Arbor Data Science @DataArbor
The team at Arbor Data Science provides daily commentary and data-driven analysis for institutional clients of Arbor Research & Trading. datascience.arborresearch.com Barrington, IL Joined December 2018-
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Average monthly rent in the U.S. varied drastically on a statewide basis as of 6/22/2026. New York led the nation, with average rent at $3,046 a month — nearly double the national average of $1,645.
Limited supply means incremental demand is met with higher prices – leading to better total returns; lower losses from severe weather lowers the risk of CAT bonds having their loss triggers hit. @SamuelRines: Macro Strategist at WisdomTree and contributor to Arbor Data Science
The total holdings of the two funds that comprise social security, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund and the Disability Insurance trust fund, peaked at $2.91 trillion in 2020. Recent projections estimate that these two funds will hold only $0.18 trillion by 2033.
No matter what your local politician says, taxes and inflation were the two most important issues facing small businesses in May 2026. Each issue had approximately 20% of respondents stating that it was their single most important problem during the month.
According to Vanguard, the two biggest reasons that consumers took 401(k) hardship withdrawals were to avoid foreclosure/eviction and to pay off medical expenses.
Cattle supply is not something that can increase quickly... That is the reason that the Trump Administration is a big fan of Argentinian beef imports. @SamuelRines: Macro Strategist at WisdomTree and contributor to Arbor Data Science
U.S. motor gasoline inventories totaled 211.59 million barrels on 5/22/2026. This was the lowest level since it was 209.90 million barrels in November 2025, and the lowest inventory total compared to any week in May over the past 10 years.
The resource-intensive nature of data centers — namely excessive water and energy usage — was the main reason respondents cited for their opposition to data center construction, according to a Gallup survey conducted from April 1-15, 2026.
Over the previous 10 years, there were only 3 times in which the SPR had a net increase in barrels. The largest decrease was in 2022, which had a drawdown of 221 million barrels. In 2026, there has been a total drawdown of 39.29 million barrels (as of 5/15/2026).
The week-over-week (5/8/2026 to 5/15/2026) decrease of 9.92 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) was the largest one week change since the inventory data became available in the summer of 1982.
Brazil is the largest supplier of soybeans to China. Its share of China’s soybean market jumped from 60% in 2022 to 74% in 2025. During the same period, the share of soybeans from the U.S. declined from 31% in 2022 to 15% in 2025.
Quality of labor has been a top concern for small businesses. The most recent reading in April 2026 suggested that it was the biggest issue that small businesses faced, with 18% of firms citing it as their main challenge.
The $1.5 trillion budget proposal submitted by the Pentagon for FY 2027 includes $76.96 billion on the procurement of missiles and missile defense systems. This would nearly triple the planned spending of $27.22 billion in FY 2026 for missiles and missile defense systems.
65.90% of the Fed’s total assets were U.S. Treasuries on 4/22/2026. This was the highest level since 3/26/2008, when Treasuries comprised 68.49% of the total balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that 66.3% of workers earning over $200,000 had used AI tools at work in the past 12 months as of November 2025. For comparison, only 15.9% of workers who were earning less than $50,000 had used AI tools at work over the same time frame.
According to a survey from PYMNTS, 40.4% of consumers were living paycheck-to-paycheck at the end of 2025
As of 4/10/2026, the average individual income tax refund was $3,397, up from the average refund of $3,055 in 2025. However, after adjusting for inflation, the average refund for each of the last eight years was below 2018 in real terms.
Defense stocks were down 10-20% in the first 30 trading days since Operation Epic Fury began (3/2/26 – 4/14/26). Every other conflict saw defense names rally within the first few months. @pinkhasov - Research consultant for Arbor Data Science
Google Search Trends shows a tight relationship between state-level searches for "free credit check" and "buy now pay later." The upper-right cluster of states may illustrate where household balance sheets are under the most pressure.
Higher health care costs continue to weigh on consumers’ financial health. In a poll conducted by KFF, consumers were most worried about affording health care, with 32% of respondents “Very worried” and 34% “Somewhat worried.”
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