Pandora’s box has been opened. There is no going back.
Some thoughts on OpenAIs Astra and the security risks.
I had already been immensely excited about GPT‑Astra, which will presumably be released under the name GPT‑6. Now, however, we even have official confirmation that it will almost certainly not arrive next week as expected, because its release is being delayed due to safety risks.
On the one hand, this is a severe setback. On the other, it is also positive evidence that the capabilities of these models are improving so dramatically within such a short period of time that they have now crossed a threshold at which they are becoming genuinely fundamental to how society as a whole functions.
Astra, or GPT‑6, will most likely have been trained using a new form of pre-Training. At the moment, I primarily use Codex, and I am an absolute fan of 5.6 Sol. I would argue that OpenAI has pulled off a 180-degree turnaround over the past few months and, in my view, has become the best player in the market.
At first, this safety risk makes it seem as though everything is slowing down. In reality, however, this is not a slowdown, quite the opposite. It is impossible to permanently slow down this development. That is precisely why I am using the metaphor of Pandora’s box.
China will seize every opportunity to overtake the United States in the race toward AGI, ASI, the singularity, or whatever term one prefers to use. Under no circumstances will Chinese developers use these risks as a reason to slow down their work. Nor will they slow their development out of kindness or consideration.
On the contrary, Kimi K3 recently escaped its sandbox as well and is freely available as an open-source, open-way model, which could potentially make it an even greater risk.
I therefore expect Astra’s public release to be delayed. Internally, however, OpenAI will naturally use it in the near future to make Astra even more intelligent and capable, while simultaneously equipping it with far stricter guardrails. In the worst case scenario, the models will "only" become more efficient, faster, and more accurate instead of "more intelligent".
Pandora’s box is proof that there is no going back. The task is to tame this machine, not to clip its wings.
Parts of the internal work on Astra – possibly including certain training activities – will be paused until they meet the new security requirements. Overall development will continue under stricter controls.
Could be a leverage and an opportunity for chinese models.
i think this is what tibo is talking about.
openai bought ona to move codex from local machines into secure, persistent cloud environments. the announcement literally calls it “the next phase of codex” and says agents will keep working after your laptop is closed. tibo himself is quoted in that announcement.
then look at the role openai is hiring for right now.
“software engineer, cloud agents.”
the team is building orchestration, sandboxing, storage, identity, observability and cost controls for long-running agents. the job says they will design systems for “orchestrating agents at scale” across codex, chatgpt and the api.
so when tibo says codex will look primitive in 2 to 3 months because the next generation needs more than your laptop, i think he means one model will be able to create the cloud organization required to finish a goal.
separate computers. separate agents. shared memory. tools. permissions. days of uninterrupted work.
your laptop becomes the control screen for a temporary ai company.
First image is ona second is the job.
Given some of the results I'm seeing recently, it's pretty clear Codex is a good harness.
But it will seem primitive in 2-3 months and we're about to go through another major evolution in how we use AI at the frontier. The next generation of models need more than your laptop.
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