not willing to adapt. Everyone wants the market to drop after a non-stop rally but are unaware of the increased volatility + risk that comes with it. Cheers everyone 🥂! @deltadynamics_
Opening one new spot to my preorder course, as we kick tacky. Dm for deets on pre ordering
Market doing a more old school risk off move ... treasuries a bit of a safe haven bid. Oil down 5%, those oil bulls have to be losing their minds at this point. Just a straight up liquidation. $SPX filled the 5/6 gap... that was fast. We've had 5 waves of vol expansion today and I'll say, at the risk of being wrong again, that this is overcooked at this point. Vol got to some pretty extreme readings. Nearing a LOD I think. (edited 12:26pm ET) $SPY #ES_F #NQ_F $QQQ
There is a direct correlation between the amount of excuses you make and how successful you will be
Sit back watch, watch vp on dom and watch market profile, 1day, week, 2week, few month composite. Learn to build composites, sit on hands and look for areas to engage with profile, read the profile books, understand the type of daily profiles, balance, opening drive etc etc, understand auctions are a part of everything in this world
A good day today with 2 trades. Really paper handed that first trade though😐. Seems like we are just going to balance here now. HAGD Everyone! @deltadynamics_
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