bafoon13 @DfsSchoder
Retired from quant trading (TMG ’13-’21 energy futures). P2P gambling. Chess and poker fan. Love/hate relationship w Kelly criterion. DK bafoon13 MAYC 9149 Chicago Joined April 2021-
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@ToddWitteles @JoshKay333 @SurvivorAtlas Don’t worry Todd, I’m signing up 2^20 entries this year and guaranteeing myself a winner. Think of the edge I’ll have on the competition!
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@SurvivorAtlas Reminds of the squares claiming that DFS is unfair because the 150 maxers can cover all the possibilities. As if 144 choose 6 is small enough to cover all possibilities in a golf tournament.
Seems everyone has picked their side of Circa vs Splash. I think both products are terrific and glad to see innovation in both. Rising tide lifts all boats. Props to @tjross and @JeffreyBenson12 Team entries and a marketplace is a win. Helps users extract value in a WTA format.
We just put up the biggest Guaranteed Survivor contest in history. $21 million, with Polymarket. Now we’re changing how Survivor itself works, with two upcoming launches: 📈 The Splash Survivor Marketplace 👥 Team Entries
bafoon13 retweeted
My philosophy when I used to hire traders was that the optimal number of past blow ups was one.
@SurvivorAtlas For sure, I just meant that there’s probably a lot more interest from poker players after the contest got so much publicity in the poker space with almost every winner from 2025 having a poker background.
@grpwins @McNasty_Sports Integrity is signing up for 10 Circa survivor entries like you’ve promised to do for months.
Imagine thinking that your moral superiority over market makers is your ability to get people to start gambling and then keeping them addicted for as long as possible, or as Matt calls it “attracting and retaining customers.”
@RufusPeabody Are you building an entertainment product and experience, attracting and retaining consumers, satisfying regulatory compliance and providing careers to people? Or are you just leaching money out of an ecosystem for self gain in moms basement until you get banned or kill the eco
@spanky @WWERomanReigns Surprising there’s no one from PR considering the tax implications of living there. All the crypto bros but no gambling bros in Dorado I guess
@chinamaniac I agree with most of this, but it is nice to have a decent chunk of cash lying around, or at least in crypto. It can be a huge hassle to withdraw large amounts of cash from a bank and they are only open 50-60 hours a week.
@grpwins Don’t forget Tony’s good for being a circa survivor proxy!
@PlusEVAnalytics This was my assumption as well. I believe one of the first markets they went into was FL which protects the Seminoles very aggressively. Seemed to me like they wanted to lose their ability to have PM on sports in FL and have that precedent set for other states to follow.
@grpwins Be careful George, the AQI at OHare is 3x the largest reading Chicago has ever had. Pretty dangerous to be outside right now.
@FischerKing64 It’s also the halfway point of the Appalachian Trail
@PlusEVAnalytics @capjack2000 The small tick sizes just let HFT's win over traditional MM's or relative value traders. They find big and/or smart orders and quote small size in front and soak up most of the fills without taking much risk. Eventually this leads to MMs not quoting and is v bad for ecosystem.
@johnarnold Love those guys selling pesos for dollars in the alleys “Cambio! Cambio! Necessito cambio!” Had same experience in 2012 where rate was 5 to 1 but we got 8 to 1 through them
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