Evan @vangdeli

📊 Score Prediction Analytic (FREE) is LIVE ⚡️ The Score Prediction analytic is back... and now lives at SharpOdds.com. Head to SharpOdds.com and look for the "💰Free Plays💰" button on the main interface. Click it and a page slides out with today's action. Same programming as the original... now with a little extra power from Hermes A.I. 🦾🤖 🚨🚨If you had SharpOdds.com loaded this morning, refresh the page to load the new programming. Every new prediction triggers an alert on Telegram/X, so you'll never miss one. One play up there right now... we'll start slow, but she's back. Good luck!🍀

High limits aren't just for high rollers. They give every bettor the flexibility to stake with confidence, grow their bankroll over time, and bet on a platform that isn't looking for a reason to cut them off. Bet smart. Bet Pinnacle. 📖 Full breakdown: pinnacle.com/betting-resour…

And limits at Pinnacle aren't static either. They scale with market liquidity and increase as events get closer, so when the market is most efficient and you're most confident, you can stake accordingly. That's a model built for serious bettors.

Pinnacle works differently. Higher limits. Lower margins. No bans for winning. Sharp bettors aren't seen as a threat here; they're seen as valuable participants that help shape more efficient odds.

Think about what that actually means... You've done the research and you've found the edge. Then the book tells you that you can only stake $50 on it. Low limits don't just cap your winnings; they make profitable betting nearly impossible to scale.

Most sportsbooks use limits as a weapon against you. Win too often? Your limits get cut. Bet with discipline and consistency? Your account gets flagged. Their priority is protecting their bottom line, not rewarding smart betting.

Finding value in a bet is only half the battle. The other half? Actually being able to stake enough to make it worth it. Here's why betting limits matter more than most bettors realize 🧵

A broke gambler found a bug in a Las Vegas casino's video poker machine. He called his friend. Between them, they took $500,000 from casinos across America. The FBI charged them with hacking. A judge threw the case out because pressing buttons on a slot machine is not hacking. – John Kane had spent years losing money in Las Vegas casinos. – By 2009 he was a regular at the Fremont Casino, feeding money into the same IGT Game King video poker machines everyone else played. – Then one afternoon he pressed the buttons in an unusual sequence and something happened that wasn't supposed to happen. – The machine let him replay a previous winning hand at ten times the original bet. – He sat completely still. Then he did it again. – He called his friend Andre Nestor in Pennsylvania and told him to get on a plane. – Together they worked out the full sequence. You lost small at the lowest denomination. When you finally hit a big hand, you switched to the highest denomination and replayed it. – The machine paid out at the higher rate every time. – The four machines they normally played at the Fremont brought the casino $14,500 a month. – After Kane and Nestor discovered the bug those same four machines cost the casino $75,000 a month. – Kane took $100,000 from the Fremont alone. Then they spread out, the Hilton, the Stratosphere, the Hard Rock, the Tropicana, the Luxor, the Wynn. In Vegas, Kane accumulated over $500,000. – Nestor went back to Pennsylvania and hit The Meadows Casino for nearly $480,000 in two months. – Casino surveillance caught on. Kane was handcuffed to a chair in a back room at the Silverton Casino mid-session. – The FBI charged both men with hacking under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, the same law used to prosecute cybercriminals. – Their lawyers argued one thing: pressing the buttons on a machine exactly as designed is not hacking. – A video poker machine is not a protected computer under federal law. – The judge agreed. Hacking charges dismissed entirely. – The prosecution tried a deal, testify against your friend and walk free. Both refused. – The wire fraud charges were eventually dropped too. – Neither man went to prison. Kane went home and started teaching piano. Nestor went home broke, and the IRS came for $240,000 in back taxes on his winnings. – IGT quietly patched every Game King machine in America. Two men found a bug in a Las Vegas video poker machine and took $500,000 from casinos across America by pressing buttons in the right sequence. The FBI called it hacking. A federal judge called it playing the game.

If you’re in every pot You’re the ATM

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Very nice write up. Other than the fact that you left out the method proven to be the most accurate across the range of possible odds 🎈

Gamedaytrader_ @gamedaytrader_

2 weeks ago

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Great piece. Red44 was a great out for a long time.

David Payne Purdum @DavidPurdum

2 days ago

The rise and fall of the biggest bookie in Alabama By @KeithOB newyorker.com/news/annals-of…

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Self-control is a bigger edge than self-confidence

New and improved post by @roundrobin42 talking to @jakebenzaq “A common theme [in our chat] was how the line between gambling and investing keeps dissolving.” Hmmmm maybe someone should write a book about that? 🤔 substack.com/@howgamblingwo…

If you're young, your savings are the smallest piece of your real net worth: @ElmWealth explains: "A young person might have $200k saved — and $5 million of human capital." "Their future earnings dwarf the portfolio. The savings are a tiny slice of total wealth." "So they could take 50% risk on that $200k and it's still small against $5.2M." "That's exactly why 'take more risk when you're young' is true." "But it has to be systematic risk — and there's a real limit on how far you can lever it." "Because the cost of leverage is just ridiculously high."

Ethan Kho @ethanrkho

a week ago

Victor Haghani helped build LTCM & watched it collapse — with winning trades still on the books. The lesson was never what to buy. It was how much. Victor Haghani (Co-founder @ LTCM | Founder @ Elm Wealth | Author of The Missing Billionaires) "It wasn't on the selection of the

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Got a chance to dive deep on prediction markets with @Flupnolide and @BigBuckHunterrr at @Novig -- market structure, which contracts are dumb, learning to be a trader at SIG, and how MM is not just collecting spread but actual risk-taking. Their podcast has long been one of my favorites because they explain advanced topics clearly (and have killer guests) Go check out the rest of their catalog. Episode below

I’ve begun recording 1:1 coaching sessions with poker pros about topics not often discussed publicly. In my first recorded session, I talked to a high-stakes PLO pro about discipline, ADHD, and fear of failure. In the second — coincidentally, with another HSPLO player — we got into the details of his personal finances. He was super open, talking about making ends meet with a high (but variable) income and high expenses. I’ve recorded more, but these first two are now up on YouTube. There are plenty of places you can go for poker strategy (I hear Run It Once is pretty good 😉), but it’s rare that conversations like these happen out in the open. I think they’ll be helpful and relatable for a lot of players. I’ve made a lot of content on my YT channel the last few years. Much of it has been simpler stuff. This is something I’m proud to recommend to serious players.

The highest-expected-value bet is also the one most likely to wipe you out: Victor Haghani co-founded LTCM & wrote The Missing Billionaires. Now runs Elm Wealth. Victor Haghani explains: "Take a coin that lands heads 60% of the time. You get 20 flips." "The highest-expected-value play is to bet it all on heads, every single time." "And you have almost no chance of ending with any money at all." "The whole expected value sits in one outcome: 20 heads, a million-fold return." "Everyone instantly knows they'd never do it." "Expected value and risk-adjusted value are two different things — and it's the second one that matters."

Ethan Kho @ethanrkho

a week ago

Victor Haghani helped build LTCM & watched it collapse — with winning trades still on the books. The lesson was never what to buy. It was how much. Victor Haghani (Co-founder @ LTCM | Founder @ Elm Wealth | Author of The Missing Billionaires) "It wasn't on the selection of the

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