Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

The team at Arbor Data Science provides daily commentary and data-driven analysis for institutional clients of Arbor Research & Trading. datascience.arborresearch.com Barrington, IL Joined December 2018

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 days ago

Average monthly rent in the U.S. varied drastically on a statewide basis as of 6/22/2026. New York led the nation, with average rent at $3,046 a month — nearly double the national average of $1,645.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

7 days ago

Limited supply means incremental demand is met with higher prices – leading to better total returns; lower losses from severe weather lowers the risk of CAT bonds having their loss triggers hit. @SamuelRines: Macro Strategist at WisdomTree and contributor to Arbor Data Science

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a week ago

The total holdings of the two funds that comprise social security, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund and the Disability Insurance trust fund, peaked at $2.91 trillion in 2020. Recent projections estimate that these two funds will hold only $0.18 trillion by 2033.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 weeks ago

No matter what your local politician says, taxes and inflation were the two most important issues facing small businesses in May 2026. Each issue had approximately 20% of respondents stating that it was their single most important problem during the month.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 weeks ago

According to Vanguard, the two biggest reasons that consumers took 401(k) hardship withdrawals were to avoid foreclosure/eviction and to pay off medical expenses.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

3 weeks ago

Cattle supply is not something that can increase quickly... That is the reason that the Trump Administration is a big fan of Argentinian beef imports. @SamuelRines: Macro Strategist at WisdomTree and contributor to Arbor Data Science

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

4 weeks ago

U.S. motor gasoline inventories totaled 211.59 million barrels on 5/22/2026. This was the lowest level since it was 209.90 million barrels in November 2025, and the lowest inventory total compared to any week in May over the past 10 years.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

4 weeks ago

The resource-intensive nature of data centers — namely excessive water and energy usage — was the main reason respondents cited for their opposition to data center construction, according to a Gallup survey conducted from April 1-15, 2026.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a month ago

Over the previous 10 years, there were only 3 times in which the SPR had a net increase in barrels. The largest decrease was in 2022, which had a drawdown of 221 million barrels. In 2026, there has been a total drawdown of 39.29 million barrels (as of 5/15/2026).

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a month ago

The week-over-week (5/8/2026 to 5/15/2026) decrease of 9.92 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) was the largest one week change since the inventory data became available in the summer of 1982.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a month ago

Brazil is the largest supplier of soybeans to China. Its share of China’s soybean market jumped from 60% in 2022 to 74% in 2025. During the same period, the share of soybeans from the U.S. declined from 31% in 2022 to 15% in 2025.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a month ago

Quality of labor has been a top concern for small businesses. The most recent reading in April 2026 suggested that it was the biggest issue that small businesses faced, with 18% of firms citing it as their main challenge.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

a month ago

The $1.5 trillion budget proposal submitted by the Pentagon for FY 2027 includes $76.96 billion on the procurement of missiles and missile defense systems. This would nearly triple the planned spending of $27.22 billion in FY 2026 for missiles and missile defense systems.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

65.90% of the Fed’s total assets were U.S. Treasuries on 4/22/2026. This was the highest level since 3/26/2008, when Treasuries comprised 68.49% of the total balance sheet.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that 66.3% of workers earning over $200,000 had used AI tools at work in the past 12 months as of November 2025. For comparison, only 15.9% of workers who were earning less than $50,000 had used AI tools at work over the same time frame.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

According to a survey from PYMNTS, 40.4% of consumers were living paycheck-to-paycheck at the end of 2025

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

As of 4/10/2026, the average individual income tax refund was $3,397, up from the average refund of $3,055 in 2025. However, after adjusting for inflation, the average refund for each of the last eight years was below 2018 in real terms.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

Defense stocks were down 10-20% in the first 30 trading days since Operation Epic Fury began (3/2/26 – 4/14/26). Every other conflict saw defense names rally within the first few months. @pinkhasov - Research consultant for Arbor Data Science

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

2 months ago

Google Search Trends shows a tight relationship between state-level searches for "free credit check" and "buy now pay later." The upper-right cluster of states may illustrate where household balance sheets are under the most pressure.

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Arbor Data Science @DataArbor

3 months ago

Higher health care costs continue to weigh on consumers’ financial health. In a poll conducted by KFF, consumers were most worried about affording health care, with 32% of respondents “Very worried” and 34% “Somewhat worried.”