Matt “Friend of the pod” Rogish 🇺🇸 @MattRogish
Philadelphia, PA Joined September 2007-
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@simpsoka extensively. “Automatically clean up worktrees/branches when merging to origin / main” (and/or when I archive the convo) would be killer. I spin up dozens of codex threads per day and I can’t keep reminding it “merge to origin main and then clean up” etc. and now I have 200 stale
My dad gave me a piece of advice that has served me well: never make a comment about, or a play on someone's name. You will never impress them. You will only sink in their esteem. I met an old guy named John Lennon once, shook his hand and said "good to meet you Mr. Lennon." You could see the respect and joy at not hearing yet another damned comment about his name. Thanks dad.
My cashier at Costco is named Fredo. I just said to him, “I knew it was you, Fredo.” Doesn’t look up. “Very good, sir. Haven’t heard that before.”
I think both Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 get approved for general release next week, and for use outside of the United States as well. But people should remember this moment and remember this feeling, because it is almost inevitable that we eventually reach a point where approval does not arrive. Capitalism is going to tip the scales this time. I doubt they will approve one model and not the other, because doing so would be seen as incredibly anti-competitive. Fable and GPT-5.6 will probably receive the same clearance, probably on the same day. I also doubt they want to restrict sales outside the US, because that would be seen as anti-business and would trigger a major backlash against American closed-source AI. The rumblings of which you can already hear today. There is also a plan now taking shape on both the US left and right to create some version of an AI public wealth fund that pays a dividend directly to American citizens. That fund needs to be fed by the global sale of the big labs top models to people outside the US. So I think there will be no freeze on their use outside the United States this time. The other reason is that allowing this will make people happy, and it will soften the fact that Mythos, as was announced yesterday, is available only to a vetted group of US agencies and companies. I do not think that this basic structure will change from here on out. Mythos may eventually be made available to certain allies, but only after the US government, its agencies, and then some chosen American companies have access to Mythos-2, Sol-2, or whatever the new uber-model turns out to be. I do not think this gap ever closes again, not even for allies. And that means the US will increasingly possess an intelligence advantage that touches almost everything: voting, markets, corporations, academia, infrastructure, and the internal operations of foreign states. Having Mythos-n will always be trumped by whoever has Mythos-n+1. Anthropic themselves have said within nine months Mythos will look like a toy. That advantage, standing at the top of this tower, is too large to give up voluntarily. It also means that many things will become suspect. People will see shadows everywhere. Barring espionage, a deliberate leak, or the emergence of a non-US competitor at the top end of the scale, this structure will persist for some time. The public fight is about access to models. But the real fight is about access to the future. And from this point forward, whoever holds this power will also become increasingly capable of keeping it for themselves.
people are making memes of @ZackKorman now
@thdxr If you're fixing _Everyone's product_ then maybe you have a chance
a shortcut for this one is remember this rule: if you're fixing someone else's product you should probably work on something else
The internet remains undefeated
All I gotta say is whenever Fable comes back I better get extra rations to undo all this 4.8 garbage
C'mon you should have KYC implemented already where's my Fable take my data take it take it
I’m suffering from post-Fable depression
@kylebrussell That is wild. Every time I've tried it and had 5.5 code review it's found major problems. Maybe I'm not planning/prompting right but I only use it for quick, trivial things
@DicksonPau Except in one key area: finding and restoring archived chats is hot garbage in Codex MacOS
"The problem with grind culture is that it focuses on intermediate metrics instead of outcomes. Measuring success by hours worked is like deciding a basketball game based on who sweated the most instead of checking the scoreboard. Great companies hire great players and judge them on results. If you're forcing crazy hours and beds in the office, you're probably solving for the wrong thing." @matanSF Love to hear your thoughts @lmcorrigan1 @WillManidis @beffjezos @garrytan
@jjacky @OpenRouter 5.5 and 4.8 were not able to solve certain long-scale architectural things that Fable solved immediately. Sure, for most problems Fable is wildly overkill; there are also plenty that only it can do (for now, obvi)
This whole Fable export control situation is actually net positive to regulation discourse. It’s an early peek into what AI regulation would end up looking like at scale when enacted at the model layer instead of the specific application of the AI. The government would have sole discretion over when a model can be released to the to public, based on a bunch of factors that they inherently control. In this case, based on the available reporting, the risk is that the model can be jailbroken to deliver increased cyber exploit capabilities. The issue is that actually you want models to be able to have those capabilities on the defense side of cyber as well, and for all intents and purposes, by Anthropic’s own response, you can execute these capabilities today in other models. So thus the whole challenge will be that you’re debating with the government, over months and months, with every model release, what these models are actually capable of and what their risks are. Inherently, there’s not only a lot of subjectivity in determining those risks, but there’s also many other factors that go into the risks being practical in the first place. The net result is that we would end up with backlog of AI releases, progress in the market inherently would dramatically slow down, and AI would start to look more like any other sclerotic industry. If this paradigm had existed 3 years ago at the start of the current AI wave, we’d likely currently be stuck on GPT-4 level intelligence at this point. This is why, wherever possible, we should be regulating the applied use of AI. We should continue to study and enforce the dangerous use of AI in cyber attacks, financial services risks, fraud, biowarfare, and other spaces. AI safety is incredibly important, but slowing down progress this early in the development of AI I suspect is net harmful.
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of
@mattshumer_ I am glad I actually had it do a TON of plans
Maybe, maybe 4.8 wasn't that bad. Maybe I'm mis-remembering.. Tries 4.8
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