CryptoTrader.app @CryptoTraderOff
Depuis 2018, solution 100% automatisée pour maximiser vos profits et sécuriser votre capital lors des cycles baissiers. Accède à nos résultats via ce lien 👇 form.cryptotrader.app/perf?source=tw… Joined September 2017-
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🧊 Ce chart raconte surtout la fin d’une phase de distribution. Top vers 125 000 $. Point bas récent autour de 58 000 $. Environ -53% de drawdown. Ce n’est pas encore le carnage de 2022, où BTC avait perdu près de 77%. Mais les cycles ne se répètent jamais proprement. 1/2
Without question $BTC is in the final stages of forming a bottom. We're printing identical structure to what we saw in 2022. This is the final meaningful leg to the downside. Any further deviation lower is likely to be manipulation before expansion.
₿ Le cycle de 4 ans n’a pas besoin d’être une loi physique pour rester utile. Il suffit qu’assez d’acteurs continuent à se comporter pareil. Les nouveaux achètent quand le risque a déjà été repricé à la hausse. Les anciens distribuent quand la liquidité arrive.
I did not always believe in the four year cycle for Bitcoin. I used to think it was silly, and that the market had to be more complicated than that. But then the market proved me wrong. So I admitted I was wrong, learned from my mistakes, and became a better investor. This
Qui a encore besoin de vendre ? Qui a encore du levier ? Qui a du cash ? Qui accumule quand l’attention disparaît ? Les cycles ne donnent jamais un point d’entrée parfait. Ils donnent surtout un cadre pour arrêter d’acheter l’euphorie et de vendre la lassitude.
C’est moins violent que 2021-2022, où la baisse avait dépassé -75%, avec Terra, Celsius, 3AC, FTX et une vraie purge de contreparties. Donc la question n’est pas “le cycle existe ou non”. Mais : où en est-on dans la purge ?
@Erwy2002 40K, yes, possible in a real panic. 25K would need more than just MicroStrategy imo. MSTR collapse would mainly create a forced-selling/liquidation shock. Brutal for liquidity, but for BTC to go -60% from here, you probably need a broader credit event around it.
@KillaXBT Bottom possible, certitude impossible. Par contre, reprendre un DCA sur ces niveaux n’a clairement rien d’idiot x.com/CryptoTraderOf…
🧊 Ce chart raconte surtout la fin d’une phase de distribution. Top vers 125 000 $. Point bas récent autour de 58 000 $. Environ -53% de drawdown. Ce n’est pas encore le carnage de 2022, où BTC avait perdu près de 77%. Mais les cycles ne se répètent jamais proprement. 1/2
🟠 Le point intéressant ici, ce n’est pas le “dorito”. C’est ce qu’il dit du momentum de marché. BTC revient autour de 60 000 $ après un mois de juin à environ -19 %, le pire depuis le bear market 2022.
The dorito indicator has flashed 👀 This powerful signal does not come around very often, but when it does, the bottom tends to be close, or already in. Pair that with the weekly RSI bullish divergence forming - and suddenly DCA-ing here doesn't look that silly anymore. $BTC
@CryptoJelleNL La zone est devenue psychologique : tout le monde la regarde, tout le monde veut savoir si elle va casser ou tenir. Et c’est exactement le genre de zone où le DCA reprend du sens. x.com/CryptoTraderOf…
🟠 Le point intéressant ici, ce n’est pas le “dorito”. C’est ce qu’il dit du momentum de marché. BTC revient autour de 60 000 $ après un mois de juin à environ -19 %, le pire depuis le bear market 2022.
Parce qu’à ce stade, chercher le point parfait devient souvent moins important que construire une position sans tout miser sur une seule bougie. Si tu DCA sur ces zones, tu acceptes que le marché puisse encore te faire mal, mais tu transformes cette incertitude en méthode.
La zone est devenue psychologique : tout le monde la regarde, tout le monde veut savoir si elle va casser ou tenir. Et c’est exactement le genre de zone où le DCA reprend du sens.
🟠 Les détenteurs historiques de Bitcoin vendent de moins en moins. Les données de juin sont assez frappantes. Juin 2024 : 1,18 million de vieux BTC changeaient de main. Juin 2026 : 218 421. Le niveau le plus faible depuis 2012.
🚨BITCOIN LONG-TERM HOLDERS NOW CONTROL RECORD 79% OF SUPPLY! Bitcoin long-term holders have reached a new all-time high, owning 79% of all circulating $BTC, according to K33 Research. A strong signal of sustained accumulation.
Le déséquilibre entre l'offre et la demande reste la variable centrale. L'offre se contracte depuis plusieurs mois. Le prochain mouvement durable dépendra surtout du rythme auquel de nouveaux acheteurs absorberont cette offre devenue beaucoup plus rare.
Un marché peut rester déprimé alors que l'offre se raréfie. Les 2 phénomènes ne sont pas incompatibles. Bitcoin évolue encore autour de 60 000 $. Près de 50 % sous son sommet d'octobre 2025. Les rapports publiés cette semaine insistent davantage sur la demande que sur l'offre.
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