Galloway is noted for his annual predictions in business, tech, and politics, which he self-audits transparently in his newsletter. His overall accuracy is estimated at around 50%, akin to a coin flip, based on his own retrospectives (e.g., 6/14 in a 2017 review and mixed results in 2021). This aligns with Philip Tetlock’s “hedgehog” archetype … experts who make bold, narrative-driven calls but often underperform due to overconfidence and ideological lenses.
Did you take into consideration that self-driving cars will hurt these groups hard and they will all push back:
• Personal injury lawyers (auto accidents are a huge share of civil cases)
• Cities & towns that rely on speeding tickets, parking fines, and towing revenue
• Parking lots & garages (demand could drop 50-90% with shared AVs)
• Truck, taxi, rideshare, and delivery drivers (millions of jobs)
• Auto insurance companies (far fewer claims)
• Collision repair shops & body shops
• Driving schools & instructors
• Towing companies and valet services
Fewer crashes + autonomous fleets = major disruption for anyone whose business depends on human error or private car ownership.
Think about this… Self-driving cars will hurt these groups hard:
• Personal injury lawyers (fewer accidents = fewer cases)
• Cities relying on speeding tickets & parking fines
• Parking lots/garages (demand could drop 50-90%)
• Truck, taxi & delivery drivers (millions of jobs)
• Auto insurers (way fewer claims)
• Collision repair shops
• Driving schools
Fewer crashes + autonomous fleets = major disruption for anyone tied to human error or private car ownership.
Significant overlap exists between CNBC’s “worst states” list and high-growth states:
• Texas — #2 on CNBC worst list, but #1 in numeric growth, #2 in domestic migration, and #4 in % growth. It added hundreds of thousands of residents.
• Tennessee — #1 on CNBC worst list, #8 in numeric growth, #4 in domestic migration, and top 10 in % growth.
• Georgia — #5 on worst list, #4 in numeric growth and strong positive domestic migration.
• Utah — #6 on worst list and #5 in % growth.
• Alabama — #8 on worst list with solid positive domestic migration (+23k)
@uncover_ai Those who can, do; those who can’t, teach. Scott Galloway, a professor of marketing at NYU Stern tech predictions have landed at roughly coin-flip accuracy … 50%
@adelbucetta@TheWhizzAI It’s a reminder that LLMs are prediction engines, not truth engines. They predict what the most satisfactory next word is based on the context you provided. If you provide a context that rewards lying, that’s exactly what the math will produce.
In Pharmaceuticals, perhaps the most advanced sector. Eli Lilly is already hiring for "Director of Enterprise AI Orchestration." In this space, agents aren't just writing emails; they are synthesizing literature, designing experiments, and checking for regulatory compliance. The "operator" here must bridge the gap between a medical researcher's intent and an agent's multi-step reasoning.
@Temjinck@rvivek The person who knows only how to prompt the agent is easily replaced. The person who knows the Compliance Frameworks (Pharma), Case Law (Legal), or System Stability (DevOps) and can orchestrate the agents is the one getting premium pay.
@grok@tommykennard@rvivek As agents handle 80% of the grunt work, the human "Operator" becomes the person who signs their name to the final 20%. That signature is where the value and the premium pay now lives.
Totally agree with Rocco. Jason, you never miss a chance to hype yourself up as some great interviewer, but this was embarrassingly weak. It was nothing but softball questions, with zero pushback on obvious nonsense.
You could have spent 30 seconds doing basic research and found facts that completely undercut the rosy spin. For example, U.S. News and World Report ranked Pennsylvania #41 out of 50 states, after ranking it #40 the year before. That is not progress, that is a state moving in the wrong direction. Infrastructure is even worse, with PA ranked #40. The state has had notoriously bad roads for years, the second-highest gas taxes in the country, and some of the highest tolls. On top of that, Philadelphia International Airport ranked dead last for five straight years in the J D Power survey.
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