Semlanomics @Semlanomics

Buy-side professional during the day after 4y in sell-side ER. Microcap investor at night. Sharing my private trades and thoughts. Not financial advice. substack.com/@semlanomics Stockholm, Sweden Joined April 2020

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

2 months ago

@lada1016 The örn has landat

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

5 months ago

Snap has clearly shown that they can grow profitably already, so it is only a matter of ramping it up. As a scaleable social media app that leverages network effects, its AI risks are exaggerated in my view. I feel this is a good entry point. Not financial advice. Do you own DD.

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

5 months ago

Trigger is if profitability suddenly jumps and I think there are several potential factors that offer upside optionality, while limiting downside: - Strong Snapchat+ growth (35% yoy in Q3 '25) - Influencer activity on app has increased lately - Positive FCF each q since Q3 '24

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

5 months ago

Bought $SNAP ahead of Q4 earnings (VWAP $6.96). The case imo resembles that of Spotify. User engagement and retention has always been exceptional, the question is if they can monetize their users. While not a Q4 play per se, I do find it interesting over next 12M.

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

5 months ago

@jokkexxx Från en som nyligen tvingades binda upp mer EK till att köpa en större bostad i Sthlms innerstad vill jag bara hälsa att det är uppfriskande höra någon som har samma förakt kring att köpa bostad. Håller 100% med!

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

5 months ago

2025 was admittedly my best year, returning 160%, but is it a one-off? A bit more on my investment approach, track record etc. dassemla.substack.com/p/my-current-i…

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Note that my typical investment horizon is 6 months to 2 years, and I've held all of these for at least 9 months by now. I have several new cases I'm looking at and could change my portfolio as soon as tomorrow.

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

$talk On 11% sales growth and 13% ebitda margin, you have $talk at 4x 2026e ev/ebitda. This is lower than management's own growth cagr expectations and just 1ppt ebitda margin improvement y/y. Net cash and ~10% fcf yield in 2025E, so decent MoS. Dividend in Q4 could be a trigger.

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Portfolio update! Since new year my portfolio has been unchanged: 59% $ZEPP, 15% $USWE, 14% $ACAST and 12% $TALK. All of them started with a weight of between 10-20% of my total portfolio, I've just held onto Zepp while it delivered outsized returns.

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Surprised so few have highlighted the gigantic risk that Polymarket poses to sport book operators and online operators. Kambi is a clear stay away in my book right now, but most operators are also at risk.

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il Donaldo Trumpo @PapiTrumpo

6 months ago

OK, WHO DID THIS???🤣🤣🤣

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Chappelle's sketch of US invading Iraq in 2003 rings just as true today. youtu.be/9DLuALBnolM?si…

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Have done 0 DD and not a macro guy, so take it with a grain of salt. But my spontaneous thought following US capturing Maduro: Chinese defense stocks. Let it simmer for a bit and get back to me, k?

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Semlanomics @Semlanomics

6 months ago

Great tip that I agree with. Also how I work. Follow most micro caps once a half year. But keep a short list that you follow closely on a quarterly basis. Then pick some 3-6 from that list to invest in at any given time.

Society Sour @SocietySour

6 months ago

Råder också alla som är intresserade av småbolagsinvestering att göra sitt universum väldigt litet. Följ inte börsen, följ bolag. Läs mycket rapporter och bygg en almost-lista där du vill köpa bolag X om detta inträffar. Det är överlägset det bästa jag gjort förr att skapa avk.